Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monex-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14211:1" rel="noopener">Monex Group Inc (8698 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a>'s NTT Docomo announced a Capital and Business Alliance Agreement. It is a complicated deal.</li>
<li>Monex GROUP will create a holdco which owns Monex Inc (the broker) and sell 51% to Docomo. Docomo will consolidate. Monex Group will own 49% as an equity method affiliate.</li>
<li>Monex GROUP will then double its dividend, maybe buy back shares, and expects to grow as Docomo pushes and Monex invests. But what remains is a mixed bag.</li>
</ul>


Today, Monex Group Inc (8698 JP) and NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)'s NTT Docomo announced a Capital and Business Alliance Agreement. It is a complicated deal.
Monex GROUP will create a holdco which owns Monex Inc (the broker) and sell 51% to Docomo. Docomo will consolidate. Monex Group will own 49% as an equity method affiliate.
Monex GROUP will then double its dividend, maybe buy back shares, and expects to grow as Docomo pushes and Monex invests. But what remains is a mixed bag.


NTT Docomo's Deal with Monex (8698); The Goal Is Bigger and Better but Not Compelling Yet

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Coincheck and Thunder Bridge Capital Partners IV announced today that an SPAC deal would occur to list Coincheck on the NASDAQ. </li>
<li>With a pre-money valuation of $1.25bn the deal values Coincheck noticeably more modestly than Monex’s prior SOTP presentation. </li>
<li>Nevertheless, in combination with the announced TradeStation SPAC it starts to make the extent of Monex’s holdco discount apparent.</li>
</ul>


Coincheck and Thunder Bridge Capital Partners IV announced today that an SPAC deal would occur to list Coincheck on the NASDAQ. 
With a pre-money valuation of $1.25bn the deal values Coincheck noticeably more modestly than Monex’s prior SOTP presentation. 
Nevertheless, in combination with the announced TradeStation SPAC it starts to make the extent of Monex’s holdco discount apparent.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Monex’s SPAC of its TradeStation business highlighted the hidden potential of its non-crypto assets.</li>
<li>While its domestic business has traditionally been volatile and not grown profit especially quickly that appears to be changing.</li>
<li>We examine the potential of the company’s regional bank tie-ups below.</li>
</ul>


Monex’s SPAC of its TradeStation business highlighted the hidden potential of its non-crypto assets.
While its domestic business has traditionally been volatile and not grown profit especially quickly that appears to be changing.
We examine the potential of the company’s regional bank tie-ups below.


Monex – Examining the Domestic Business

<p>Monex just <a href="https://www.monexgroup.jp/jp/news_release/irnews/auto_20211108426992/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> (Japanese only for now) that it has tied up with NTT to integrate its “Sharely” virtual AGM support service into NTT SmartConnect’s virtual AGM one stop package. While Monex has surged 80% since the beginning of October it is on the verge of breaking its recent highs and looking like a train you do not want to be standing in front of.</p>

Monex just announced (Japanese only for now) that it has tied up with NTT to integrate its “Sharely” virtual AGM support service into NTT SmartConnect’s virtual AGM one stop package. While Monex has surged 80% since the beginning of October it is on the verge of breaking its recent highs and looking like a train you do not want to be standing in front of.

Monex – Garnish That Double Limit-Up with A Pinch of Virtual AGMs and a Dash of Crypto Breakout

<p>Monex is locked limit up after the company announced that it would list its US Tradestation unit through an SPAC with Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital getting involved in a PIPE. They also released a rather punchy ¥650bn SOTP valuation vs. the current limit up market cap of ¥192bn. We likey.</p>

Monex is locked limit up after the company announced that it would list its US Tradestation unit through an SPAC with Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital getting involved in a PIPE. They also released a rather punchy ¥650bn SOTP valuation vs. the current limit up market cap of ¥192bn. We likey.

Japan

Monex Group, Inc. is a holding company, which was established through merger between Monex and Nikko Beans. The Company manages its subsidiaries that provides investing services for self-directed investors through Internet and telephone.

Monex Group Inc (8698 JP)

NTT Docomo's Deal with Monex (8698); The Goal Is Bigger and Better but Not Compelling Yet

NTT Docomo is going to take control of Monex Group's securities business leaving Monex with a 49% interest, some cash, the TradeStation biz,...

Travis Lundy

Monex – Coincheck SPAC Unlocks Value

Monex continues to improve transparency on the valuations of its subsidiaries with an SPAC for Coincheck valuing the unit at $1.25bn with...

Mio Kato

Monex – Examining the Domestic Business

While Monex's domestic business has traditionally been volatile and not grown profit especially quickly that appears to be changing...

Mio Kato

Monex – Garnish That Double Limit-Up with A Pinch of Virtual AGMs and a Dash of Crypto Breakout

While Monex has surged 80% since the beginning of October it is on the verge of breaking its recent highs and just announced a virtual AGM tie-up...

Mio Kato

Monex - ¥650bn in Value You Say?

Monex is locked limit up after the company announced that it would list its US Tradestation unit through an SPAC also released a rather punchy...

Mio Kato