Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

ESSA Industries Indonesia / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.</li>
<li>Largest passive inflows are expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-esa-perkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14326:1" rel="noopener">Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.
Largest passive inflows are expected to be on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) and Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

Bumi Resources Minerals / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 30 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-esa-perkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14326:1" rel="noopener">Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saratoga-investama-sedaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13714:1" rel="noopener"> Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-dayamitra-telekomunikasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Mitratel (MTEL IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wijaya-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1877:1" rel="noopener">PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erajaya-swasembada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18869:1" rel="noopener">Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hm-sampoerna-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:617:1" rel="noopener">HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 30 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
Potential adds are Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ), Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ), Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ), Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ) and Mitratel (MTEL IJ). 
Potential deletions are PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA IJ), Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ), Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ), Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ) and HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ). 


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Few Weeks to Implementation

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpj-healthcare-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:877:1" rel="noopener">KPJ Healthcare (KPJ MK)</a> is seeing a resurgence in elective medical procedures and recovery of the health tourism sector. In Q3, total revenue hit highest level in last two years.</li>
<li>Growth was mainly driven by the improving hospital activities evidenced by the increase in patient visits and bed occupancy rate. Bed occupancy has reached pre-pandemic level.  </li>
<li>KPJ Healthcare has opened new flagship quaternary level smart hospital, Damansara Specialist Hospital 2 in September. The new hospital will add value and accelerate further growth for the company.</li>
</ul>



KPJ Healthcare (KPJ MK) is seeing a resurgence in elective medical procedures and recovery of the health tourism sector. In Q3, total revenue hit highest level in last two years.
Growth was mainly driven by the improving hospital activities evidenced by the increase in patient visits and bed occupancy rate. Bed occupancy has reached pre-pandemic level.  
KPJ Healthcare has opened new flagship quaternary level smart hospital, Damansara Specialist Hospital 2 in September. The new hospital will add value and accelerate further growth for the company.


KPJ Healthcare (KPJ MK): 3Q22 Result- Continued Improvement in Operating Parameters

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-keluarga-karyasehat-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:288:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Keluarga</a>'s 3Q2022 results reflected the changing environment with patient volumes higher and back above COVID levels but treatment intensity came down YoY in 3Q2022 given last year's Delta base.</li>
<li>MIKA continues to expand its hospital numbers through greenfield and brownfield expansions with three new hospitals due to open in the next 12 months plus it is open to M&amp;A.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-keluarga-karyasehat-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:288:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Keluarga's</a> treatment intensity should start to improve over the next few quarters given management's focus on this plus easier YoY comparisons. Valuations remain attractive versus historical levels. </li>
</ul>



Mitra Keluarga's 3Q2022 results reflected the changing environment with patient volumes higher and back above COVID levels but treatment intensity came down YoY in 3Q2022 given last year's Delta base.
MIKA continues to expand its hospital numbers through greenfield and brownfield expansions with three new hospitals due to open in the next 12 months plus it is open to M&amp;A.

Mitra Keluarga's treatment intensity should start to improve over the next few quarters given management's focus on this plus easier YoY comparisons. Valuations remain attractive versus historical levels. 


Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA IJ) - Higher Volumes Lower Intensity

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medikaloka-hermina-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27000:1" rel="noopener">Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ)</a> is unique in Indonesia for its focus on women and children, which makes it a resilient performer plus more than half its patients are JKN related.</li>
<li>The company booked a strong set of 1H2022 results despite coming off a high COVID base, with Inpatient and outpatient numbers already above pre-pandemic levels. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> now owns over 7% of the company in its first hospital investment and we could see this stake rising further. Valuations are attractive versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-keluarga-karyasehat-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:288:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Keluarga</a>.</li>
</ul>



Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) is unique in Indonesia for its focus on women and children, which makes it a resilient performer plus more than half its patients are JKN related.
The company booked a strong set of 1H2022 results despite coming off a high COVID base, with Inpatient and outpatient numbers already above pre-pandemic levels. 

Astra International now owns over 7% of the company in its first hospital investment and we could see this stake rising further. Valuations are attractive versus Mitra Keluarga.


Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) - Forging Ahead Beyond COVID

Indonesia

PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk is a prominent Indonesian private hospital operator that owns and manages hospitals, offering both outpatient and inpatient healthcare services. The company's network includes Mitra Keluarga Hospitals and Kasih Group Hospitals, providing specialized medical care such as oncology, radiotherapy, brain and spine care, women and children's health, and orthopedic services. It also offers healthcare platform services. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ)

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

There are 3, 6 and 7 changes for the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices. There are only 4 days to implementation and multiple days ADV to trade on a lot...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Few Weeks to Implementation

We filter stocks that have a possibility of becoming adds/deletes for the LQ45 Index in Jan. The impact on the deletes will be higher, plus there...

Brian Freitas

KPJ Healthcare (KPJ MK): 3Q22 Result- Continued Improvement in Operating Parameters

With continued improvement in hospital activities, KPJ Healthcare recorded accelerated double-digit revenue growth, with bed occupancy hitting pre...

Tina Banerjee

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA IJ) - Higher Volumes Lower Intensity

Mitra Keluarga's treatment intensity should start to improve over the next few quarters given management's focus on this plus and easier YoY...

Angus Mackintosh

Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) - Forging Ahead Beyond COVID

Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) is unique in Indonesia for its focus on women and children, which makes it a resilient performer plus more than half...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

There are 3, 6 and 7 changes for the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices. There are only 4 days to implementation and multiple days ADV to trade on a lot...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Few Weeks to Implementation

We filter stocks that have a possibility of becoming adds/deletes for the LQ45 Index in Jan. The impact on the deletes will be higher, plus there...

Brian Freitas

KPJ Healthcare (KPJ MK): 3Q22 Result- Continued Improvement in Operating Parameters

With continued improvement in hospital activities, KPJ Healthcare recorded accelerated double-digit revenue growth, with bed occupancy hitting pre...

Tina Banerjee

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA IJ) - Higher Volumes Lower Intensity

Mitra Keluarga's treatment intensity should start to improve over the next few quarters given management's focus on this plus and easier YoY...

Angus Mackintosh

Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) - Forging Ahead Beyond COVID

Medikaloka Hermina (HEAL IJ) is unique in Indonesia for its focus on women and children, which makes it a resilient performer plus more than half...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation