Bayon Financial

Graeme Cunningham

Independent Insight Provider

Bayon Financial provides industry and company analysis focusing on mid and small cap equity research coverage across a range of sectors including mining, financials and telecoms.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>U.S. political moves last month backing nuclear power are part of a long-term secular trend of increasing global support for the industry which could drive a uranium rebound </li>
<li>A nearly 40% uranium slump from early 2024 to March 2025 has priced in a significant degree of the industry’s challenges, and a price recovery has started </li>
<li>As the world’s largest producer, Kazatomprom is well positioned for a rise in uranium, it has lagged the recent sector rebound, and trades at a moderate 1.4x P/B ratio  </li>
</ul>


U.S. political moves last month backing nuclear power are part of a long-term secular trend of increasing global support for the industry which could drive a uranium rebound 
A nearly 40% uranium slump from early 2024 to March 2025 has priced in a significant degree of the industry’s challenges, and a price recovery has started 
As the world’s largest producer, Kazatomprom is well positioned for a rise in uranium, it has lagged the recent sector rebound, and trades at a moderate 1.4x P/B ratio  


Kazatomprom: Largest Global Producer Well Positioned for Uranium Rebound

<ul>
<li>Operations remain strong with volume rising and revenue up on the continued rise in uranium prices in Q3/25, although the metal has cooled in Q4/25 </li>
<li>Domestic macro remains a drag on the valuation, with the NBK hiking its base rate 1.5% in October 2025 to combat rising inflation, boosting our discount rate significantly   </li>
<li>After over a 40% rise since June 2025 our valuation is now about -20% below the current price, although the P/B still looks low, especially versus Cameco's surging multiple</li>
</ul>


Operations remain strong with volume rising and revenue up on the continued rise in uranium prices in Q3/25, although the metal has cooled in Q4/25 
Domestic macro remains a drag on the valuation, with the NBK hiking its base rate 1.5% in October 2025 to combat rising inflation, boosting our discount rate significantly   
After over a 40% rise since June 2025 our valuation is now about -20% below the current price, although the P/B still looks low, especially versus Cameco's surging multiple


Kazatomprom: Major Rate Hike Hits Valuation of Uranium Market Leader

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Over the past week we visited parts of Kazakhstan, the 9th largest country in the world.</li>
<li>Long a favorite of the oil and uranium industry the country is now attracting more metals and mining exploration activity.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arras-minerals-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40384:1" rel="noopener">Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY) has assembled the 4th largest exploration package and is looking for elephant sized gold/copper deposits. Success at any of its projects could catapult shares higher.</a></li>
</ul>


Over the past week we visited parts of Kazakhstan, the 9th largest country in the world.
Long a favorite of the oil and uranium industry the country is now attracting more metals and mining exploration activity.
Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY) has assembled the 4th largest exploration package and is looking for elephant sized gold/copper deposits. Success at any of its projects could catapult shares higher.


Arras Minerals: Looking for Elephant Sized Gold/Copper Deposits in Kazakhstan

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in April 2022, around six weeks after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, I touched on the disruption to the uranium supply chain in <em><strong><a href="https://skr.ma/hkBPx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Uranium: Fuelling Fears</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>The war spurred renewed interest in nuclear energy as a source of domestic power. Uranium prices have tripled since the invasion. </li>
<li>A recent report from the World Nuclear Association forecast a significant step-up in demand for uranium for reactors, together with a material output drop from mines "as deposits are exhausted".</li>
</ul>


Back in April 2022, around six weeks after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, I touched on the disruption to the uranium supply chain in Uranium: Fuelling Fears. 
The war spurred renewed interest in nuclear energy as a source of domestic power. Uranium prices have tripled since the invasion. 
A recent report from the World Nuclear Association forecast a significant step-up in demand for uranium for reactors, together with a material output drop from mines "as deposits are exhausted".


Uranium's Shortfall And Nuclear Viability

Kazakhstan

NAC Kazatomprom JSC produces and markets minerals. The Company specializes in natural uranium production. NAC Kazatomprom also imports and exports uranium compounds, nuclear power plant fuel, and uranium components. NAC Kazatomprom serves customers worldwide.

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NAC Kazatomprom JSC (KAP LI)

Kazatomprom: Largest Global Producer Well Positioned for Uranium Rebound

This provides broader background on the secular uptrend in the nuclear industry which supported our June 2025 bullish outlook on KZAP and was key...

Graeme Cunningham

Kazatomprom: Major Rate Hike Hits Valuation of Uranium Market Leader

With KZAP's price up over 40% since our bullish June 2025 outlook and the discount rate boosted by Kazakhstan's central bank rate hikes, there is...

Graeme Cunningham

Arras Minerals: Looking for Elephant Sized Gold/Copper Deposits in Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan, a top destination for oil and uranium, now seeing increased interest in metals and mining exploration, with Arras Minerals holding...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Uranium's Shortfall And Nuclear Viability

A recent report from the World Nuclear Association forecast a significant step-up in demand for uranium for reactors, coupled with a material...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kazatomprom: Largest Global Producer Well Positioned for Uranium Rebound

This provides broader background on the secular uptrend in the nuclear industry which supported our June 2025 bullish outlook on KZAP and was key...

Graeme Cunningham

Kazatomprom: Major Rate Hike Hits Valuation of Uranium Market Leader

With KZAP's price up over 40% since our bullish June 2025 outlook and the discount rate boosted by Kazakhstan's central bank rate hikes, there is...

Graeme Cunningham

Arras Minerals: Looking for Elephant Sized Gold/Copper Deposits in Kazakhstan

​Kazakhstan, a top destination for oil and uranium, now seeing increased interest in metals and mining exploration, with Arras Minerals holding...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Uranium's Shortfall And Nuclear Viability

A recent report from the World Nuclear Association forecast a significant step-up in demand for uranium for reactors, coupled with a material...

David Blennerhassett

Kazakhstan, a top destination for oil and uranium, now seeing increased interest in metals and mining exploration, with Arras Minerals holding...