Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The BOJ Buys ETFs.It has a program which was running at ¥3 trillion (roughly US$30bn) a year for "regular" equity index ETF purchases, and an additional ¥300 billion (roughly US$3bn) a year in "Purchases of ETFs to support investment in physical and human capital." (hereafter IPHC)As discussed in the first insight in this "Japan Flow" series <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-flow-i-the-boj-s-new-etf-buying" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:5065">JAPAN FLOW I:  The BOJ’s New ETF Buying</a> a week ago, the BOJ on July 28 announced an increase in its ETF buying to an annual ¥6 trillion yen - in one fell…

The BOJ Buys ETFs.It has a program which was running at ¥3 trillion (roughly US$30bn) a year for "regular" equity index ETF purchases, and an additional ¥300 billion (roughly US$3bn) a year in "Purchases of ETFs to support investment in physical and human capital." (hereafter IPHC)As discussed in the first insight in this "Japan Flow" series JAPAN FLOW I:  The BOJ’s New ETF Buying a week ago, the BOJ on July 28 announced an increase in its ETF buying to an annual ¥6 trillion yen - in one fell…

JAPAN FLOW II:  Just What ETFs Does the BOJ Buy? Could We See an April2000-Style Nikkei 225 Rebal?

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Effissimo Capital Management launched a partial Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanken-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6073:1" rel="noopener">Sanken Electric (6707 JP)</a> five years ago. The goal was 20%. That tender failed but 6mos later they were at 19%.</li>
<li>Effissimo bought more, and the company bought back 20% of shares; Effissimo is at 36% now. In late 2022, Oasis bought 6.8%. Now 9.8%. Activists effectively control the vote.</li>
<li>In Q3 2024, Sanken de-consolidated <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allegro-microsystems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29707:1" rel="noopener">Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM US)</a> but their stake is still 2x Sanken's market cap. The "core" business is weak, but should grow. The question is pressure.</li>
</ul>


Effissimo Capital Management launched a partial Tender Offer for Sanken Electric (6707 JP) five years ago. The goal was 20%. That tender failed but 6mos later they were at 19%.
Effissimo bought more, and the company bought back 20% of shares; Effissimo is at 36% now. In late 2022, Oasis bought 6.8%. Now 9.8%. Activists effectively control the vote.
In Q3 2024, Sanken de-consolidated Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM US) but their stake is still 2x Sanken's market cap. The "core" business is weak, but should grow. The question is pressure.


[Japan Activism] Activists Control Sanken (6707 JP) Going Forward - Watch For Better Plans

Last Thursday, the BOJ <a href="https://www.boj.or.jp/en/announcements/release_2016/k160729a.pdf" target="_blank">announced</a> the results of its Monetary Policy Committee meeting for July. It was a "late" announcement, coming at 12:45, and led to some changes, but less than the market had expected (no helicopter money and no new bond buys). Stocks fell, then rose sharply with banks rallying across the board, but have since fallen (the media has ascribed the fall at the start of August to "disappointment" in Japan stimulus plans and the BOJ - a 'cause' I think spurious - there are other…

Last Thursday, the BOJ announced the results of its Monetary Policy Committee meeting for July. It was a "late" announcement, coming at 12:45, and led to some changes, but less than the market had expected (no helicopter money and no new bond buys). Stocks fell, then rose sharply with banks rallying across the board, but have since fallen (the media has ascribed the fall at the start of August to "disappointment" in Japan stimulus plans and the BOJ - a 'cause' I think spurious - there are other…

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan, otherwise not known for exciting electoral outcomes, of late. Indeed, we must go back to 2003 to cite an example of where dollar-yen moved more than 1% in either direction in the wake of a Japanese election (moreover, in 2003 this was a Lower House election, generally of greater impact upon Japanese legislation).  The Nikkei 225 has tended to be…

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan, otherwise not known for exciting electoral outcomes, of late.   Indeed, we must go back to 2003 to cite an example of where dollar-yen moved more than 1% in either direction in the wake of a Japanese election (moreover, in 2003 this was a Lower House election, generally of greater impact upon Japanese legislation).  The Nikkei 225 has tended to be…

Japanese Elections: "Abenomics" Versus a Move to the Right

Japan

Mitsubishi Electric Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets electronic equipment.  The Company's products include industrial machinery, heavy electric machinery, data communications systems, electronic devices, and consumer electronics.

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Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JP)

JAPAN FLOW II: Just What ETFs Does the BOJ Buy? Could We See an April2000-Style Nikkei 225 Rebal?

The BOJ Buys ETFs.It has a program which was running at ¥3 trillion (roughly US$30bn) a year for "regular" equity index ETF purchases, and an...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Activism] Activists Control Sanken (6707 JP) Going Forward - Watch For Better Plans

Sanken Electric is 45-46% owned by two declared activists and there is probably more than 50% held by those two and hangers-on. It is cheap to its...

Travis Lundy

JAPAN FLOW I: The BOJ's New ETF Buying

Last Thursday, the BOJ announced the results of its Monetary Policy Committee meeting for July. It was a "late" announcement, coming at 12:45, and...

Travis Lundy

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Japanese Elections: "Abenomics" Versus a Move to the Right

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan,...

Naomi Fink

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