Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hope you’re enjoying the weekend out there! Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility with the CPI report released this Thursday along with bonds remaining indecisive about the future market direction.</li><li>The overall sentiment this week again has optimism written all over it with equity sentiment still hovering at 2021 highs on some of the short-term indicators, and GBP and EUR are continuing their positioning resilience, while commodity markets are starting to signal weaker demand again after a couple of weeks of strength.</li><li>Follow along as we dissect market sentiment and positioning data below.</li></ul>

Hope you’re enjoying the weekend out there! Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility with the CPI report released this Thursday along with bonds remaining indecisive about the future market direction.The overall sentiment this week again has optimism written all over it with equity sentiment still hovering at 2021 highs on some of the short-term indicators, and GBP and EUR are continuing their positioning resilience, while commodity markets are starting to signal weaker demand again after a couple of weeks of strength.Follow along as we dissect market sentiment and positioning data below.

Positioning Watch – The Chinese Disappointment Is Written All over the Latest Positioning

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Welcome back to our Wednesday series where we take you through the world of global macro and what to look out for going forward.</li>
<li>With US CPI being released tomorrow – where we as always will cover the most important take-aways post-release – there is room for market movements as the disinflation narrative continues amidst the possibility of a positive surprise in headline CPI due to base effects.</li>
<li>We’ll as always be short and concise and let you into our thinking regarding asset allocation and positioning ahead of the data/events mentioned.</li>
</ul>


Welcome back to our Wednesday series where we take you through the world of global macro and what to look out for going forward.
With US CPI being released tomorrow – where we as always will cover the most important take-aways post-release – there is room for market movements as the disinflation narrative continues amidst the possibility of a positive surprise in headline CPI due to base effects.
We’ll as always be short and concise and let you into our thinking regarding asset allocation and positioning ahead of the data/events mentioned.


5 Things We Watch – Fed Overtightening, Curve Steepening, US CPI, BoJ & China

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The USD is trading mixed to slightly firmer as markets show signs of calming after the volatility seen earlier in the week. Stocks are trading higher in Europe and rose modestly in Asia; US equity futures are positive.</li><li>US 10Y yields are holding near the recent high at 4.20% but intraday trends are largely tracking other major bond markets.</li><li>Commodities are mixed to firmer (crude and iron ore). The NOK and AUD are moderate outperformers on the day (reflecting gains in relevant commodities noted above). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading mixed to slightly firmer as markets show signs of calming after the volatility seen earlier in the week. Stocks are trading higher in Europe and rose modestly in Asia; US equity futures are positive.US 10Y yields are holding near the recent high at 4.20% but intraday trends are largely tracking other major bond markets.Commodities are mixed to firmer (crude and iron ore). The NOK and AUD are moderate outperformers on the day (reflecting gains in relevant commodities noted above). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>FX Market Update —The USD remains firm after yesterday gains.</li><li>US Treasurys remain under pressure following the Fitch news and, perhaps more especially, the US Treasury refunding announcement which highlighted a significant increase in supply over the coming year —even though this would not have been a surprise for the Treasury market.</li><li>Weak Treasurys are weighing on global yields and extending pressure on stocks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update —The USD remains firm after yesterday gains.US Treasurys remain under pressure following the Fitch news and, perhaps more especially, the US Treasury refunding announcement which highlighted a significant increase in supply over the coming year —even though this would not have been a surprise for the Treasury market.Weak Treasurys are weighing on global yields and extending pressure on stocks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Supported by Rising Yields

<ul>
<li>The change to the YCC-policy in Japan caught a majority of investors off guard, but so did the subsequent flows and moves in Japanese markets.</li>
<li>We kept reiterating that JGB yield risks were to the upside, while the JPY could see downside, which is exactly what has happened.</li>
<li>In this piece, we will try to elaborate on why that is and why we see a slow grind to 1% in 10yr JGB yields alongside a move in USDJPY to +150 territory.</li>
</ul>


The change to the YCC-policy in Japan caught a majority of investors off guard, but so did the subsequent flows and moves in Japanese markets.
We kept reiterating that JGB yield risks were to the upside, while the JPY could see downside, which is exactly what has happened.
In this piece, we will try to elaborate on why that is and why we see a slow grind to 1% in 10yr JGB yields alongside a move in USDJPY to +150 territory.


Japan Watch: Flows in JPY and JGBs after the YCC decision

Mexico

The Mexican peso is the official currency of Mexico. 

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese Disappointment Is Written All over the Latest Positioning

Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility...

Steno Research

5 Things We Watch – Fed Overtightening, Curve Steepening, US CPI, BoJ & China

Welcome back to our Wednesday series where we take you through the world of global macro and what to look out for going forward. With US CPI being...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Mixed Ahead of Jobs Data

Commodities are mixed to firmer (crude and iron ore). The NOK and AUD are moderate outperformers on the day (reflecting gains in relevant...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Supported by Rising Yields

FX Market Update —The USD remains firm after yesterday gains. US Treasurys remain under pressure following the Fitch news and, perhaps more...

Scotiabank

Japan Watch: Flows in JPY and JGBs after the YCC decision

The change to the YCC-policy in Japan caught a majority of investors off guard, but so did the subsequent flows and moves in Japanese markets. We...

Steno Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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