Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;</li>
<li>China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;</li>
<li>ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.</li>
</ul>


China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;
China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;
ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.


Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK)</a> has surged 34% since announcing strong 9M24 results, backed by robust revenue growth, in end November, 2024.</li>
<li>With strong growth prospects, the stock could scale further in 2025, driven by rapid store expansion, blind box toys, ACG goods, and collaborations with top IPs like Harry Potter.</li>
<li>MINISO’s evolution from a value retailer into a lifestyle brand with trademarked IP goods, innovative blind boxes, and creative retail formats enhances its competitive edge and drives growth.</li>
</ul>



MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) has surged 34% since announcing strong 9M24 results, backed by robust revenue growth, in end November, 2024.
With strong growth prospects, the stock could scale further in 2025, driven by rapid store expansion, blind box toys, ACG goods, and collaborations with top IPs like Harry Potter.
MINISO’s evolution from a value retailer into a lifestyle brand with trademarked IP goods, innovative blind boxes, and creative retail formats enhances its competitive edge and drives growth.


MINISO (9896 HK): From Blind Boxes to ACG Hits—Growth Magic Continues in 2025!

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>During Hong Kong's market correction during November, we noticed that the Put/Call spread stayed below 1 and the skew moved to its lowest level in 3 years both bullish signals.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> share price had a golden cross breakout on December 3, as the casual dining sector in China shows growth going into next year.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK)</a> had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern relative to MXEF.  The gap up in the share price and momentum signals confirms the uptrend.
</li>
</ul>


During Hong Kong's market correction during November, we noticed that the Put/Call spread stayed below 1 and the skew moved to its lowest level in 3 years both bullish signals.

Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) share price had a golden cross breakout on December 3, as the casual dining sector in China shows growth going into next year.


MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern relative to MXEF.  The gap up in the share price and momentum signals confirms the uptrend.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

<ul>
<li>LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)</li>
<li>MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)</li>
<li>981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)
MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)
981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing</li>
<li>Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors</li>
<li>Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio</li>
</ul>


A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing
Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors
Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio


November Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

China

MINISO Group Holding is a value retailer with a focus on offering products that are aesthetically pleasing, good-quality, and affordable.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Miniso (MNSO US)

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

MINISO (9896 HK): From Blind Boxes to ACG Hits—Growth Magic Continues in 2025!

Growth in 2025 could pick up pace as MINISO accelerates its transformation from a value retailer into a lifestyle brand with more trademarked IP...

Devi Subhakesan

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Hong Kong show decreased volatility and increased mainland buying continue since the US election. YUM China share price broke out (golden...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

November Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

MINISO (9896 HK): From Blind Boxes to ACG Hits—Growth Magic Continues in 2025!

Growth in 2025 could pick up pace as MINISO accelerates its transformation from a value retailer into a lifestyle brand with more trademarked IP...

Devi Subhakesan

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Hong Kong show decreased volatility and increased mainland buying continue since the US election. YUM China share price broke out (golden...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

​Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

November Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...