Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced index review for the June 2026 Rebalance. Our pre-announcement note dated 11 May 2026 called both ADD candidates and both DELETE candidates correctly.</li>
<li>We analyzed dynamics around two ADDs, from a historical perspective, on the post-announcement positioning.</li>
<li>We also analyzed dynamics around two DELETEs. Both DELETEs fell by similar magnitudes with slightly above-baseline volume</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced index review for the June 2026 Rebalance. Our pre-announcement note dated 11 May 2026 called both ADD candidates and both DELETE candidates correctly.
We analyzed dynamics around two ADDs, from a historical perspective, on the post-announcement positioning.
We also analyzed dynamics around two DELETEs. Both DELETEs fell by similar magnitudes with slightly above-baseline volume


HS TECH June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

<ul>
<li>We screen the HSCI eligible universe for Q1 fast-entry candidates ahead of the May 2026 review.</li>
<li>Five stocks qualify as ADD candidates for HSCI inclusion this cycle. Fast entry rules apply.</li>
<li>The sixth name is mid-conviction, contingent on the committee's read of its specialist listing status.</li>
</ul>


We screen the HSCI eligible universe for Q1 fast-entry candidates ahead of the May 2026 review.
Five stocks qualify as ADD candidates for HSCI inclusion this cycle. Fast entry rules apply.
The sixth name is mid-conviction, contingent on the committee's read of its specialist listing status.


HSCI / HK Connect May 2026 Review Forecast

<ul>
<li>We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the index's May 2026 quarterly review.</li>
<li>Both of the ADD candidates are well within the ADD zone.</li>
<li>One delete is now in the forced delete zone at rank 37, the second remains in the buffer zone.</li>
</ul>


We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the index's May 2026 quarterly review.
Both of the ADD candidates are well within the ADD zone.
One delete is now in the forced delete zone at rank 37, the second remains in the buffer zone.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There were 39 new listings on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the first quarter of the calendar year. </li>
<li>Of the 39 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the HSCI Index in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect from 8 June.</li>
<li>Over US$15.5bn of cornerstone and pre-IPO shares will unlock in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax Group (100 HK)</a> on 9 July. The stock will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect in August.</li>
</ul>


There were 39 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the first quarter of the calendar year. 
Of the 39 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the HSCI Index in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect from 8 June.
Over US$15.5bn of cornerstone and pre-IPO shares will unlock in MiniMax Group (100 HK) on 9 July. The stock will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect in August.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

<ul>
<li>HSCI entry. MiniMax becomes a strong HSCI candidate for June 2026 with MV12 of HKD 225bn.</li>
<li>HS TECH entry. We expect MiniMax to enter HS TECH at the May 2026 review.</li>
<li>HSI barrier. The FY25 net loss will likely fail it for the immediate HSI review.</li>
</ul>


HSCI entry. MiniMax becomes a strong HSCI candidate for June 2026 with MV12 of HKD 225bn.
HS TECH entry. We expect MiniMax to enter HS TECH at the May 2026 review.
HSI barrier. The FY25 net loss will likely fail it for the immediate HSI review.


China

MiniMax Group is an artificial intelligence company that develops multimodal AI models and consumer applications. Its offerings include AI character apps like Talkie and Xingye, and video-generation services such as Hailuo AI. The company also creates proprietary foundation models capable of understanding, generating, and integrating various modalities including text, audio, images, video, and music. Headquartered in Shanghai, China, MiniMax was founded in December 2021.

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MiniMax (100 HK)

HS TECH June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSTECH June 2026 post-announcement cycle is starting. ADD setup is stock-specific after divergent WPreA2 moves. DELETE continuation depends on WAI0...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect May 2026 Review Forecast

HSCI May 2026 rebalance announcement due after market close today: a good time to revisit our review forecast as the decision approaches.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index May 2026 Review Forecast

HS TECH May 2026 rebalance announcement due after market close today: a good time to revisit our review forecast as the decision approaches.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

Announcement after market close tomorrow. There could be last-minute positioning next 2 weeks ahead of inclusion of the stocks in Stock Connect....

Brian Freitas

MiniMax-W: Index Events Reassessed

We analyze Minimax's upcoming index event and reassess the possibility of its HSI entry. HS TECH and HSCI enter in June; HSI is deferred until the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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