IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 25 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yinson-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3252:1" rel="noopener">Yinson Holdings (YNS MK)</a> said MISC and YLSB would be equal co-offerors in the scheme, with EPF keeping its stake and the indicative price unchanged at RM2.35.</li>
<li>KWAP holds a blocking stake but should back the deal, given its MAHB precedent, state links and MISC exposure. The main risk is vocal opposition from other minorities.</li>
<li>The offer looks light. It's 25.2% below the average analyst target, under the previously rumoured RM2.75–3.04 bids and at a 4% P/E discount to FPSO peers.</li>
</ul>


On 25 September, Yinson Holdings (YNS MK) said MISC and YLSB would be equal co-offerors in the scheme, with EPF keeping its stake and the indicative price unchanged at RM2.35.
KWAP holds a blocking stake but should back the deal, given its MAHB precedent, state links and MISC exposure. The main risk is vocal opposition from other minorities.
The offer looks light. It's 25.2% below the average analyst target, under the previously rumoured RM2.75–3.04 bids and at a 4% P/E discount to FPSO peers.


Yinson (YNS MK): MISC Steps up as Co-Offeror, but RM2.35 Still Looks Light

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Markets liking the EU pledges to buy US energy products and military equipment as part of recent deal.</li>
<li>Power-Semi related higher with TXN buoyed by call that multi-year inventory correction is almost over.</li>
<li>Tesla emerges as Samsung's mystery fab customer, is a dramatic turn around for their recently ailing foundry business.</li>
</ul>


Markets liking the EU pledges to buy US energy products and military equipment as part of recent deal.
Power-Semi related higher with TXN buoyed by call that multi-year inventory correction is almost over.
Tesla emerges as Samsung's mystery fab customer, is a dramatic turn around for their recently ailing foundry business.


Japan Morning Connection: Energy Related and Tech Strong Pointing to a Good Start for Japan

<ul>
<li>Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions...watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.</li>
<li>Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi's continued to move up.</li>
<li>Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.</li>
</ul>


Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions...watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.
Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi's continued to move up.
Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

<ul>
<li>Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily</li>
<li>Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today</li>
<li>Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries</li>
</ul>


Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily
Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today
Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

<ul>
<li>Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.</li>
<li>Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.</li>
<li>Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.</li>
</ul>


Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.
Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.
Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

Japan

MODEC, INC. manufactures petroleum and natural gas production machinery.  The Company specializes in extraction machinery for marine use, including semi-submersible and fixed platform types, and also machinery as on-board equipment on ships.

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Modec Inc (6269 JP)

Yinson (YNS MK): MISC Steps up as Co-Offeror, but RM2.35 Still Looks Light

MISC and YLSB are equal co-offerors at RM2.35. KWAP should back the scheme; minority opposition is the key risk. The offer looks light: 25% below...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

Fossil fuel related names lead the way higher as restrictions on toxic gas emissions are rolled back. Hydrocarbon names also benefit.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Yinson (YNS MK): MISC Steps up as Co-Offeror, but RM2.35 Still Looks Light

MISC and YLSB are equal co-offerors at RM2.35. KWAP should back the scheme; minority opposition is the key risk. The offer looks light: 25% below...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Energy Related and Tech Strong Pointing to a Good Start for Japan

Energy related up as EU announces they will be purchasing US fuels, US pausing new restrictions on tech exports to China, Tesla's partnership with...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

Fossil fuel related names lead the way higher as restrictions on toxic gas emissions are rolled back. Hydrocarbon names also benefit.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

​Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...