Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.9 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, and offset by utilities, financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL and Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.9 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, and offset by utilities, financials, energy.
We highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL and Moutai.


Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai

Analyst

Steve

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a> announced a profit alert for FY22 yesterday.  Net profit is expected to increase 10.2% - 19.6% yoy for the whole year.</li>
<li>The resilient result of Gree should alleviate concerns of the market that Midea is too correlated with China's new home sales. </li>
<li>The stock is trading at 10x 2024E earnings compared to an average of 13x over the last 10 years, with earnings likely growing at a high-single-digit pace.</li>
</ul>



Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH) announced a profit alert for FY22 yesterday.  Net profit is expected to increase 10.2% - 19.6% yoy for the whole year.
The resilient result of Gree should alleviate concerns of the market that Midea is too correlated with China's new home sales. 
The stock is trading at 10x 2024E earnings compared to an average of 13x over the last 10 years, with earnings likely growing at a high-single-digit pace.


Midea (000333 CH):  Positive Read-Through From Gree's Profit Alert

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>'s acquisition of Carrier commercial refrigeration business is earnings accretive. It will also be strategically positive to its growth outlook. </li>
<li>With net cash of Rmb17.3bn, HSH has no problem funding the deal internally. Instead of earning a single-digit return on cash, the business' 9% earnings yield is attractive. </li>
<li>The transaction will extend HSH's application scenarios from household to commercial while elevating its competitiveness in Europe and allowing it to capture the B-end customers. </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)'s acquisition of Carrier commercial refrigeration business is earnings accretive. It will also be strategically positive to its growth outlook. 
With net cash of Rmb17.3bn, HSH has no problem funding the deal internally. Instead of earning a single-digit return on cash, the business' 9% earnings yield is attractive. 
The transaction will extend HSH's application scenarios from household to commercial while elevating its competitiveness in Europe and allowing it to capture the B-end customers. 


Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Expansion of Footprint

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average by 70+bp. Liquid HK H/A Pairs saw H/As -66bp. H/A Pair intracorrelation is down but it feels like liquidation.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows were buys, and sells, respectively, but Hs have had two bad weeks in a row, and high premia A/H pairs have seen premia rise significantly.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs under-perform their As on average by 70+bp. Liquid HK H/A Pairs saw H/As -66bp. H/A Pair intracorrelation is down but it feels like liquidation.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows were buys, and sells, respectively, but Hs have had two bad weeks in a row, and high premia A/H pairs have seen premia rise significantly.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 8 Dec 23): H Down Vs A, Again, Despite SOUTHBOUND Buying; Pharmas Weak

China

Midea Group CO., LTD manufactures, markets and installs household electrical appliances, compressors and components. Midea also provides services in information technology, corporate investment consultation, software and hardware development, property management and corporate engineering supports. Midea Group provides its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)

Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Midea (000333 CH): Positive Read-Through From Gree's Profit Alert

Gree Electric Appliances expects a 10.2% - 19.6% YoY increase in net profit for FY22, alleviating concerns about Midea's correlation with China's...

Steve

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Expansion of Footprint

Haier Smart Home's acquisition of Carrier's commercial refrigeration business is financially beneficial and strategically advantageous, expanding...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 8 Dec 23): H Down Vs A, Again, Despite SOUTHBOUND Buying; Pharmas Weak

Hs in H/A Pairs have underperformed their As by nearly 3% in two weeks despite SOUTHBOUND buying. This week sectors were mixed (last week every one...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Jan 5th): Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Chongqing Changan Automobile, CATL, Moutai.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Midea (000333 CH): Positive Read-Through From Gree's Profit Alert

​Gree Electric Appliances expects a 10.2% - 19.6% YoY increase in net profit for FY22, alleviating concerns about Midea's correlation with China's...

Steve

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Further Expansion of Footprint

​Haier Smart Home's acquisition of Carrier's commercial refrigeration business is financially beneficial and strategically advantageous, expanding...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 8 Dec 23): H Down Vs A, Again, Despite SOUTHBOUND Buying; Pharmas Weak

Hs in H/A Pairs have underperformed their As by nearly 3% in two weeks despite SOUTHBOUND buying. This week sectors were mixed (last week every one...

Travis Lundy

Gree Electric Appliances expects a 10.2% - 19.6% YoY increase in net profit for FY22, alleviating concerns about Midea's correlation with China's...

Haier Smart Home's acquisition of Carrier's commercial refrigeration business is financially beneficial and strategically advantageous, expanding...