Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the index's May 2026 quarterly review.</li>
<li>Both of the ADD candidates are well within the ADD zone.</li>
<li>One delete is now in the forced delete zone at rank 37, the second remains in the buffer zone.</li>
</ul>


We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the index's May 2026 quarterly review.
Both of the ADD candidates are well within the ADD zone.
One delete is now in the forced delete zone at rank 37, the second remains in the buffer zone.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There were 39 new listings on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the first quarter of the calendar year. </li>
<li>Of the 39 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the HSCI Index in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect from 8 June.</li>
<li>Over US$15.5bn of cornerstone and pre-IPO shares will unlock in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax Group (100 HK)</a> on 9 July. The stock will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect in August.</li>
</ul>


There were 39 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the first quarter of the calendar year. 
Of the 39 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the HSCI Index in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect from 8 June.
Over US$15.5bn of cornerstone and pre-IPO shares will unlock in MiniMax Group (100 HK) on 9 July. The stock will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect in August.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and M&amp;A: Anthropic paired its Series H with Opus 4.8, while MiniMax pushed A-share plans.</li>
<li>MiniMax disclosed USD 300m ARR, previewed M3, and started CITIC Securities counselling. Xiaomi cut API pricing to match DeepSeek.</li>
<li>OpenRouter data showed Anthropic revenue dominance even as DeepSeek and Tencent topped token usage, while Cognition and Fireworks extended private-market comps.</li>
</ul>


We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and M&amp;A: Anthropic paired its Series H with Opus 4.8, while MiniMax pushed A-share plans.
MiniMax disclosed USD 300m ARR, previewed M3, and started CITIC Securities counselling. Xiaomi cut API pricing to match DeepSeek.
OpenRouter data showed Anthropic revenue dominance even as DeepSeek and Tencent topped token usage, while Cognition and Fireworks extended private-market comps.


This Week in AI (May 24-30): Anthropic Raises $65bn and Launches Opus 4.8; MiniMax's H+A and M3

<ul>
<li>HSCI entry. MiniMax becomes a strong HSCI candidate for June 2026 with MV12 of HKD 225bn.</li>
<li>HS TECH entry. We expect MiniMax to enter HS TECH at the May 2026 review.</li>
<li>HSI barrier. The FY25 net loss will likely fail it for the immediate HSI review.</li>
</ul>


HSCI entry. MiniMax becomes a strong HSCI candidate for June 2026 with MV12 of HKD 225bn.
HS TECH entry. We expect MiniMax to enter HS TECH at the May 2026 review.
HSI barrier. The FY25 net loss will likely fail it for the immediate HSI review.


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong is on track to complete $40 billion in IPOs this year, with demand coming from unicorn tech companies and A-share firms seeking dual listings. </li>
<li>AI, new energy technology, and healthcare will be the leading IPO sectors.  There are 450 companies that have filed for IPOs in Hong Kong in 2026.</li>
<li>With IPO oversubscriptions extremely high, investors are buying peer companies in the same industry, benefiting from spillover or halo effects.  </li>
</ul>


Hong Kong is on track to complete $40 billion in IPOs this year, with demand coming from unicorn tech companies and A-share firms seeking dual listings. 
AI, new energy technology, and healthcare will be the leading IPO sectors.  There are 450 companies that have filed for IPOs in Hong Kong in 2026.
With IPO oversubscriptions extremely high, investors are buying peer companies in the same industry, benefiting from spillover or halo effects.  


HONG KONG IPO WATCH: Follow the Leader Strategy (April 2026)

China

MiniMax Group is an artificial intelligence company that develops multimodal AI models and consumer applications. Its offerings include AI character apps like Talkie and Xingye, and video-generation services such as Hailuo AI. The company also creates proprietary foundation models capable of understanding, generating, and integrating various modalities including text, audio, images, video, and music. Headquartered in Shanghai, China, MiniMax was founded in December 2021.

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MiniMax (100 HK)

HS TECH Index May 2026 Review Forecast

HS TECH May 2026 rebalance announcement due after market close today: a good time to revisit our review forecast as the decision approaches.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Stock Connect & Index Buying Vs Lock-Up Expiry Selling

Announcement after market close tomorrow. There could be last-minute positioning next 2 weeks ahead of inclusion of the stocks in Stock Connect....

Brian Freitas

This Week in AI (May 24-30): Anthropic Raises $65bn and Launches Opus 4.8; MiniMax's H+A and M3

This week in AI: Anthropic raised $65bn and launched Opus 4.8; MiniMax seeks A-share listing and previews M3; Huawei shows Tau roadmap.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MiniMax-W: Index Events Reassessed

We analyze Minimax's upcoming index event and reassess the possibility of its HSI entry. HS TECH and HSCI enter in June; HSI is deferred until the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HONG KONG IPO WATCH: Follow the Leader Strategy (April 2026)

KB Laminates (1888 HK) has gained 90% since our April report on the following-the-leader strategy. Kingboard Holdings (148 HK) holds a 70% stake...

David Mudd

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