ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-group-m-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR DIY (MRDIY MK)</a> remains a standout retailer in Malaysia with its commanding position in the home improvement space and beyond, playing into increased demand for value-for-money products.</li>
<li>The slower growth last quarter came from a high base last year. 3Q2023 should see a strong rebound in growth providing a positive catalyst plus its store expansion is on-track.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-group-m-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR DIY</a>'s can finance its store expansion from internally generated cashflows and should start to see SSSG recover over the coming quarters. Valuations looking more reasonable as growth recovers.</li>
</ul>



MR DIY (MRDIY MK) remains a standout retailer in Malaysia with its commanding position in the home improvement space and beyond, playing into increased demand for value-for-money products.
The slower growth last quarter came from a high base last year. 3Q2023 should see a strong rebound in growth providing a positive catalyst plus its store expansion is on-track.

MR DIY's can finance its store expansion from internally generated cashflows and should start to see SSSG recover over the coming quarters. Valuations looking more reasonable as growth recovers.


MR D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK) - Self Sustaining Superbrand

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-group-m-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR DIY (MRDIY MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> </li>
<li>There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast</a>, the LQ45 Index rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ), MR DIY (MRDIY MK), UOB (UOB SP), and Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) 
There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, Vinfast, the LQ45 Index rebalance, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, and Medco Energi (MEDC IJ).
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chinese automotive maintenance services platform Tuhu Car has announced the terms for its HKEx IPO. Tuhu plans to raise net proceeds of HK$1.0-1.1bn (US$132-161m) through the issuance of 40.62m shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (2007986D HK)</a> 's franchised business model seems to have worked well, while its focus on high margin products/services have helped improve profitability.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss our forecasts and valuation for the company, and our analysis suggests that Tuhu Car’s IPO is priced reasonably.</li>
</ul>


Chinese automotive maintenance services platform Tuhu Car has announced the terms for its HKEx IPO. Tuhu plans to raise net proceeds of HK$1.0-1.1bn (US$132-161m) through the issuance of 40.62m shares.

Tuhu Car (2007986D HK) 's franchised business model seems to have worked well, while its focus on high margin products/services have helped improve profitability.
In this insight, we discuss our forecasts and valuation for the company, and our analysis suggests that Tuhu Car’s IPO is priced reasonably.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This year's Jakarta Fair was a spectacle with large crowds, who were spending as well as enjoying all the discounted food on offer and viewing new products on show.</li>
<li>The highlights from the show were a plethora of 2W and 4W EVs, a notable presence from dairy players, and many financing options being offered by multi-finance and fintech players. </li>
<li>In the consumer sector, we like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cisarua-mountain-dairy-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34999:1" rel="noopener">Cisarua Mountain Dairy</a> (Cimory), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ultrajaya-milk-industry-trading-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13892:1" rel="noopener">Ultrajaya Milk</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-indosari-corpindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1181:1" rel="noopener">PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo</a> (ROTI), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a>, for auto exposure.</li>
</ul>


This year's Jakarta Fair was a spectacle with large crowds, who were spending as well as enjoying all the discounted food on offer and viewing new products on show.
The highlights from the show were a plethora of 2W and 4W EVs, a notable presence from dairy players, and many financing options being offered by multi-finance and fintech players. 
In the consumer sector, we like Mitra Adiperkasa, Ace Hardware Indonesia, Matahari Department Store, Cisarua Mountain Dairy (Cimory), Ultrajaya Milk, PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo (ROTI), and Astra International, for auto exposure.


Indonesia Consumer - Positive Impressions from the Jakarta Fair

Ace Hardware Indonesia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware</a> has been a distinct laggard amongst listed retailers in Indonesia, with its valuations drifting to multi-year lows, given a slow recovery from the pandemic and limited digital strategy. </li>
<li>The company has continued to see lacklustre SSSG finish flat for last year but has recently opined a more optimistic outlook for 2023, planning to open 10-15 new stores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a> trades on 13.7x FY2023E PER and 12.7x FY2024E PER when it used to trade on twice that multiple with not dissimilar growth rates.</li>
</ul>



Ace Hardware has been a distinct laggard amongst listed retailers in Indonesia, with its valuations drifting to multi-year lows, given a slow recovery from the pandemic and limited digital strategy. 
The company has continued to see lacklustre SSSG finish flat for last year but has recently opined a more optimistic outlook for 2023, planning to open 10-15 new stores.

Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) trades on 13.7x FY2023E PER and 12.7x FY2024E PER when it used to trade on twice that multiple with not dissimilar growth rates.


Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) - Will Expansion Mode Be Enough?

Malaysia

Mr D.I.Y. Group (M) Berhad operates a chain of department stores. The Company offers hardware, electrical, household, jewellery and cosmetics, stationery, toys, car accessories, and household products. Mr D.I.Y. Group (M) serves customers in Asia.

MR DIY Group M (MRDIY MK)

MR D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK) - Self Sustaining Superbrand

MR DIY (MRDIY MK) remains a standout retailer in Malaysia with its commanding position in the home improvement space and beyond, playing into...

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Tuhu Car IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

Tuhu Car priced its IPO at HK$28.00 per share, at the bottom end of the IPO price range and raised net proceeds of HK$1,081m (US$138m) excluding...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Indonesia Consumer - Positive Impressions from the Jakarta Fair

The highlights from the Jakarta Fair were a plethora of 2W and 4W EVs, a notable presence from dairy players, and many financing options being...

Angus Mackintosh

Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) - Will Expansion Mode Be Enough?

Ace Hardware Indonesia trades on 13.7x FY23E PER and 12.7x FY24E PER when it used to trade on twice that multiple with not dissimilar growth rates,...

Angus Mackintosh