Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Adani Ports</li>
<li>In the US last Thursday, March housing starts came in below estimates at negative 11.4% m-o-m (-5.4% e / 9.8% revised p) to an annualised 1.32 mn units (1.42 mn e / 1.49 mn revised p), amid high inventory levels and uncertainty over building-material costs.</li>
<li>That said, building permits rose 1.6% m-o-m (-0.6% e / -1.0% p) to an annualised 1.48 mn units (1.45 mn e / 1.46 mn p).</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Adani Ports
In the US last Thursday, March housing starts came in below estimates at negative 11.4% m-o-m (-5.4% e / 9.8% revised p) to an annualised 1.32 mn units (1.42 mn e / 1.49 mn revised p), amid high inventory levels and uncertainty over building-material costs.
That said, building permits rose 1.6% m-o-m (-0.6% e / -1.0% p) to an annualised 1.48 mn units (1.45 mn e / 1.46 mn p).


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Genting Berhad, Road King, Meituan, AAC Technologies</li>
<li>In the US, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that the inflation impact from tariffs could be transitory, if the duties are limited in scope and there is no retaliation from other countries.</li>
<li>He added that the Fed is taking a wait-and-see approach for now, albeit he believes rates will be lower 12-18 months from now if inflation remains contained in the long run. Separately, New York Fed President John Williams expressed support for the Fed's rate pause last week, stating that "the current modestly restrictive stance of monetary policy is entirely appropriate given the solid labour market and inflation still running somewhat above our 2% goal".</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Genting Berhad, Road King, Meituan, AAC Technologies
In the US, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that the inflation impact from tariffs could be transitory, if the duties are limited in scope and there is no retaliation from other countries.
He added that the Fed is taking a wait-and-see approach for now, albeit he believes rates will be lower 12-18 months from now if inflation remains contained in the long run. Separately, New York Fed President John Williams expressed support for the Fed's rate pause last week, stating that "the current modestly restrictive stance of monetary policy is entirely appropriate given the solid labour market and inflation still running somewhat above our 2% goal".


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sands China, MGM China, Biocon Biologics</li>
<li>In the US, the Conference Board consumer confidence index slipped to 98.3 (102.5 e / 105.3 p) in February, the largest monthly decline since August 2021. The expectations index fell below 80 for the first time since June 2024, with the threshold usually indicating a recession ahead.</li>
<li>Treasuries climbed for a fifth straight day, with yields declining 8-11 bps across the curve given the weak consumer confidence data and amid a strong auction of 5Y notes.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sands China, MGM China, Biocon Biologics
In the US, the Conference Board consumer confidence index slipped to 98.3 (102.5 e / 105.3 p) in February, the largest monthly decline since August 2021. The expectations index fell below 80 for the first time since June 2024, with the threshold usually indicating a recession ahead.
Treasuries climbed for a fifth straight day, with yields declining 8-11 bps across the curve given the weak consumer confidence data and amid a strong auction of 5Y notes.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Logan Group, Greentown China, Adani Green Energy</li>
<li>
In the US, the January PPI came in at 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.5% revised p) and 3.5% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.5% revised p). The December figures were revised upwards to 0.5% m-o-m and 3.5% y-o-y (from 0.2% and 3.3%, respectively).
</li>
<li>
The PPI excluding food and energy was 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% revised p) and 3.6% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.7% revised p).
</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Logan Group, Greentown China, Adani Green Energy

In the US, the January PPI came in at 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.5% revised p) and 3.5% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.5% revised p). The December figures were revised upwards to 0.5% m-o-m and 3.5% y-o-y (from 0.2% and 3.3%, respectively).


The PPI excluding food and energy was 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% revised p) and 3.6% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.7% revised p).



Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At an 8% discount to NAV, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> is trading too tight for what is a simple holding company structure.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


At an 8% discount to NAV, Melco International Development (200 HK) is trading too tight for what is a simple holding company structure.
Preceding my comments on Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


Macau

MGM China Holdings Limited is an investment holding company that develops, owns, and operates gaming and lodging resorts in the Greater China region. The company operates casino games of chance, hotel, and resort facilities, and provides hotel management services, notably through its MGM Macau and MGM Cotai properties. It was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Macau.

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MGM China (2282 HK)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Adani Ports

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Genting Berhad, Road King, Meituan,...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sands China, MGM China, Biocon Biologics

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Logan Group, Greentown China, Adani...

Lucror Analytics

StubWorld: Melco Is Trading Too Tight

At an 8% discount to NAV, Melco International Development (200 HK) is trading too tight for what is a simple holding company structure.

David Blennerhassett

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