External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation due to lower premium collection)</li><li>Higher payout to tech vendor will impact EBITDA margin (~9.4%, down 1,345bps QoQ)</li><li>The tech transition remains the key overhang, MCX has been conducting mock trading sessions and the current transition timeline stands at 30 June 2023</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation due to lower premium collection)Higher payout to tech vendor will impact EBITDA margin (~9.4%, down 1,345bps QoQ)The tech transition remains the key overhang, MCX has been conducting mock trading sessions and the current transition timeline stands at 30 June 2023Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Soft Landing

<ul><li>Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>We continue to like DALBHARA for its robust volume and margin outlook</li><li>Dalmia reported strong volume growth (+12/9% YoY/QoQ) and healthy unit EBITDA recovery (+INR 300/365/MT YoY/QoQ) to solid INR 1,021 per MT, driven by both realisation firm-up and cost reduction</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)We continue to like DALBHARA for its robust volume and margin outlookDalmia reported strong volume growth (+12/9% YoY/QoQ) and healthy unit EBITDA recovery (+INR 300/365/MT YoY/QoQ) to solid INR 1,021 per MT, driven by both realisation firm-up and cost reductionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dalmia Bharat, Sundaram Finance, Apollo Tyres

<ul><li>Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to increase by 7.4% QoQ and the margin will expand to 52.3% (+82bps QoQ)</li><li>We prefer MCX in the exchanges space, aided by continued traction in options volume, healthy new product pipeline (index and mini contracts) and expected cost savings due to a change in tech vendor</li><li>The extension of the support timeline by the existing technology vendor will impact profitability in the short term</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges: MCX revenue is expected to increase by 7.4% QoQ and the margin will expand to 52.3% (+82bps QoQ)We prefer MCX in the exchanges space, aided by continued traction in options volume, healthy new product pipeline (index and mini contracts) and expected cost savings due to a change in tech vendorThe extension of the support timeline by the existing technology vendor will impact profitability in the short termContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Mixed Bag

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Fractal Analytics Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fractal-analytics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45676:1" rel="noopener">Fractal Analytics (2453623D IN)</a> raised about US$315m in its India IPO in Feb 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors and part of promoters’ stake is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Fractal Analytics is an enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) company which supports large global enterprises with data-driven insights and assists them in their decision making through its end-to-end AI solutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Fractal Analytics (2453623D IN) raised about US$315m in its India IPO in Feb 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors and part of promoters’ stake is set to expire soon.
Fractal Analytics is an enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) company which supports large global enterprises with data-driven insights and assists them in their decision making through its end-to-end AI solutions.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Fractal Analytics IPO Lockup Expiry - US$875m Release but Shares Trading Below IPO Price

<ul><li>United Spirits: UNSP posted a beat on our estimates, led by strong performance in P&amp;A segment</li><li>Net revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&amp;A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent years)</li><li>P&amp;A volume, at 13mn cases, was up 14% YoY (6% three-year CAGR) vs HSIE’s 11.2mn cases</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United Spirits: UNSP posted a beat on our estimates, led by strong performance in P&amp;A segmentNet revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&amp;A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent years)P&amp;A volume, at 13mn cases, was up 14% YoY (6% three-year CAGR) vs HSIE’s 11.2mn casesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: United Spirits, Multi Commodity Exchange

India

Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) is India's largest commodity derivatives exchange, offering an online platform for trading commodity futures and options across segments such as bullion, base metals, energy, and agricultural commodities. The company also provides data feed subscriptions and membership services. It was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX IN)

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Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX IN)

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Soft Landing

MCX revenue is expected to decline by 6.8% QoQ, mainly due to a decline in futures volume and flat options revenue (a drop in effective realisation...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dalmia Bharat, Sundaram Finance, Apollo Tyres

Dalmia Bharat: We maintain our BUY rating on Dalmia Bharat (DALBHARA), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,440/sh (13x its Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet - Mixed Bag

We prefer MCX in the exchanges space, aided by continued traction in options volume, healthy new product pipeline (index and mini contracts) and...

HDFC Securities

Aequitas: Fractal Analytics IPO Lockup Expiry - US$875m Release but Shares Trading Below IPO Price

Fractal Analytics raised about US$315m in its India IPO in Feb 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors and part of promoters’ stake is set to...

Akshat Shah

HSIE Results Daily: United Spirits, Multi Commodity Exchange

Net revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent...

HDFC Securities

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