Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>, 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.</li>
<li>With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX), 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the STAR50 INDEX resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.
With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.


STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Montage Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$106.89, raising HK$7,043 million (US$901 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/montage-technology-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:216984" rel="noopener">Montage Technology H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/montage-technology-h-share-listing-6809-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:219421" rel="noopener">Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Montage's international and retail oversubscription rates were significantly above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Montage Technology (6809 HK) priced its H Share at HK$106.89, raising HK$7,043 million (US$901 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Montage Technology H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Montage's international and retail oversubscription rates were significantly above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.


Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Trading Debut

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Montage Technology (6809 HK) is target price of HK$144.1 per share, representing 35% higher than the listing price of HK$106.89.</li>
<li>To value Montage Technology, we used three comps including GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Renesas Electronics (6723 JP), and Rambus (RMBS US).</li>
<li>We have chosen to use a significant premium to value Montage Technology mainly due to its much stronger expected sales growth and net margins versus the comps. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Montage Technology (6809 HK) is target price of HK$144.1 per share, representing 35% higher than the listing price of HK$106.89.
To value Montage Technology, we used three comps including GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Renesas Electronics (6723 JP), and Rambus (RMBS US).
We have chosen to use a significant premium to value Montage Technology mainly due to its much stronger expected sales growth and net margins versus the comps. 


Montage Technology Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Lingyi iTech Guangdong  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lingyi-itech-guangdong-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19050:1" rel="noopener">Lingyi iTech Guangdong (002600 CH,</a> LIT), an intelligent manufacturing platform, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>LIT offers a full range of development and manufacturing capabilities that cover core materials, high-precision functional components, modules and assembled systems for diverse end products.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Lingyi iTech Guangdong (002600 CH, LIT), an intelligent manufacturing platform, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
LIT offers a full range of development and manufacturing capabilities that cover core materials, high-precision functional components, modules and assembled systems for diverse end products.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: Lingyi ITech A/H Listing - More Smartphones than AI, but Has Robotics

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics (2692 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-zhaowei-machinery-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46000:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH)</a>, aims to raise around US$300m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronic (SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$300m in its H-share listing.
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronic (SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.


Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

China

Montage Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures electronic components. The Company produces memory interface chips, consumer electronics cores, and other products. Montage Technology supplies its products in memory, server, cloud computing, and other fields.

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Montage Technology (688008 CH)

STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

There are 3 changes for the STAR50, 10 changes for the STAR100, 2 changes for the STAR Chip in March. The adds have outperformed the deletes across...

Brian Freitas

Montage Technology Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Montage Technology (6809 HK) is target price of HK$144.1 per share, representing 35% higher than the listing price of...

Douglas Kim

Aequitas: Lingyi ITech A/H Listing - More Smartphones than AI, but Has Robotics

Lingyi iTech Guangdong (002600 CH, LIT), an intelligent manufacturing platform, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$300m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about its recent updates and...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

There are 3 changes for the STAR50, 10 changes for the STAR100, 2 changes for the STAR Chip in March. The adds have outperformed the deletes across...

Brian Freitas

Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Trading Debut

Montage's international and retail oversubscription rates were significantly above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains...

Arun George

Montage Technology Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Montage Technology (6809 HK) is target price of HK$144.1 per share, representing 35% higher than the listing price of...

Douglas Kim

Aequitas: Lingyi ITech A/H Listing - More Smartphones than AI, but Has Robotics

Lingyi iTech Guangdong (002600 CH, LIT), an intelligent manufacturing platform, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$300m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about its recent updates and...

Sumeet Singh