External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

Multi Commodity Exchange of India / Equity Bottom-Up

Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX IN)

Maintain BUY with a TP of INR 2,150, based on 35x Mar-24E core EPS Exchanges: MCX futures ADTV continued to decline in Q3FY22 (-6.6% QoQ to INR 238bn) due to seasonality and volume decline of 2/12/5% in bullion/energy/metals. Impact of futures decline will be offset by higher index/options volumes (+26/41% QoQ). Revenue is expected to increase 4% QoQ, aided by options revenue (charging from Q3 and realisation is 1/3rd of futures) and margin will expand 51bps QoQ to 41.1%.<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Maintain BUY with a TP of INR 2,150, based on 35x Mar-24E core EPS Exchanges: MCX futures ADTV continued to decline in Q3FY22 (-6.6% QoQ to INR 238bn) due to seasonality and volume decline of 2/12/5% in bullion/energy/metals. Impact of futures decline will be offset by higher index/options volumes (+26/41% QoQ). Revenue is expected to increase 4% QoQ, aided by options revenue (charging from Q3 and realisation is 1/3rd of futures) and margin will expand 51bps QoQ to 41.1%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q3FY22E Results Preview): Momentum continues

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Equity Bottom-Up

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

*A50 Challenges From HKEx: On October 18, 2021, the Hong Kong Exchange &amp; Clearing (388.HK) [HKEx] successfully launched the MSCI China A50 Connect (HK A50), which is predicated on the new MSCI A50 Index. Unfortunately, this new product will be in direct competition with Singapore Exchange’s (SGX.SP) [SGX]  FTSE A50 contract, which represents approximately 10% of company revenue or close to 20% of PBT.  HKEx has a very broad range of liquid Hong Kong-China linked products, with the new A50 contract being linked to the northbound Stock Connect – on top of a better fee offering; and*Time For Massive Strategic Move: As SGX needs to contend with a greater than expected impact from the earlier-than-expected launch of HKEX's MSCI China A50 index futures – on top of weaker equity volumes and fees, it continues to do numerous tiny bolt-on deals which appear to be more of a distraction than their worth. SGX must consider significant strategic alternatives if it is to avoid being hollowed out over the longer-term.

*A50 Challenges From HKEx: On October 18, 2021, the Hong Kong Exchange &amp; Clearing (388.HK) [HKEx] successfully launched the MSCI China A50 Connect (HK A50), which is predicated on the new MSCI A50 Index. Unfortunately, this new product will be in direct competition with Singapore Exchange’s (SGX.SP) [SGX]  FTSE A50 contract, which represents approximately 10% of company revenue or close to 20% of PBT.  HKEx has a very broad range of liquid Hong Kong-China linked products, with the new A50 contract being linked to the northbound Stock Connect – on top of a better fee offering; and*Time For Massive Strategic Move: As SGX needs to contend with a greater than expected impact from the earlier-than-expected launch of HKEX's MSCI China A50 index futures – on top of weaker equity volumes and fees, it continues to do numerous tiny bolt-on deals which appear to be more of a distraction than their worth. SGX must consider significant strategic alternatives if it is to avoid being hollowed out over the longer-term. 

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – Hollowing Out Of SGX Starts

*Creation of New Beijing Exchange: The establishment of a new Beijing Exchange will support small-to-medium sized enterprises (SME) exchange listings. The Beijing Exchange will only manage the highest-quality SMEs, with investment being made very accessible to small retail investors (minimum CNY 1 mn in liquid assets) – virtually ensuring success of the new Beijing Exchange; and
*HKEx Continues To Be Hollowed Out: Coupled with mainland China’s establishment of a new stock exchange to attract overseas-listed firms, mainland China continues to reinforce the notion that Shanghai will become the pre-eminent global financial center in Asia - limiting Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing’s (388.HK) [HKEx] ability to attract up and coming mainland Chinese IPOs over longer-term. In other words, if HKEx's mainland China story goes away so should HKEX’s exorbitant valuation.

*Creation of New Beijing Exchange: The establishment of a new Beijing Exchange will support small-to-medium sized enterprises (SME) exchange listings. The Beijing Exchange will only manage the highest-quality SMEs, with investment being made very accessible to small retail investors (minimum CNY 1 mn in liquid assets) – virtually ensuring success of the new Beijing Exchange; and
*HKEx Continues To Be Hollowed Out: Coupled with mainland China’s establishment of a new stock exchange to attract overseas-listed firms, mainland China continues to reinforce the notion that Shanghai will become the pre-eminent global financial center in Asia - limiting Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing’s (388.HK) [HKEx] ability to attract up and coming mainland Chinese IPOs over longer-term. In other words, if HKEx's mainland China story goes away so should HKEX’s exorbitant valuation.

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – China Plays Long Game With HKEx

*Challenging Quarter: Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing (388.HK) [HKEX] reported 2Q21 weak earnings of HKD 2.8 bn, declining HKD 1.1 bn (27.9%) linked quarter. Results were even worse when we exclude investment income (declined HKD 73 mn or 15.7% linked quarter) – decreasing HKD 997 mn (29.5%) to HKD 2.4 bn. Results were highlighted by HKEX’ marginally negative operating jaws, as recurring revenue declined HKD 1.9 bn (29.7%) while operating expenses increased HKD 8 mn (0.7%) over the period. HKEX’ 2Q21 witnessed weak revenues almost across the board; and*Risks Are Increasing: In addition to an extended valuation when ADT has begun to turn and having a new CEO with no exchange experiences, HKEX needs to contend with the government’s examination of a stamp duty increase, mainland China’s contemplation of a new stock exchange to attract overseas-listed firms (including Hong Kong) which will bolster Shanghai’s status as a global financial center; and the Sino-ification of HKEX trading as tension mount between the US and mainland China.

*Challenging Quarter: Hong Kong Exchanges &amp; Clearing (388.HK) [HKEX] reported 2Q21 weak earnings of HKD 2.8 bn, declining HKD 1.1 bn (27.9%) linked quarter. Results were even worse when we exclude investment income (declined HKD 73 mn or 15.7% linked quarter) – decreasing HKD 997 mn (29.5%) to HKD 2.4 bn. Results were highlighted by HKEX’ marginally negative operating jaws, as recurring revenue declined HKD 1.9 bn (29.7%) while operating expenses increased HKD 8 mn (0.7%) over the period. HKEX’ 2Q21 witnessed weak revenues almost across the board; and*Risks Are Increasing: In addition to an extended valuation when ADT has begun to turn and having a new CEO with no exchange experiences, HKEX needs to contend with the government’s examination of a stamp duty increase, mainland China’s contemplation of a new stock exchange to attract overseas-listed firms (including Hong Kong) which will bolster Shanghai’s status as a global financial center; and the Sino-ification of HKEX trading as tension mount between the US and mainland China.

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – Glitter Is Gone

HSIE Results Daily Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Banks (KMB) 1QFY22 performance was broadly in line with our estimates on the back of continued funding cost tailwinds resulting in sequentially stronger NIMs even as loans shrank 2.8% QoQ. Annualised slippages were up at 2.8% (FY21: 2.4%) as collections were affected during Apr-May21 on account of the second wave (as witnessed by peers), with most of the stress emerging from secured retail portfolio. KMB maintained its stock of COVID provisions and the loan loss coverage at ~65%.<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

HSIE Results Daily Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Banks (KMB) 1QFY22 performance was broadly in line with our estimates on the back of continued funding cost tailwinds resulting in sequentially stronger NIMs even as loans shrank 2.8% QoQ. Annualised slippages were up at 2.8% (FY21: 2.4%) as collections were affected during Apr-May21 on account of the second wave (as witnessed by peers), with most of the stress emerging from secured retail portfolio. KMB maintained its stock of COVID provisions and the loan loss coverage at ~65%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank and More

India

Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) is India's largest commodity derivatives exchange, offering an online platform for trading commodity futures and options across segments such as bullion, base metals, energy, and agricultural commodities. The company also provides data feed subscriptions and membership services. It was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX IN)

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q3FY22E Results Preview): Momentum continues

Maintain BUY with a TP of INR 2,150, based on 35x Mar-24E core EPS Exchanges: MCX futures ADTV continued to decline in Q3FY22 (-6.6% QoQ to INR...

HDFC Securities

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – Hollowing Out Of SGX Starts

HKEX: On October 18, 2021, HKEx launched MSCI China A50 Connect (HK A50), which is predicated on the new MSCI A50 Index. Unfortunately, this new...

Thomas J. Monaco

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – China Plays Long Game With HKEx

HKEX: The establishment of a new Beijing Exchange will support SME exchange listings. Coupled with establishment of a new exchange, HKEx continues...

Thomas J. Monaco

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing – Glitter Is Gone

HONG KONG EXCHANGES: HKEX reported 2Q21 weak earnings, declining 27.9%. Results were highlighted by HKEX’ marginally negative operating jaws. HKEX’...

Thomas J. Monaco

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank and More

HSIE Results Daily Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Banks (KMB) 1QFY22 performance was broadly in line with our estimates on the back of...

HDFC Securities

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