Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Earnings surpassed consensus expectations providing no pullback to allow entry</li>
<li>Most operating metrics improved and all trends are goign in the right direction</li>
<li>Capital management is top of mind for management with a common thread of increasing ROEs and PBRs</li>
</ul>


Earnings surpassed consensus expectations providing no pullback to allow entry
Most operating metrics improved and all trends are goign in the right direction
Capital management is top of mind for management with a common thread of increasing ROEs and PBRs


Japanese Megabanks' Earnings Exceed Expectations - Stay on the Train?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,745m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan Airport Terminal, Lintec, Mizuho Financial, Tokyo Electron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,745m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan Airport Terminal, Lintec, Mizuho Financial, Tokyo Electron.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

<ul>
<li>This week, earnings results for the megabanks risk being a “sell on the news” event.</li>
<li>Analysts have been raising earnings estimates over the past 2 months.</li>
<li>Longer term story intact with most dynamics trending in their favour.</li>
</ul>


This week, earnings results for the megabanks risk being a “sell on the news” event.
Analysts have been raising earnings estimates over the past 2 months.
Longer term story intact with most dynamics trending in their favour.


Making Bank - Sector Outperforming Despite the BoJ's “dovishness”

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paypay-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35269:1" rel="noopener">PayPay (PAYP US)</a> (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its shareholders is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its shareholders is set to expire soon.
PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries</li>
<li>There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit</li>
<li>Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth</li>
</ul>


We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries
There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit
Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth


Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

Japan

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is a holding company established through the merger of Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group and UFJ Holdings. As a financial group, the Company provides a variety of financial and investment services including commercial banking, trust banking, international finance, and assets management services.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

Price Gauge
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

Japanese Megabanks' Earnings Exceed Expectations - Stay on the Train?

Banks' strong earnings performance and focus on capital management drives positive stock price performance. Will it continue?

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Making Bank - Sector Outperforming Despite the BoJ's “dovishness”

Analysts raise earnings estimates for megabanks, but upcoming results may trigger a "sell on the news" reaction. Overall, long-term outlook...

Rikki Malik

Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its...

Sumeet Singh

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japanese Megabanks' Earnings Exceed Expectations - Stay on the Train?

Banks' strong earnings performance and focus on capital management drives positive stock price performance. Will it continue?

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Making Bank - Sector Outperforming Despite the BoJ's “dovishness”

​Analysts raise earnings estimates for megabanks, but upcoming results may trigger a "sell on the news" reaction. Overall, long-term outlook...

Rikki Malik

Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its...

Sumeet Singh

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

Analysts raise earnings estimates for megabanks, but upcoming results may trigger a "sell on the news" reaction. Overall, long-term outlook...