Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are not fighting the trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we are monitoring a few potential concerns</li>
<li>Concerns: notably global Consumer Staples (KXI-US) near 5.5-month RS highs, crude oil prices bottoming, and gasoline prices (UGA) breaking out from a 3.5+ year downtrend</li>
<li>Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities. Remain Overweight Emerging Markets, Taiwan, Korea, Spain, Japan, and Canada</li>
</ul>


We are not fighting the trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we are monitoring a few potential concerns
Concerns: notably global Consumer Staples (KXI-US) near 5.5-month RS highs, crude oil prices bottoming, and gasoline prices (UGA) breaking out from a 3.5+ year downtrend
Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities. Remain Overweight Emerging Markets, Taiwan, Korea, Spain, Japan, and Canada


Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, Telecom, Utes

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A convicted scammer is trying to keep luxury items as significant real estate transactions occur.</li>
<li>VentuNext has started building its first logistics park in Rayong, Thailand, marking a new venture.</li>
<li>C Capital has acquired Australian land for $3.2 billion, while China Vanke secures a $339 million loan.</li>
</ul>


A convicted scammer is trying to keep luxury items as significant real estate transactions occur.
VentuNext has started building its first logistics park in Rayong, Thailand, marking a new venture.
C Capital has acquired Australian land for $3.2 billion, while China Vanke secures a $339 million loan.


Asia Real Estate Tracker (30-Jan-2026): Convicted VN scammer wants to keep luxury items.

<ul><li>Fosun has sold a 50% stake in the Andaz Xintiandi Hotel located in Shanghai for $5 million.</li><li>Mitsui's Nippon Building Fund has acquired a significant asset valued at $300 million recently.</li><li>In addition to the acquisition, Mitsui has also divested a Tokyo office block as part of its strategy.</li></ul>

Fosun has sold a 50% stake in the Andaz Xintiandi Hotel located in Shanghai for $5 million.Mitsui's Nippon Building Fund has acquired a significant asset valued at $300 million recently.In addition to the acquisition, Mitsui has also divested a Tokyo office block as part of its strategy.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Jan-2026): APAC Real Estate News - People Update 2026-01-12

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11546:1" rel="noopener">Toho Holdings (8129 JP)</a> has made a non-binding proposal to take <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phc-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34198:1" rel="noopener">PHC Holdings (6523 JP)</a> private at a rumoured valuation of more than JPY200bn, implying JPY1,571 per share.</li>
<li>KKR and other large holders want an exit, but the rumoured offer is below the last close (JPY1,684) and my fair value range of JPY1,800–2,030.</li>
<li>The deal fits Toho's diversification strategy, but funding, 3D Investment Partners' 24% stake in Toho, and potential competition from domestic funds make completion challenging.</li>
</ul>



Toho Holdings (8129 JP) has made a non-binding proposal to take PHC Holdings (6523 JP) private at a rumoured valuation of more than JPY200bn, implying JPY1,571 per share.
KKR and other large holders want an exit, but the rumoured offer is below the last close (JPY1,684) and my fair value range of JPY1,800–2,030.
The deal fits Toho's diversification strategy, but funding, 3D Investment Partners' 24% stake in Toho, and potential competition from domestic funds make completion challenging.


PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Willing Sellers, but Not at Toho's Rumoured Price

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.</li>
<li>Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.</li>
<li>Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.</li>
</ul>


Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.
Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.
Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.


Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Japan

MITSUI & CO., LTD. is a general trading company.  The Company has operating groups including Iron and Steel, Non-Ferrous Metals, Machinery, Chemicals, Foods, Energy, Textiles, and General Merchandise.  Mitsui also operates real estate and overseas development projects.

Price Gauge
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Mitsui & Co Ltd (8031 JP)

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, Telecom, Utes

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives; Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities....

Vermilion Research

Asia Real Estate Tracker (30-Jan-2026): Convicted VN scammer wants to keep luxury items.

In recent APAC real estate news, significant transactions include VentuNext's logistics park in Thailand, a Tokyo residential tower purchase and more

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Jan-2026): APAC Real Estate News - People Update 2026-01-12

On January 12, 2026, Fosun sold a 50% stake in Shanghai's Andaz Xintiandi Hotel for $5 million, while Mitsui's Nippon Building Fund acquired a $300...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Willing Sellers, but Not at Toho's Rumoured Price

Toho's rumoured bid of more than JPY200bn (JPY1,571 per share) for PHC is below my estimated fair value of JPY1,800–2,030. Sellers want out, but...

Arun George

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, Telecom, Utes

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives; Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities....

Vermilion Research

Asia Real Estate Tracker (30-Jan-2026): Convicted VN scammer wants to keep luxury items.

In recent APAC real estate news, significant transactions include VentuNext's logistics park in Thailand, a Tokyo residential tower purchase and more

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Jan-2026): APAC Real Estate News - People Update 2026-01-12

On January 12, 2026, Fosun sold a 50% stake in Shanghai's Andaz Xintiandi Hotel for $5 million, while Mitsui's Nippon Building Fund acquired a $300...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Willing Sellers, but Not at Toho's Rumoured Price

Toho's rumoured bid of more than JPY200bn (JPY1,571 per share) for PHC is below my estimated fair value of JPY1,800–2,030. Sellers want out, but...

Arun George

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

​Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...