Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, there could be 36 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>Completion of the merger with Chemist Warehouse in February will set off huge passive buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> over the February to June period.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, there could be 36 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
Completion of the merger with Chemist Warehouse in February will set off huge passive buying in Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) over the February to June period.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 10 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> is likely to experience major index inflows in March 2025 if the merger completes as planned.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 10 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.

Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) is likely to experience major index inflows in March 2025 if the merger completes as planned.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

Event-Driven

Endeavour Group /Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Up to six Aussie stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February. The final list of deletions depends on stock performance over the next 2-3 weeks.</li>
<li>If deleted, passive trackers will need to sell between A$370m-A$500m in the stocks. Impact is high at between 7-24 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The potential deletions have underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> over every time period from 1 week to 3 months. Positioning is still low in a few stocks.</li>
</ul>


Up to six Aussie stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February. The final list of deletions depends on stock performance over the next 2-3 weeks.
If deleted, passive trackers will need to sell between A$370m-A$500m in the stocks. Impact is high at between 7-24 days of ADV.
The potential deletions have underperformed the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) over every time period from 1 week to 3 months. Positioning is still low in a few stocks.


Australia: Six Stocks in Passive Selling Crosshairs for February

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perseus-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15306:1" rel="noopener">Perseus Mining (PRU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sandfire-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1259:1" rel="noopener">Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR AU)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30999:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Resources ETF (MVR AU)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 7.4% and in a round-trip trade of A$63m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining</a> will be acquired by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources</a> in the first half of 2025. The passive buying could push <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining</a> higher in the short-term.</li>
</ul>



De Grey Mining (DEG AU), Perseus Mining (PRU AU) and Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR AU) will be added to the Vaneck Vectors Australian Resources ETF (MVR AU) in December.
Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 7.4% and in a round-trip trade of A$63m.

De Grey Mining will be acquired by Northern Star Resources in the first half of 2025. The passive buying could push De Grey Mining higher in the short-term.


MVIS Australia Resources Index Rebalance: 3 Adds, Capping & Float Changes

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 6th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank, Goodman.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 6th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank, Goodman.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank

Australia

Mineral Resources Ltd. offers contract crushing services to the mining industry in Australia.  The Company serves gold, iron ore, tantalum, and coal companies.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Mineral Resources (MIN AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger

There could be 36 changes for the ASX indices in March. There is big flow and impact. The Sigma merger with CWG will result in over A$2bn of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

We expect there to be a total of 650mn shares to buy from the ASX family during the March 2025 index rebal event. This is roughly US$1.1bn in flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Australia: Six Stocks in Passive Selling Crosshairs for February

6 Aussie stocks appear in the crosshairs of passive selling in Feb. If deleted, passives will need to sell between A$370m-A$500m in the stocks....

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia Resources Index Rebalance: 3 Adds, Capping & Float Changes

De Grey Mining, Perseus Mining and Sandfire Resources will be added to the MVR ETF in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.4% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger

There could be 36 changes for the ASX indices in March. There is big flow and impact. The Sigma merger with CWG will result in over A$2bn of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

We expect there to be a total of 650mn shares to buy from the ASX family during the March 2025 index rebal event. This is roughly US$1.1bn in flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Australia: Six Stocks in Passive Selling Crosshairs for February

6 Aussie stocks appear in the crosshairs of passive selling in Feb. If deleted, passives will need to sell between A$370m-A$500m in the stocks....

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia Resources Index Rebalance: 3 Adds, Capping & Float Changes

De Grey Mining, Perseus Mining and Sandfire Resources will be added to the MVR ETF in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.4% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger