US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marvell-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15837:1" rel="noopener">Marvell Technology (MRVL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition from TMI but has a reduced probability of inclusion due to sector balance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flex-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36680:1" rel="noopener">Flex (FLEX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technipfmc-plc-2f8326ad-9188-44ca-bada-c9b9144835fd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13457:1" rel="noopener">TechnipFMC (FTI US)</a> are in MidCap and the top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flex-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36680:1" rel="noopener">Flex (FLEX US)</a> is projected for double inclusion to S&amp;P500 and Nasdaq100 on 19 June.</li>
</ul>



Marvell Technology (MRVL US) is the main candidate for addition from TMI but has a reduced probability of inclusion due to sector balance.

Flex (FLEX US) and TechnipFMC (FTI US) are in MidCap and the top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores.

Flex (FLEX US) is projected for double inclusion to S&amp;P500 and Nasdaq100 on 19 June.


S&P500 June 2026 Forecast: FLEX, FTI & MTZ Leading the Pack

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns was not far off. In today’s report we assess the damage and highlight key support levels.  We also highlight attractive Groups  and stocks within the Materials, Utilities, and Consumer Staples Sectors.

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns was not far off. In today’s report we assess the damage and highlight key support levels.  We also highlight attractive Groups  and stocks within the Materials, Utilities, and Consumer Staples Sectors.

Key Support Levels Being Tested for U.S. Indexes

<ul>
<li>
We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to price and RS uptrend violations for the Sector. Reduce exposure.</li>
<li>
Many major indexes testing support. We cover the S&amp;P 500, Dow, small-caps, PHLX Semiconductor, international developed and emerging markets, which are all at logical support areas. While we expect to see these indexes firm up at current levels based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns is not far off.</li>
<li>
Big picture trends. The cyclicals  vs. staples ratio remains elevated and has not broken down. Something similar can be said of the growth vs. value ratio, where the uptrend remains intact.</li>
<li>
In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy, Consumer Staples, Materials, and Utilities.</li>
</ul>



We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to price and RS uptrend violations for the Sector. Reduce exposure.

Many major indexes testing support. We cover the S&amp;P 500, Dow, small-caps, PHLX Semiconductor, international developed and emerging markets, which are all at logical support areas. While we expect to see these indexes firm up at current levels based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns is not far off.

Big picture trends. The cyclicals  vs. staples ratio remains elevated and has not broken down. Something similar can be said of the growth vs. value ratio, where the uptrend remains intact.

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy, Consumer Staples, Materials, and Utilities.


Yield Surge Tests Equities; Downgrading Discretionary

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4, respectively--confirming the widespread patterns visible in the charts of each Sector’s constituents: bottoms and bases.We have highlighted these evolving set-ups over the past year, identifying: improving internals in energy (Aug. 12), then labeling it as a bottom the following week; also, reiterating copper nearly twelve months ago from today, recommending fertilizers (Dec. 13), and reiterating metals &amp; mining stocks (Dec. 18).Given the improving relative strength trends coupled with constructive patterns, we are upgrading both sectors to overweight from market weight.

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4, respectively--confirming the widespread patterns visible in the charts of each Sector’s constituents: bottoms and bases.We have highlighted these evolving set-ups over the past year, identifying: improving internals in energy (Aug. 12), then labeling it as a bottom the following week; also, reiterating copper nearly twelve months ago from today, recommending fertilizers (Dec. 13), and reiterating metals &amp; mining stocks (Dec. 18).Given the improving relative strength trends coupled with constructive patterns, we are upgrading both sectors to overweight from market weight.

Upgrading U.S. Energy & Materials Sectors to Overweight

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>As more macro funds shut their doors in despair, global rate and FX volatility has revived as the BoE turned hawkish - 2-yr gilt yields have soared 4x in three months, driving a short squeeze in sterling.</li>
<li>The Fed has reaffirmed the beginning of its balance sheet rundown and up to 100bps on rates by end 2018 – like the ‘surprise’ oil rally over the past month, a USD one may be imminent.</li>
<li>As in the UK, US trend GDP and productivity growth has slowed, and monetary policy can do very little to boost it…</li>
</ul>


As more macro funds shut their doors in despair, global rate and FX volatility has revived as the BoE turned hawkish - 2-yr gilt yields have soared 4x in three months, driving a short squeeze in sterling.
The Fed has reaffirmed the beginning of its balance sheet rundown and up to 100bps on rates by end 2018 – like the ‘surprise’ oil rally over the past month, a USD one may be imminent.
As in the UK, US trend GDP and productivity growth has slowed, and monetary policy can do very little to boost it…


Macro Funds Lose Faith, Precision Farming Revolution Looms

United States

The Mosaic Company produces and distributes crop nutrients to the agricultural communities located in North America and other countries.  The Company's principal products include concentrated phosphates, and potash.

Price Gauge
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Mosaic Co/The (MOS US)

S&P500 June 2026 Forecast: FLEX, FTI & MTZ Leading the Pack

MRVL faces reduced probability due to sector balance; FLEX and FTI are top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores, with FLEX...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Key Support Levels Being Tested for U.S. Indexes

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for...

Vermilion Research

Yield Surge Tests Equities; Downgrading Discretionary

We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading U.S. Energy & Materials Sectors to Overweight

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4,...

Vermilion Research

Macro Funds Lose Faith, Precision Farming Revolution Looms

As more macro funds shut their doors in despair, global rate and FX volatility has revived as the BoE turned hawkish - 2-yr gilt yields have...

Sean Maher

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P500 June 2026 Forecast: FLEX, FTI & MTZ Leading the Pack

​MRVL faces reduced probability due to sector balance; FLEX and FTI are top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores, with FLEX...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Key Support Levels Being Tested for U.S. Indexes

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for...

Vermilion Research

Yield Surge Tests Equities; Downgrading Discretionary

We are downgrading Consumer Discretionary to market weight as retail breakdowns and continued weakness in homebuilders and major autos has led to...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading U.S. Energy & Materials Sectors to Overweight

Both Energy and Materials have hurriedly advanced within our relative strength rankings over the past several weeks--now ranking #2 and #4,...

Vermilion Research

Macro Funds Lose Faith, Precision Farming Revolution Looms

As more macro funds shut their doors in despair, global rate and FX volatility has revived as the BoE turned hawkish - 2-yr gilt yields have...

Sean Maher

MRVL faces reduced probability due to sector balance; FLEX and FTI are top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores, with FLEX...