Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan’s defence renaissance is underway, driven by structural budget growth toward 2%+ of GDP.</li>
<li>Multi-Decade tailwinds in missiles, cyber, and naval systems will reshape the domestic defence industry.</li>
<li>Investors should balance national champions with mid-cap leverage plays to capture both visibility and alpha.</li>
</ul>


Japan’s defence renaissance is underway, driven by structural budget growth toward 2%+ of GDP.
Multi-Decade tailwinds in missiles, cyber, and naval systems will reshape the domestic defence industry.
Investors should balance national champions with mid-cap leverage plays to capture both visibility and alpha.


Japan Defence Supercycle: Multi-Decade Tailwinds, Near-Term Catalysts

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Late session rally for chips and semi-cap names with the US signalling a softening of export curbs.</li>
<li>ARM numbers after the bell sending stock -10% point to Softbank missing todays upside.</li>
<li>Is Japanese shipbuilding expertise the new bargaining chip against tariffs? </li>
</ul>


Late session rally for chips and semi-cap names with the US signalling a softening of export curbs.
ARM numbers after the bell sending stock -10% point to Softbank missing todays upside.
Is Japanese shipbuilding expertise the new bargaining chip against tariffs? 


Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

<ul>
<li>Disco guidance possibly showing front loading ahead of a potentially far bleaker 2Q.</li>
<li>US homebuilders strong after DR Horton reported strong GPM despite cutting guidance.</li>
<li>Trump re-raising the possibility of fees for Chinese vessels at US ports may be positive for non-Chinese ship builders.</li>
</ul>


Disco guidance possibly showing front loading ahead of a potentially far bleaker 2Q.
US homebuilders strong after DR Horton reported strong GPM despite cutting guidance.
Trump re-raising the possibility of fees for Chinese vessels at US ports may be positive for non-Chinese ship builders.


Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Fails to Hold Early Gains While Semi-Cap Plays Also Sag

<ul>
<li>Profit taking hit tech/semi's as tensions rapidly escalate in the Middle East, causing defense and oil related names to move higher</li>
<li>NEC remains overlooked as a defence play in Japan despite the MoD's growing for budget for electronic warfare and satellite defence capabilities</li>
<li>Renewables in the US are leading the way YTD, although Japan is far behind the curve despite PM Ishiba being a pro wind/solar and hawkish towards nuclear.</li>
</ul>


Profit taking hit tech/semi's as tensions rapidly escalate in the Middle East, causing defense and oil related names to move higher
NEC remains overlooked as a defence play in Japan despite the MoD's growing for budget for electronic warfare and satellite defence capabilities
Renewables in the US are leading the way YTD, although Japan is far behind the curve despite PM Ishiba being a pro wind/solar and hawkish towards nuclear.


Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

ja research

ja research is an independent research platform focused exclusively on Japanese equities. Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, we provide insights on small and medium-sized companies that have been ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on larger companies. We also offer analyst and corporate access, the latter with translation if required. 

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/117/227/original/2020-02-11_05-05-13.png?1581376613" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="117227"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div>10TH FEBRUARY ROUNDUP - 189 results and 93 revision announcements had little impact on our aggregate Scores, although decliners still outweighed improvers by a factor of two times. Amongst larger caps, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-estate-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:566:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Estate (8802 JP)</a> produced the best quarter-on-quarter change in Score, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sundrug-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12615:1" rel="noopener">Sundrug (9989 JP)</a> being one of the worst. Today is a public holiday (kenkoku kinen no hi), and so the next roundup will appear on Wednesday morning. <hr>• SECTOR TIMELINE •<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/117/228/original/2020-02-11_05-08-14.png?1581377317" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="117228"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div>SECTOR TIMELINE - Monday's main moves were upwards for Real Estate and Media (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hakuhodo-dy-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8736:1" rel="noopener">Hakuhodo DY (2433 JP)</a>) and downwards (again) for Other Commercial Products (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hamamatsu-photonics-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14074:1" rel="noopener">Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP)</a>) and Building Materials (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nichias-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14674:1" rel="noopener">Nichias (5393 JP)</a>).

Source • Japan Analytics10TH FEBRUARY ROUNDUP - 189 results and 93 revision announcements had little impact on our aggregate Scores, although decliners still outweighed improvers by a factor of two times. Amongst larger caps, Mitsubishi Estate (8802 JP) produced the best quarter-on-quarter change in Score, with Sundrug (9989 JP) being one of the worst. Today is a public holiday (kenkoku kinen no hi), and so the next roundup will appear on Wednesday morning. • SECTOR TIMELINE •Source • Japan AnalyticsSECTOR TIMELINE - Monday's main moves were upwards for Real Estate and Media (Hakuhodo DY (2433 JP)) and downwards (again) for Other Commercial Products (Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP)) and Building Materials (Nichias (5393 JP)). 

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Daily Roundup - 10th February ▲7003 8802 2433 ▼6965 9989 6324

Japan

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co., Ltd. engineers, builds, and repairs ships.  The Company also manufactures industrial machinery and equipment and builds power plants.  Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding also operates information systems services and real estate business.

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Mitsui E&S Holdings (7003 JP)

Japan Defence Supercycle: Multi-Decade Tailwinds, Near-Term Catalysts

Japan's defense industry is experiencing a renaissance with increased budget allocation, leading to opportunities for investors in national...

Rahul Jain

Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Upside for chips and semi-cap as US eases export curbs, poor outlook for Softbank as ARM drops 10%, Japanese shipbuilding expertise may be used as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Fails to Hold Early Gains While Semi-Cap Plays Also Sag

Disco may suffer from tough 2Q with AI spending nearing its peak, US homebuilders up after strong beat from DR Horton, Trump's fees on Chinese...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

Middle East tensions cause defense/oil stocks to rise; NEC undervalued in Japan defense sector; US leads in renewables, Japan lags behind despite...

Andrew Jackson

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Daily Roundup - 10th February ▲7003 8802 2433 ▼6965 9989 6324

10TH FEBRUARY ROUNDUP - 189 results and 93 revision announcements had little impact on our aggregate Scores, although decliners still outweighed...

Campbell Gunn

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Defence Supercycle: Multi-Decade Tailwinds, Near-Term Catalysts

​Japan's defense industry is experiencing a renaissance with increased budget allocation, leading to opportunities for investors in national...

Rahul Jain

Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Upside for chips and semi-cap as US eases export curbs, poor outlook for Softbank as ARM drops 10%, Japanese shipbuilding expertise may be used as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Fails to Hold Early Gains While Semi-Cap Plays Also Sag

​Disco may suffer from tough 2Q with AI spending nearing its peak, US homebuilders up after strong beat from DR Horton, Trump's fees on Chinese...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

Middle East tensions cause defense/oil stocks to rise; NEC undervalued in Japan defense sector; US leads in renewables, Japan lags behind despite...

Andrew Jackson

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Daily Roundup - 10th February ▲7003 8802 2433 ▼6965 9989 6324

10TH FEBRUARY ROUNDUP - 189 results and 93 revision announcements had little impact on our aggregate Scores, although decliners still outweighed...

Campbell Gunn

Japan's defense industry is experiencing a renaissance with increased budget allocation, leading to opportunities for investors in national...

Disco may suffer from tough 2Q with AI spending nearing its peak, US homebuilders up after strong beat from DR Horton, Trump's fees on Chinese...