Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Exports /In Depth: Beijing’s ban on mineral exports to U.S. leaves traders scrambling</li>
<li>DeepSeek /: Tech giants dash to include DeepSeek’s AI into their offerings</li>
<li>Rail /: Expanded Russian customs checks disrupt China-Europe rail logistics</li>
</ul>


Exports /In Depth: Beijing’s ban on mineral exports to U.S. leaves traders scrambling
DeepSeek /: Tech giants dash to include DeepSeek’s AI into their offerings
Rail /: Expanded Russian customs checks disrupt China-Europe rail logistics


CX Daily: Beijing’s Ban on Mineral Exports to U.S. Leaves Traders Scrambling 

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Let’s start with DeepSeek.</li><li>The trajectory toward singularity may be accelerating faster than previously forecasted.</li><li>With barriers to entry for AI development rapidly lowering and efficiency gains fueling greater demand rather than less, it seems inevitable that this trend will reshape the AI landscape.</li></ul>

Let’s start with DeepSeek.The trajectory toward singularity may be accelerating faster than previously forecasted.With barriers to entry for AI development rapidly lowering and efficiency gains fueling greater demand rather than less, it seems inevitable that this trend will reshape the AI landscape.

The Drill: The commoditization of AI is here

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SK Hynix Expects 100% HBM Revenue Growth in 2025E After a Massive 2024 -- Which Means Traditional DRAM Doesn't Matter as Much Anymore</li>
<li>DeepSeek Market Fears -- A Problem for HBM &amp; Enterprise SSD Memory?</li>
<li>AI Industry Opportunities Are Not a Fixed Size Pie -- Will DeepSeek Impact HBM DRAM TAM? Why We Don't Think So</li>
</ul>


SK Hynix Expects 100% HBM Revenue Growth in 2025E After a Massive 2024 -- Which Means Traditional DRAM Doesn't Matter as Much Anymore
DeepSeek Market Fears -- A Problem for HBM &amp; Enterprise SSD Memory?
AI Industry Opportunities Are Not a Fixed Size Pie -- Will DeepSeek Impact HBM DRAM TAM? Why We Don't Think So


Memory Monitor: Is DeepSeek a Problem for SK Hynix & Micron's HBM DRAM Growth?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic accomplishment by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source approach</li>
<li>US competitors have egg on their faces now, but they will adapt. Competition is always a good thing &amp; the future of AI just got a whole lot brighter</li>
<li>Last night’s selloff was overdone in our view. Happy CNY to all!</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic accomplishment by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source approach
US competitors have egg on their faces now, but they will adapt. Competition is always a good thing &amp; the future of AI just got a whole lot brighter
Last night’s selloff was overdone in our view. Happy CNY to all!


Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Almost one and half years ago, I wrote about “The Curious Case of Big Tech”, in which I highlighted that much of the big tech was actually “deep value” investments back in 2013.</li><li>In fact, I also mentioned <em>“Meta, and Amazon are currently trading at lower OCF multiple than they were trading back in 2013</em>”.</li><li>Both Meta and Amazon have comfortably outperformed both S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 since then (not claiming any causal relationship, of course).</li></ul>

Almost one and half years ago, I wrote about “The Curious Case of Big Tech”, in which I highlighted that much of the big tech was actually “deep value” investments back in 2013.In fact, I also mentioned “Meta, and Amazon are currently trading at lower OCF multiple than they were trading back in 2013”.Both Meta and Amazon have comfortably outperformed both S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 since then (not claiming any causal relationship, of course).

Big Tech's Deteriorating Earnings Quality

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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CX Daily: Beijing’s Ban on Mineral Exports to U.S. Leaves Traders Scrambling

Exports / In Depth: Beijing’s ban on mineral exports to U. S. leaves traders scrambling As China’s trade war with the...

Caixin Global

The Drill: The commoditization of AI is here

Let’s start with DeepSeek. The trajectory toward singularity may be accelerating faster than previously forecasted. With barriers to entry for AI...

Steno Research

Memory Monitor: Is DeepSeek a Problem for SK Hynix & Micron's HBM DRAM Growth?

SK Hynix predicts 100% HBM revenue growth in 2025E, signaling a shift away from traditional DRAM importance. DeepSeek fears raise concerns for HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

DeepSeek R1. Ahem, This Is Awkward..

DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic win by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source...

William Keating

Big Tech's Deteriorating Earnings Quality

Almost one and half years ago, I wrote about “The Curious Case of Big Tech”, in which I highlighted that much of the big tech was actually “deep...

MBI Deep Dives

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CX Daily: Beijing’s Ban on Mineral Exports to U.S. Leaves Traders Scrambling

Exports / In Depth: Beijing’s ban on mineral exports to U. S. leaves traders scrambling As China’s trade war with the...

Caixin Global

The Drill: The commoditization of AI is here

Let’s start with DeepSeek. The trajectory toward singularity may be accelerating faster than previously forecasted. With barriers to entry for AI...

Steno Research

Memory Monitor: Is DeepSeek a Problem for SK Hynix & Micron's HBM DRAM Growth?

​SK Hynix predicts 100% HBM revenue growth in 2025E, signaling a shift away from traditional DRAM importance. DeepSeek fears raise concerns for HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

DeepSeek R1. Ahem, This Is Awkward..

DeepSeek's R1 is a game changer that's taken the world by storm. It's a fantastic win by a Chinese team and a huge endorsement of the open source...

William Keating

Big Tech's Deteriorating Earnings Quality

Almost one and half years ago, I wrote about “The Curious Case of Big Tech”, in which I highlighted that much of the big tech was actually “deep...

MBI Deep Dives

SK Hynix predicts 100% HBM revenue growth in 2025E, signaling a shift away from traditional DRAM importance. DeepSeek fears raise concerns for HBM...