Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK hynix (000660 KS)</a> gained 11.2% in September MTD and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 20.9%, but combined AUM increased only 10% as redemptions offset performance.</li>
<li>Units outstanding fell across all seven long leveraged ETFs. In contrast, units in the inverse product more than doubled and its market capitalisation rose 56%, despite negative performance.</li>
<li>Annualised 21-day volatility more than halved from its late-July peak of 179% to 55%. The decline coincided with the collapse in ETF trading activity and fund flows following regulatory changes.</li>
</ul>



SK hynix (000660 KS) gained 11.2% in September MTD and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 20.9%, but combined AUM increased only 10% as redemptions offset performance.
Units outstanding fell across all seven long leveraged ETFs. In contrast, units in the inverse product more than doubled and its market capitalisation rose 56%, despite negative performance.
Annualised 21-day volatility more than halved from its late-July peak of 179% to 55%. The decline coincided with the collapse in ETF trading activity and fund flows following regulatory changes.


SK Hynix (000660 KS): Volatility Falls to 55% as Leveraged ETF Activity Fades

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A U.S. executive order, "Project Firewall" has imposed a substantial one-time fee of USD100,000 on new H-1B visa applications, directly impacting the primary talent pipeline for Indian IT services firms.</li>
<li>This policy change represents a catalyst that will accelerate Indian IT companies towards higher offshore delivery and greater local hiring in the United States, thereby reshaping their global operating models.</li>
<li>The initial panic has eased, the fee is now seen as manageable, with its real impact unfolding through profitability pressures and evolving talent strategies amid tighter regulations.</li>
</ul>


A U.S. executive order, "Project Firewall" has imposed a substantial one-time fee of USD100,000 on new H-1B visa applications, directly impacting the primary talent pipeline for Indian IT services firms.
This policy change represents a catalyst that will accelerate Indian IT companies towards higher offshore delivery and greater local hiring in the United States, thereby reshaping their global operating models.
The initial panic has eased, the fee is now seen as manageable, with its real impact unfolding through profitability pressures and evolving talent strategies amid tighter regulations.


Thematic Report on H-1B Visa Impact: Can Brain Drain in US Become Brain Gain for India?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced his intention to spend $30 billion on AI infrastructure in the UK. NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet and OpenAI are also ponying up further billions</li>
<li>Jensen Huang declared the UK and AI powerhouse, third in line globally behind the US and China</li>
<li>Is it really UK sovereign AI when it's mostly paid for and made in the USA?</li>
</ul>


Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced his intention to spend $30 billion on AI infrastructure in the UK. NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet and OpenAI are also ponying up further billions
Jensen Huang declared the UK and AI powerhouse, third in line globally behind the US and China
Is it really UK sovereign AI when it's mostly paid for and made in the USA?


UK Sovereign AI Proudly Paid For & Made In The USA

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek has permanently changed the future of AI.  With its R1 model the company democratized AI much the same as Google did for search more than 20 years ago.</li>
<li>China's platform companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> have released their own AI models.</li>
<li>As China's AI industry is benefiting from DeepSeek's cost-effective innovations, the US hyperscalers are being questioned on their ability to justify their enormous AI investments, historical and projected investments.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek has permanently changed the future of AI.  With its R1 model the company democratized AI much the same as Google did for search more than 20 years ago.
China's platform companies like Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) , Tencent (700 HK) , Baidu (9888 HK) , and Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) have released their own AI models.
As China's AI industry is benefiting from DeepSeek's cost-effective innovations, the US hyperscalers are being questioned on their ability to justify their enormous AI investments, historical and projected investments.


DeepSeek Reveals AI's Trillion Dollar Folly: Winners and Losers

<ul>
<li>OpenAI CEO Sam Altman caused quite a stir with his recent comments about an AI bubble, people getting burned and someone on track to lose a phenomenal amount of money</li>
<li>However, his message would appear to be directed at other AI startups, not OpenAI, which he says plans to spend trillions on data centers in the not very distant future
</li>
<li>Meta's no-cost-spared talent grab &amp; Palantir's valuation are bubbly red flags but the AI infrastructure build out currently underway is real &amp; rational, assuming the ROI can follow expeditiously</li>
</ul>


OpenAI CEO Sam Altman caused quite a stir with his recent comments about an AI bubble, people getting burned and someone on track to lose a phenomenal amount of money
However, his message would appear to be directed at other AI startups, not OpenAI, which he says plans to spend trillions on data centers in the not very distant future

Meta's no-cost-spared talent grab &amp; Palantir's valuation are bubbly red flags but the AI infrastructure build out currently underway is real &amp; rational, assuming the ROI can follow expeditiously


@Sama Says There's An AI Bubble. What's Going On?

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS): Volatility Falls to 55% as Leveraged ETF Activity Fades

Despite positive performance, some long-leveraged ETFs lost AUM, while the inverse product attracted significant assets. Collapsing investor...

Gaudenz Schneider

Thematic Report on H-1B Visa Impact: Can Brain Drain in US Become Brain Gain for India?

US executive order imposes $100,000 fee on new H-1B visas, pushing Indian IT firms towards offshore delivery and local hiring in the US, reshaping...

Nimish Maheshwari

UK Sovereign AI Proudly Paid For & Made In The USA

Microsoft will spend $30 billion on AI in the UK with NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet & OpenAI also ponying up further billions. Is it really UK...

William Keating

DeepSeek Reveals AI's Trillion Dollar Folly: Winners and Losers

China's large tech firms made announcements about their AI chip advancements igniting a market rally. This shows China's efforts to develop...

David Mudd

@Sama Says There's An AI Bubble. What's Going On?

Meta's no-cost-spared talent grab & Palantir's valuation are bubbly red flags but the AI infrastructure build out currently underway is real &...

William Keating

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SK Hynix (000660 KS): Volatility Falls to 55% as Leveraged ETF Activity Fades

Despite positive performance, some long-leveraged ETFs lost AUM, while the inverse product attracted significant assets. Collapsing investor...

Gaudenz Schneider

Thematic Report on H-1B Visa Impact: Can Brain Drain in US Become Brain Gain for India?

​US executive order imposes $100,000 fee on new H-1B visas, pushing Indian IT firms towards offshore delivery and local hiring in the US, reshaping...

Nimish Maheshwari

UK Sovereign AI Proudly Paid For & Made In The USA

Microsoft will spend $30 billion on AI in the UK with NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet & OpenAI also ponying up further billions. Is it really UK...

William Keating

DeepSeek Reveals AI's Trillion Dollar Folly: Winners and Losers

China's large tech firms made announcements about their AI chip advancements igniting a market rally. This shows China's efforts to develop...

David Mudd

@Sama Says There's An AI Bubble. What's Going On?

Meta's no-cost-spared talent grab & Palantir's valuation are bubbly red flags but the AI infrastructure build out currently underway is real &...

William Keating

US executive order imposes $100,000 fee on new H-1B visas, pushing Indian IT firms towards offshore delivery and local hiring in the US, reshaping...