Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nickel explorer<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener"> Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>'s board urges shareholders to take no action in response to the on-market takeover from Andrew Forrest's backed Wyloo Metals.</li>
<li>Wyloo is offering A$1.40/share. The offer period commences on the 5 April and runs until the 8 May - unless extended. However, Wyloo's broker is already standing in the market. </li>
<li>Wyloo, together with associates, control 19.87% of the voting power in Mincor. Currently trading 5.7% through terms</li>
</ul>


Nickel explorer Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)'s board urges shareholders to take no action in response to the on-market takeover from Andrew Forrest's backed Wyloo Metals.
Wyloo is offering A$1.40/share. The offer period commences on the 5 April and runs until the 8 May - unless extended. However, Wyloo's broker is already standing in the market. 
Wyloo, together with associates, control 19.87% of the voting power in Mincor. Currently trading 5.7% through terms


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Trimegah Bangun Persada / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/harita-nickel-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97906" rel="noopener">Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/harita-nickel-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:98452" rel="noopener">Harita Nickel IPO: The Bear Case</a>.  </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Harita is fairly valued at the IPO IPO price range of IDR1,220-1,250 per share. We would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.
We previously discussed the IPO in Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case and Harita Nickel IPO: The Bear Case.  
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Harita is fairly valued at the IPO IPO price range of IDR1,220-1,250 per share. We would participate in the IPO.


<ul>
<li>Wyloo has launched an unconditional off-market takeover bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> at A$1.40 per share, a 34.6% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer opens 5 April.</li>
<li>In certain aspects the offer is attractive. The offer values Mincor at a premium to peer and precedent transaction EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples.</li>
<li>However, the offer is at a discount to recent share prices and price targets. Rival bidders (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a>) could also emerge. </li>
</ul>


Wyloo has launched an unconditional off-market takeover bid for Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) at A$1.40 per share, a 34.6% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer opens 5 April.
In certain aspects the offer is attractive. The offer values Mincor at a premium to peer and precedent transaction EV/Resource and EV/Reserve multiples.
However, the offer is at a discount to recent share prices and price targets. Rival bidders (BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) or IGO Ltd (IGO AU)) could also emerge. 


Mincor Resources (MCR AU): Wyloo’s A$1.40 Unconditional Takeover Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/harita-nickel-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97906" rel="noopener">Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on weakening market sentiment, high single customer dependence, gross margin pressure, high cash burn, rising cash collection cycle and deteriorating cash conversion.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.
In Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on weakening market sentiment, high single customer dependence, gross margin pressure, high cash burn, rising cash collection cycle and deteriorating cash conversion.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$650 million. Book building ends on 21 March.</li>
<li>Harita is expected to become Indonesia's largest pure nickel producer based on volume expectations of Harita's nickel mining production in 2022.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak and manageable leverage.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$650 million. Book building ends on 21 March.
Harita is expected to become Indonesia's largest pure nickel producer based on volume expectations of Harita's nickel mining production in 2022.
The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak and manageable leverage.


Australia

Mincor Resources NL is a nickel mining and exploration company with operations in the Kambalda Nickel District in Western Australia.  Through a joint venture, the Company operates the Miitel and Wannaway nickel mines in Kambalda.  The Company also has operations in projects located in Guinea, Tanzania and Fiji.

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Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)

Mincor: Twiggy's On-Market Takeover

Tough market to speculate on revised Offers. Yet Mincor is pretty beaten up here. I can see Wyloo bidding higher. Your downside is 5.4% currently. ...

David Blennerhassett

Harita Nickel IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Harita is fairly valued at the IPO IPO price range of IDR1,220-1,250 per share. We would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

Mincor Resources (MCR AU): Wyloo’s A$1.40 Unconditional Takeover Offer

The offer is light compared to recent share prices and analyst price targets. Expect the Board to reject. The offer could also draw out rival bidders.

Arun George

Harita Nickel IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on weakening market sentiment, high single-customer dependence, gross margin pressure, high cash burn and...

Arun George

Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak...

Arun George

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