Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) / Event-Driven

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:217:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)</a> reported H1 earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a> reported yesterday.</li>
<li>Mizuho raised full-year NP guidance by ~5%, passing the Street. SMFG raised its FY NP guidance 12.2%, also beating the Street. MUFG didn't raise guidance but H1 saw 71% progress.</li>
<li>Today, SMFG raised its div, and both SMFG (¥150bn) and MUFG (¥400bn) announced buybacks. Cross-holding unwind progress is waaay lower than we'd like, but capital stronger as a result.</li>
</ul>


Today, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP) reported H1 earnings. Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) reported yesterday.
Mizuho raised full-year NP guidance by ~5%, passing the Street. SMFG raised its FY NP guidance 12.2%, also beating the Street. MUFG didn't raise guidance but H1 saw 71% progress.
Today, SMFG raised its div, and both SMFG (¥150bn) and MUFG (¥400bn) announced buybacks. Cross-holding unwind progress is waaay lower than we'd like, but capital stronger as a result.


I Like Big Bank Buybacks And I Cannot Lie

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Mizuho Financial Group / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a> has been discussed on Smartkarma's platform lately because of its planned investment in Rakuten Bank.</li>
<li>The stock has tripled in value since early 2025. Last week the stock increased nearly 8% in value, in 1 single week.</li>
<li>The stock's rally look stretched from our WEEKLY model perspective... but it could continue. <strong>The key question is: buy this pullback now, or wait for lower prices?</strong>
</li>
</ul>



Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) has been discussed on Smartkarma's platform lately because of its planned investment in Rakuten Bank.
The stock has tripled in value since early 2025. Last week the stock increased nearly 8% in value, in 1 single week.
The stock's rally look stretched from our WEEKLY model perspective... but it could continue. The key question is: buy this pullback now, or wait for lower prices?



Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) Tactical View: Buy The Dip Now?

Japan Economist, Japan Macro Advisors

Takuji Okubo

Japan Economist

Concise and Insightful Analysis on Japan Economy

Japan Macro Advisors

Our mission is to provide a concise and timely analysis on the Japanese economy for the benefit of global audiences. Communication, especially in foreign languages, has always been a weakness for the Japanese, which was fine when Japan's economic might attracted foreign media and various other institutions to study and report on Japan - such days are long gone. In the last two decades, we saw foreign institutions reallocating their resources from Japan to other more exciting parts of the world. As a result, when we read reporting on Japan in foreign media, we sense a subtle but noticeable decline in the depth of understanding what is actually happening in Japan.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>No monetary policy signal. Himino's speech was entirely focused on digital finance and payment system architecture. This reduces the probability of a June rate hike, in my view.</li>
<li>He described Scott Bessent's stablecoin vision as designed to "induce people around the world to finance the US fiscal deficit", taking a mild jab at the credibility of US dollar.  </li>
<li>Japan will not follow the US toward lighter-touch crypto regulation. Himino's explicit reference to anonymity of crypto use as a "problematic motive" signals his weariness about crypto.  </li>
</ul>


No monetary policy signal. Himino's speech was entirely focused on digital finance and payment system architecture. This reduces the probability of a June rate hike, in my view.
He described Scott Bessent's stablecoin vision as designed to "induce people around the world to finance the US fiscal deficit", taking a mild jab at the credibility of US dollar.  
Japan will not follow the US toward lighter-touch crypto regulation. Himino's explicit reference to anonymity of crypto use as a "problematic motive" signals his weariness about crypto.  


BoJ Himino: A Blunt Critique of US Digital Finance Strategy

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hale has finalized an $85 million acquisition of a Melbourne campus, the largest industrial deal of 2026.</li>
<li>Fuji Media Marketing in Japan is considering a property sale that could potentially reach $5 billion.</li>
<li>CapitaLand Investment has obtained a $1.9 billion mandate for income insurance in Singapore amid market changes.</li>
</ul>


Hale has finalized an $85 million acquisition of a Melbourne campus, the largest industrial deal of 2026.
Fuji Media Marketing in Japan is considering a property sale that could potentially reach $5 billion.
CapitaLand Investment has obtained a $1.9 billion mandate for income insurance in Singapore amid market changes.


Asia Real Estate Tracker (28-Apr-2026): Hale acquires $85M Melbourne campus in major deal.

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We first review at Q1 performance in the major markets we follow</li>
<li>The worst may be over in but news flow will drive markets in the short-term</li>
<li>We look at foreign positioning and fund flow data to assess risks</li>
</ul>


We first review at Q1 performance in the major markets we follow
The worst may be over in but news flow will drive markets in the short-term
We look at foreign positioning and fund flow data to assess risks


Japan

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. provides comprehensive financial services through its subsidiaries. The Group provides variety of financial services such as general banking, securities brokerage, trust banking, and assets management.

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Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)

I Like Big Bank Buybacks And I Cannot Lie

Japan's Three Megabanks reported earnings on 13-14 November. Two raised FY guidance above the street. MUFG did not raise guidance but H1 saw 71%...

Travis Lundy