Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 16 May and implemented on 6 June.</li>
<li>Following the launch of the God's Eye ADAS, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> could become eligible for index inclusion after meeting the Autonomous theme and Innovation screening.</li>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> in the index could result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature (772 HK)</a> being deleted from the index in June.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the HSTECH INDEX ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 16 May and implemented on 6 June.
Following the launch of the God's Eye ADAS, BYD (1211 HK) could become eligible for index inclusion after meeting the Autonomous theme and Innovation screening.
The inclusion of BYD (1211 HK) in the index could result in China Literature (772 HK) being deleted from the index in June.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: BYD (1211 HK) Could Replace China Literature (772 HK); Huge Trade

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Ind. (669 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> have a very high reliance on the US market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vtech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18812:1" rel="noopener">Vtech Hldgs (303 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK)</a> ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. </li>
<li>The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prada-s-p-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:889:1" rel="noopener">Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK), Techtronic Ind. (669 HK), Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK), and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) have a very high reliance on the US market.

Vtech Hldgs (303 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK) ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. 
The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like Orient Overseas International (316 HK) and Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK).


China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a>, one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise around US$5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise around US$5bn in its H-share listing.
CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


CATL A/H Listing - Early Look - US$5bn Could Be Hong Kong’s Largest This Year

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.9% as of Nov 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy and offset by real estate, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines, Cig Shanghai.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.9% as of Nov 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy and offset by real estate, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines, Cig Shanghai.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.5% as of Nov 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, materials, financials and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL, Sinopec.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.5% as of Nov 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, materials, financials and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL, Sinopec.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

China

Midea Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes home appliances. The Company produces water heaters, air conditioners, ventilation equipment, and consumer appliances. Midea Group also develops robotics and automation systems.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Midea Group (300 HK)

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: BYD (1211 HK) Could Replace China Literature (772 HK); Huge Trade

BYD could replace China Literature in the HSTECH in June. There will be FAF upweights for a few stocks. Funding outflows will be big and there will...

Brian Freitas

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CATL A/H Listing - Early Look - US$5bn Could Be Hong Kong’s Largest This Year

The company has now officially filed for a Hong Kong listing and is said to be looking to raise US$5-7bn. The lead banks on the deal are BofA,...

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: BYD (1211 HK) Could Replace China Literature (772 HK); Huge Trade

BYD could replace China Literature in the HSTECH in June. There will be FAF upweights for a few stocks. Funding outflows will be big and there will...

Brian Freitas

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

​Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CATL A/H Listing - Early Look - US$5bn Could Be Hong Kong’s Largest This Year

The company has now officially filed for a Hong Kong listing and is said to be looking to raise US$5-7bn. The lead banks on the deal are BofA,...

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 28th): Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Guangzhou Automobile, China Everbright Bank, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 21st): Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal Energy, CATL

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, BOC, CSSC O&M Engineering, China Coal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...