Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Executive summary</h2><ul>
<li><em><strong>DRAM spot price much stronger than NAND's in 4Q16: </strong>After over 10% hike in DRAM/NAND spot/contract price in 3Q16, we see another strong upward spot price trend (over 30% q/q rebound) for DRAM in 4Q16 but a muted NAND spot price. </em></li>
<li>
<em>After TSMC/Intel guided 1-2% q/q sales decline and AMD guided 18% q/q drop in 4Q16 coupled with likely over 30% q/q iPhone shipment decline in 1Q17, <strong>the seasonal softness might mitigate DRAM/NAND spot price rebound starting late 4Q16 and drive a</strong></em>…</li>
</ul>

Executive summary
DRAM spot price much stronger than NAND's in 4Q16: After over 10% hike in DRAM/NAND spot/contract price in 3Q16, we see another strong upward spot price trend (over 30% q/q rebound) for DRAM in 4Q16 but a muted NAND spot price. 

After TSMC/Intel guided 1-2% q/q sales decline and AMD guided 18% q/q drop in 4Q16 coupled with likely over 30% q/q iPhone shipment decline in 1Q17, the seasonal softness might mitigate DRAM/NAND spot price rebound starting late 4Q16 and drive a…


Reasons Why DRAM Price Might Be Better than NAND in 2017

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/017/original/IRF_NewsShocks.png?1476919557" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15017"></figure><div class="content-caption">"News Shocks" to the Japanese Economy (Source: Europacifica)</div><h2>Room for small hope amid bleak Japanese policy reform record</h2><p>Until now, our analysis of Japanese structural reform, centred upon raising Japanese productivity, has revealed few tendencies that might give us hope of an imminent and conclusive end to Japan's deflationary "lost decades" dynamic.  In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/structural-reform-i-the-japanese-financial-sector" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:6375">Structural Reform I: The Japanese Financial Sector</a> we examined some of the structural characteristics within the financial sector that were…</p>

"News Shocks" to the Japanese Economy (Source: Europacifica)Room for small hope amid bleak Japanese policy reform recordUntil now, our analysis of Japanese structural reform, centred upon raising Japanese productivity, has revealed few tendencies that might give us hope of an imminent and conclusive end to Japan's deflationary "lost decades" dynamic.  In Structural Reform I: The Japanese Financial Sector we examined some of the structural characteristics within the financial sector that were…

Structural Reform III: Evidence of Bad Luck over Poor Policy

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<p>In this report, we predict which technology companies will be targeted over the next two years, who is likely to acquire them and why.</p><p>Some of the investment themes driving these deals include artificial intelligence, the internet of things, MedTech, 3D printing, internet TV, virtual and augmented reality, robotics, cloud computing and the race between the US and China to dominate the next generation of advanced technologies.</p>

In this report, we predict which technology companies will be targeted over the next two years, who is likely to acquire them and why.Some of the investment themes driving these deals include artificial intelligence, the internet of things, MedTech, 3D printing, internet TV, virtual and augmented reality, robotics, cloud computing and the race between the US and China to dominate the next generation of advanced technologies.

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team.</li><li>Recent Asian additions: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/71" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:71:1">Vocus Communications Ltd (VOC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11649" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1">Murata Manufacturing Co Ltd (6981 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10566" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1">Abacus Property Group (ABP AU)</a> </li><li>Recent Asian deletions: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/957" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:957:1">Ainsworth Game Technology Limited (AGI AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1">Commonwealth Bank Of Australia (CBA AU)</a> </li></ul><p><em>Analyst: Michael Holt, CFA</em></p>

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team.Recent Asian additions: Vocus Communications Ltd (VOC AU), Murata Manufacturing Co Ltd (6981 JP), and Abacus Property Group (ABP AU) Recent Asian deletions: Ainsworth Game Technology Limited (AGI AU) and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia (CBA AU) Analyst: Michael Holt, CFA

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Japan Aviation Electronics / Event-Driven

<p>At the end of May this year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17084" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1">NEC Corp</a> (NEC) announced it would spend JPY 19.2bn (~US$170mm) to purchase 10 million shares or approximately 11% of shares outstanding in affiliate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9095" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9095:1">Japan Aviation Electronics</a> (JAE) through a tender offer which is expected to begin in November 2016 after the receipt of approvals from various anti-trust authorities and regulatory bodies. The stated goal is to make JAE a subsidiary of NEC (it is currently an equity-method affiliate) and reap synergies in cooperating in…</p>

At the end of May this year, NEC Corp (NEC) announced it would spend JPY 19.2bn (~US$170mm) to purchase 10 million shares or approximately 11% of shares outstanding in affiliate Japan Aviation Electronics (JAE) through a tender offer which is expected to begin in November 2016 after the receipt of approvals from various anti-trust authorities and regulatory bodies. The stated goal is to make JAE a subsidiary of NEC (it is currently an equity-method affiliate) and reap synergies in cooperating in…

Japan Aviation Electronics Partial Tender Update:  Launch Expected Next Month

Japan

MURATA MANUFACTURING COMPANY, LTD. manufactures and sells ceramic applied electronic components.  The Company's products include filters, capacitors, thermistors, resistors, noise suppression components, coils, piezoelectric sound components, power supplies, sensors, hybrid integrated circuit (IC), and microwave components.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)

Reasons Why DRAM Price Might Be Better than NAND in 2017

Executive summary DRAM spot price much stronger than NAND's in 4Q16: After over 10% hike in DRAM/NAND spot/contract price in 3Q16, we see another...

Andrew Lu

Structural Reform III: Evidence of Bad Luck over Poor Policy

Room for small hope amid bleak Japanese policy reform recordUntil now, our analysis of Japanese structural reform, centred upon raising Japanese...

Naomi Fink

Tech M&A Targets

In this report, we predict which technology companies will be targeted over the next two years, who is likely to acquire them and why.Some of the...

CM Research

Equity Best Ideas for October 2016

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team. Recent Asian additions: Vocus...

Morningstar, Inc.

Japan Aviation Electronics Partial Tender Update: Launch Expected Next Month

At the end of May this year, NEC Corp (NEC) announced it would spend JPY 19.2bn (~US$170mm) to purchase 10 million shares or approximately 11% of...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)