Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea's local ETF market has experienced explosive growth in recent years. Over the past year, total ETF net assets have increased by 42%.</li>
<li>As a result, the flow impact they have on the market is growing significantly. So, we are now in great need to thoroughly investigates the local equity ETF market.</li>
<li><strong>Hence, this post looks at the thematic ETFs, which are still somewhat overlooked by the market, thus providing uncrowded flow trading opportunities.</strong></li>
</ul>


Korea's local ETF market has experienced explosive growth in recent years. Over the past year, total ETF net assets have increased by 42%.
As a result, the flow impact they have on the market is growing significantly. So, we are now in great need to thoroughly investigates the local equity ETF market.
Hence, this post looks at the thematic ETFs, which are still somewhat overlooked by the market, thus providing uncrowded flow trading opportunities.


A Guide to Thematic Equity ETFs in Korea for Uncrowded Flow Trading Opportunities

<ul>
<li>TIGER ETF (305540) rebalanced on January 11th, with Ecopro Materials correcting by 4%, contrasting a 20% surge from Jan 8-10. TIGER recorded net purchases aligning with a 2% inclusion weight.</li>
<li>Preemptive positions by local hedge funds were observed from Jan 8-10, closing on the 11th. Despite a KOSPI decline and minimal sector movement, Ecopro Materials exhibited this unusual price pattern.</li>
<li>Observing this pattern implies a potential recurrence during the March rebalancing of KODEX ETF. Notably, local hedge funds may initiate similar preemptive positions. We should consider this in position setup.</li>
</ul>


TIGER ETF (305540) rebalanced on January 11th, with Ecopro Materials correcting by 4%, contrasting a 20% surge from Jan 8-10. TIGER recorded net purchases aligning with a 2% inclusion weight.
Preemptive positions by local hedge funds were observed from Jan 8-10, closing on the 11th. Despite a KOSPI decline and minimal sector movement, Ecopro Materials exhibited this unusual price pattern.
Observing this pattern implies a potential recurrence during the March rebalancing of KODEX ETF. Notably, local hedge funds may initiate similar preemptive positions. We should consider this in position setup.


Spotting Position Patterns: TIGER Battery ETF January Review & KODEX ETF's March Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>Based on the latest closing prices, the potential INs/OUTs are as follows. INs: Soulbrain &amp; Enchem / OUTs: Chunbo &amp; Solus Advanced Materials</li>
<li>While the overall market liquidity constraints due to the short-selling ban could exacerbate the price impact on the rebalancing day, it may reduce the flexibility of our Long-Short setup strategies.</li>
<li>While Chunbo carries single-stock futures, its liquidity may not be sufficient. So, a more creative Long-Short approach is required, taking into account these factors.</li>
</ul>


Based on the latest closing prices, the potential INs/OUTs are as follows. INs: Soulbrain &amp; Enchem / OUTs: Chunbo &amp; Solus Advanced Materials
While the overall market liquidity constraints due to the short-selling ban could exacerbate the price impact on the rebalancing day, it may reduce the flexibility of our Long-Short setup strategies.
While Chunbo carries single-stock futures, its liquidity may not be sufficient. So, a more creative Long-Short approach is required, taking into account these factors.


TIGER Battery Material ETF Rebal in December: Notable Changes in Constituent Screening

<ul>
<li>In the inaugural constituent selection, FnGuide revealed a noteworthy pattern. Given the smaller market capitalization of the electrolyte suppliers, FnGuide has included only the largest among them in this ETF.</li>
<li>SoulBrain, categorized by FnGuide as an electrolyte supplier like Chunbo, has significantly outperformed Chunbo. As a result, there is a considerable likelihood that SoulBrain will replace Chunbo in December.</li>
<li>The price impact from ETF rebalancing trading has disappeared substantially in Korea. We should focus on the first rebalancing of newly listed ETFs that haven't yet established a learning effect.</li>
</ul>


In the inaugural constituent selection, FnGuide revealed a noteworthy pattern. Given the smaller market capitalization of the electrolyte suppliers, FnGuide has included only the largest among them in this ETF.
SoulBrain, categorized by FnGuide as an electrolyte supplier like Chunbo, has significantly outperformed Chunbo. As a result, there is a considerable likelihood that SoulBrain will replace Chunbo in December.
The price impact from ETF rebalancing trading has disappeared substantially in Korea. We should focus on the first rebalancing of newly listed ETFs that haven't yet established a learning effect.


Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea

<ul>
<li>We now have an environment that allows Korea's battery ETFs to include LG Chem in upcoming reviews. KODEX is in June, and TIGER is in July.</li>
<li>If LG Chem is included in each review, the expected one-day inflow is at 0.7-0.8x DTV, which can lead to a price impact similar to that of SKIET in 2021.</li>
<li>We should consider setups targeting this, including Long Short, which utilizes LG Energy Solution or LG Corp as a hedge.</li>
</ul>


We now have an environment that allows Korea's battery ETFs to include LG Chem in upcoming reviews. KODEX is in June, and TIGER is in July.
If LG Chem is included in each review, the expected one-day inflow is at 0.7-0.8x DTV, which can lead to a price impact similar to that of SKIET in 2021.
We should consider setups targeting this, including Long Short, which utilizes LG Energy Solution or LG Corp as a hedge.


Flow Trading Opportunities on LG Chem with Potential Inclusion in Battery ETFs

South Korea

MIRAE ASSET TIGER SECONDARY CELL ETF is an exchange-traded fund issued in South Korea. The objective of the ETF is to seek returns corresponding to the returns of the "WISE Secondary Cell Theme Index".

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF (305540 KS)

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF (305540 KS)

A Guide to Thematic Equity ETFs in Korea for Uncrowded Flow Trading Opportunities

This post looks at the thematic ETFs, which are still somewhat overlooked by the market, thus providing uncrowded flow trading opportunities.

Sanghyun Park

Spotting Position Patterns: TIGER Battery ETF January Review & KODEX ETF's March Rebalancing

A noteworthy pattern surfaced during the recent quarterly rebalancing of TIGER ETF (305540) held on the second Thursday of the month. In this post,...

Sanghyun Park

TIGER Battery Material ETF Rebal in December: Notable Changes in Constituent Screening

This post explores the latest screening outcomes of the TIGER Secondary Battery Materials ETF rebalancing in December, highlighting significant...

Sanghyun Park

Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea

This post investigates the compelling Long Short opportunity of a newly-listed sector ETF rebalancing in Korea, which appears to be overlooked by...

Sanghyun Park

Flow Trading Opportunities on LG Chem with Potential Inclusion in Battery ETFs

This post looks at the flow trading opportunities on LG Chem, as it will likely be included in Korea's two battery ETFs in the upcoming reviews.

Sanghyun Park