External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A Year of Volatility and Market Underperformance: Samvat 2081 was a challenging year for the Indian equity market, with the Indian market underperforming global and emerging markets for the first time since the Covid-19 era.</li><li>In the last one-year, our market witnessed a roller coaster ride marked by extreme volatility in the first half of the SAMVAT, and our Largecap index - Nifty 50, corrected by 16% till 28th Feb’25 from the 26th Sep’24 Peak.</li><li>Over this same time, the broader market corrected a bit deeper while the Mid and Smallcap indices saw a correction of 21% and 25% respectively. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A Year of Volatility and Market Underperformance: Samvat 2081 was a challenging year for the Indian equity market, with the Indian market underperforming global and emerging markets for the first time since the Covid-19 era.In the last one-year, our market witnessed a roller coaster ride marked by extreme volatility in the first half of the SAMVAT, and our Largecap index - Nifty 50, corrected by 16% till 28th Feb’25 from the 26th Sep’24 Peak.Over this same time, the broader market corrected a bit deeper while the Mid and Smallcap indices saw a correction of 21% and 25% respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity inflation, and favourable regulatory norms.</li><li>The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single-digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and double-digit volume growth in the tractor industry.</li><li>The expected YoY EBITDA margin declines due to higher discounts and advertisement expenses being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity inflation, and favourable regulatory norms.The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single-digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and double-digit volume growth in the tractor industry.The expected YoY EBITDA margin declines due to higher discounts and advertisement expenses being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~4.2% YoY, while EBITDA/PAT is expected to decline by ~3.4% each on account of commodity inflation, negative operating leverage, and changes in regulatory norms.</li><li>The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and low teens volume growth in the tractor industry (however, Escorts are up only 1%).</li><li>The expected YoY EBITDA margin decline would be due to higher discounts/advertisement expenses and negative operating leverage (production halts) being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~4.2% YoY, while EBITDA/PAT is expected to decline by ~3.4% each on account of commodity inflation, negative operating leverage, and changes in regulatory norms.The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and low teens volume growth in the tractor industry (however, Escorts are up only 1%).The expected YoY EBITDA margin decline would be due to higher discounts/advertisement expenses and negative operating leverage (production halts) being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.</li><li>This performance was driven by higher ASPs, better sales volumes, the premiumization trend, cost optimization efforts, and operating leverage.</li><li>On a QoQ basis, aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT declined by 4.5%/4.2%/2.2%, against expectations of ~6%/9%/7% declines due to seasonality. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.This performance was driven by higher ASPs, better sales volumes, the premiumization trend, cost optimization efforts, and operating leverage.On a QoQ basis, aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT declined by 4.5%/4.2%/2.2%, against expectations of ~6%/9%/7% declines due to seasonality. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - (Q1FY25)

<ul><li>Q4FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, c) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, and d) Strong pickup in electricity demand.</li><li>Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.</li><li>Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, c) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, and d) Strong pickup in electricity demand.Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Minda Corporation Limited is a leading Indian automotive component manufacturer, specializing in advanced mechatronics, electronic, and mechanical solutions. The company supplies Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket across two-wheelers, three-wheelers, passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-roaders. Its diverse product range includes vehicle access systems, wiring harnesses, die-casting parts, and information and connected systems. Headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India, the company was incorporated in 1985.

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Minda Corporation (MDA IN)

Axis Diwali Muhurat Picks: SAMVAT 2082

Samvat 2081 was a challenging year for the Indian equity market, with the Indian market underperforming global and emerging markets for the first...

Axis Direct

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Automobile

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity...

Axis Direct

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Automobile

On a sequential basis, the Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth for Q1FY26 is expected to degrow by ~7.6%/12.9%/15.7% with over ~100 bps decline in EBITDA...

Axis Direct

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - (Q1FY25)

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.

Axis Direct

Q4FY24 Consolidated Earnings Preview

Q4FY24 earnings season was marked by a) Strong domestic macroeconomic environment, b) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, c) Stronger E-way bill...

Axis Direct

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