Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

We continue to believe the weight of the evidence points to a new leg higher for global equities, a viewpoint that is supported by the several international markets that are breaking out to new highs or making bullish inflections since our previous Int’l Compass (10/31/19). While developments continue to lean bullish, global equities have rallied substantially since the start of October, making it perfectly reasonable to expect some consolidation of recent gains which would allow for a more meaningful move higher.

We continue to believe the weight of the evidence points to a new leg higher for global equities, a viewpoint that is supported by the several international markets that are breaking out to new highs or making bullish inflections since our previous Int’l Compass (10/31/19). While developments continue to lean bullish, global equities have rallied substantially since the start of October, making it perfectly reasonable to expect some consolidation of recent gains which would allow for a more meaningful move higher.

Global Equity Strategy: The Pause that Refreshes?

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We isolated the Japanese brokers to see if there was a significant difference between the Japanese broker outlook and Foreign outlook. We compared the average Target Price given by each group for companies with 2 or more Analysts with coverage.<h2>Japanese Bullish Side....</h2>We then screened for names with greater than 20% (absolute) difference in upside from the current target price. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21001" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21001:1">Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP)</a> tops the list with a 44% difference in upside from the current price. Japanese brokers are…

We isolated the Japanese brokers to see if there was a significant difference between the Japanese broker outlook and Foreign outlook. We compared the average Target Price given by each group for companies with 2 or more Analysts with coverage.Japanese Bullish Side....We then screened for names with greater than 20% (absolute) difference in upside from the current target price. Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) tops the list with a 44% difference in upside from the current price. Japanese brokers are…

Which Names Are the Japanese Brokers More Bullish / Bearish On....

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Nuzran Sahib

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

The government of Japan, together with four major companies, plan to demonstrate the first major hydrogen supply-chain in the run-up to the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. Hydrogen has been long considered as a rich and clean source of energy despite current high costs making it less-practical for mass scale power generation. As the government and the automakers of Japan prepare themselves for the changing landscape by building Fuel-cell vehicles and Hydrogen power stations, Chiyoda has developed SPERA Hydrogen® technology which has enabled Hydrogen to be handled like other fossil fuels.

The government of Japan, together with four major companies, plan to demonstrate the first major hydrogen supply-chain in the run-up to the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. Hydrogen has been long considered as a rich and clean source of energy despite current high costs making it less-practical for mass scale power generation. As the government and the automakers of Japan prepare themselves for the changing landscape by building Fuel-cell vehicles and Hydrogen power stations, Chiyoda has developed SPERA Hydrogen® technology which has enabled Hydrogen to be handled like other fossil fuels.

Chiyoda's Ground-Breaking Technology with Hydrogen Leads to New Demo Project in the Energy Sector

I really love the cyclical nature of earnings estimates. Companies report full-year numbers and estimates go all over the place. Every year standard deviations spike in May/June and then estimates slowly move back towards each other until standard deviations hit their low in April. We wanted to look at names where standard deviation is not declining but is actually increasing. Analysts are getting more confused.  Of the approx. 405 names with 4 or more Analysts with coverage, 255 had standard…

I really love the cyclical nature of earnings estimates. Companies report full-year numbers and estimates go all over the place. Every year standard deviations spike in May/June and then estimates slowly move back towards each other until standard deviations hit their low in April. We wanted to look at names where standard deviation is not declining but is actually increasing. Analysts are getting more confused.  Of the approx. 405 names with 4 or more Analysts with coverage, 255 had standard…

Names Where Analysts Continue to Be Confused....

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Chartonics flash Tuesday 30 August 2016USD/JPY macro low and position update webcast<div>We have made a USD bull case from JPY 100 or 95 if we broke below 100 with a bull pivot above USD/JPY 101 which was triggered Friday. The bigger test revolves around USD sustainability above 101 and a successful test on the lower 101 pullback zone followed by a move through the second hurdle at 102.70. MT pivot resistance lies at 104 (macro bull targets come in at 110 and 114 with ideal objective at 114/117 in…</div>

Chartonics flash Tuesday 30 August 2016USD/JPY macro low and position update webcastWe have made a USD bull case from JPY 100 or 95 if we broke below 100 with a bull pivot above USD/JPY 101 which was triggered Friday. The bigger test revolves around USD sustainability above 101 and a successful test on the lower 101 pullback zone followed by a move through the second hurdle at 102.70. MT pivot resistance lies at 104 (macro bull targets come in at 110 and 114 with ideal objective at 114/117 in…

USD/JPY Macro Low and Fresh Position Webcast

Japan

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

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Mitsui Chemicals (4183 JP)

Global Equity Strategy: The Pause that Refreshes?

We continue to believe the weight of the evidence points to a new leg higher for global equities, a viewpoint that is supported by the several...

Vermilion Research

Which Names Are the Japanese Brokers More Bullish / Bearish On....

We isolated the Japanese brokers to see if there was a significant difference between the Japanese broker outlook and Foreign outlook. We compared...

Custom Products Group

Chiyoda's Ground-Breaking Technology with Hydrogen Leads to New Demo Project in the Energy Sector

The government of Japan, together with four major companies, plan to demonstrate the first major hydrogen supply-chain in the run-up to the 2020...

Nuzran Sahib

Names Where Analysts Continue to Be Confused....

I really love the cyclical nature of earnings estimates. Companies report full-year numbers and estimates go all over the place. Every year...

Custom Products Group

USD/JPY Macro Low and Fresh Position Webcast

Chartonics flash Tuesday 30 August 2016USD/JPY macro low and position update webcastWe have made a USD bull case from JPY 100 or 95 if we broke...

Thomas Schroeder

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