Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:267:1" rel="noopener">Infosys Ltd (INFO IN)</a> (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:268:1" rel="noopener">Infosys Ltd Sp Adr (INFY US)</a>) on 5-6 December <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/757B8EEA-EB83-41B2-BC39-5380D9BE2EFB-175849.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an on-market buyback of more than US$1.1bn. </li>
<li>The company has done buybacks before, and it is worthwhile looking at the details.</li>
<li>The buy-back looks small, and may be impactful near-term in near-space. </li>
</ul>



Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) (Infosys Ltd Sp Adr (INFY US)) on 5-6 December announced an on-market buyback of more than US$1.1bn. 
The company has done buybacks before, and it is worthwhile looking at the details.
The buy-back looks small, and may be impactful near-term in near-space. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Baring aims to raise around US$900m by selling its remaining 26.6% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coforge-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8639:1" rel="noopener">Coforge (COFORGE IN)</a> .</li>
<li>Baring has been paring down its stake since 2020 and hence, the selldown is somewhat well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Baring aims to raise around US$900m by selling its remaining 26.6% stake in Coforge (COFORGE IN) .
Baring has been paring down its stake since 2020 and hence, the selldown is somewhat well flagged.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Coforge Placement - US$900m Cleanup, Well Flagged but the Stock Is Toppish

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With only 5 trading days to go in the review period, we see no constituent changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is the highest ranked non-index constituent, but its free float market cap does not exceed 1.5x the free-float market cap of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>We do not expect LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) to be added to the index in March post the merger between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


With only 5 trading days to go in the review period, we see no constituent changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the March rebalance.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is the highest ranked non-index constituent, but its free float market cap does not exceed 1.5x the free-float market cap of Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN). 
We do not expect LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) to be added to the index in March post the merger between Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT IN) and Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN). 


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: No Changes Likely in March

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Accenture reported robust Q1FY23 numbers which stood in line with the street expectations.</li><li>Revenue for the quarter stood at $15.7 Bn, posting an encouraging growth of 5% YoY in USD and 15% in local currency despite rising pressures of slowdown and increasing interest rates.</li><li>In line with the revenue growth, the company’s operating margins grew by 20bps to 16.5%. Its EPS for Q1FY23 stood at $3.08, up 17%, beating analyst estimates of $2.91. Accenture flagged a negative impact of ~9.5% on sales from a stronger dollar.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accenture reported robust Q1FY23 numbers which stood in line with the street expectations.Revenue for the quarter stood at $15.7 Bn, posting an encouraging growth of 5% YoY in USD and 15% in local currency despite rising pressures of slowdown and increasing interest rates.In line with the revenue growth, the company’s operating margins grew by 20bps to 16.5%. Its EPS for Q1FY23 stood at $3.08, up 17%, beating analyst estimates of $2.91. Accenture flagged a negative impact of ~9.5% on sales from a stronger dollar.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accenture - Results In-Line With Expectation; Guidance Below Expectations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q3 revenue growth is likely to be impacted by the higher-than-usual furloughs, lower number of working days at onsite, and elimination of related-party revenue between LTI-MTCL (~0.4% in FY22).</li><li>LTIM is seeing delay in decision-making in Retail &amp; CPG, Hi-tech and E&amp;U.</li><li>Mgmt expects a weaker margin trajectory in H2 due to moderation in the revenue growth momentum and anticipated one-off costs related to the merger &amp; business mix (higher passthrough revenue in H2).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3 revenue growth is likely to be impacted by the higher-than-usual furloughs, lower number of working days at onsite, and elimination of related-party revenue between LTI-MTCL (~0.4% in FY22).LTIM is seeing delay in decision-making in Retail &amp; CPG, Hi-tech and E&amp;U.Mgmt expects a weaker margin trajectory in H2 due to moderation in the revenue growth momentum and anticipated one-off costs related to the merger &amp; business mix (higher passthrough revenue in H2).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LTIMindtree - Demand Moderation and One-Off Costs to Weigh on H2 Performance

India

Mindtree Limited is an international IT company. The Company delivers business and technology solutions through global software development. Mindtree develops applications to help companies enhance their enterprise operations. The Company also delivers product-development services and designs reusable building blocks for high-tech companies.

Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)

Infosys (INFY)'s US$1.1bn Buyback

Infosys has started a US$1bn buyback. This is small at 1.2-1.4% of shares out but it is a larger portion of Real World Float and so far is a VERY...

Travis Lundy

Coforge Placement - US$900m Cleanup, Well Flagged but the Stock Is Toppish

Baring aims to raise around US$900m by selling its remaining 26.6% stake in Coforge (COFORGE IN) . In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: No Changes Likely in March

We do not expect any changes in March since Pidilite's average FFMC does not exceed 1.5x the FFMC for BPCL. There will be an adhoc change prior to...

Brian Freitas

Accenture - Results In-Line With Expectation; Guidance Below Expectations

Revenue for the quarter stood at $15.7 Bn, posting an encouraging growth of 5% YoY in USD and 15% in local currency despite rising pressures of...

Axis Direct

LTIMindtree - Demand Moderation and One-Off Costs to Weigh on H2 Performance

Q3 revenue growth is likely to be impacted by the higher-than-usual furloughs, lower number of working days at onsite, and elimination of related...

Emkay