Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Kazakhstan remains the world’s largest uranium producer, accounting for roughly 39–40% of global mine supply in recent years, while Russia continues to retain meaningful influence in enrichment capacity.</li>
<li>Utilities resumed long-duration uranium contracting during 2025–2026 despite elevated prices near US$80–100/lb, suggesting fuel diversification and procurement stability increasingly outweigh pure short-term cost optimisation.</li>
<li>Governments and utilities increasingly appear willing to tolerate higher fuel and infrastructure costs in exchange for stable electricity, diversified fuel access and long-duration energy reliability.</li>
</ul>


Kazakhstan remains the world’s largest uranium producer, accounting for roughly 39–40% of global mine supply in recent years, while Russia continues to retain meaningful influence in enrichment capacity.
Utilities resumed long-duration uranium contracting during 2025–2026 despite elevated prices near US$80–100/lb, suggesting fuel diversification and procurement stability increasingly outweigh pure short-term cost optimisation.
Governments and utilities increasingly appear willing to tolerate higher fuel and infrastructure costs in exchange for stable electricity, diversified fuel access and long-duration energy reliability.


Uranium: Fuel Security Is Starting To Matter More Than Cost

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Structural Asia theme: AI-driven power demand, decarbonisation realism, and energy security are reviving nuclear across Asia’s value chain, with clearer cost and execution advantages versus the West.</li>
<li>Top equity plays: Kazatomprom anchors uranium scarcity; Mitsubishi Heavy offers quality equipment exposure; Doosan Enerbility provides high-beta EPC leverage as capex and SMRs scale.</li>
<li>• Selective risk framework: China drives volume but limited alpha; Japan offers execution-led equipment and restart upside; utilities and ETFs serve as stabilisers, not primary alpha drivers.</li>
</ul>


Structural Asia theme: AI-driven power demand, decarbonisation realism, and energy security are reviving nuclear across Asia’s value chain, with clearer cost and execution advantages versus the West.
Top equity plays: Kazatomprom anchors uranium scarcity; Mitsubishi Heavy offers quality equipment exposure; Doosan Enerbility provides high-beta EPC leverage as capex and SMRs scale.
• Selective risk framework: China drives volume but limited alpha; Japan offers execution-led equipment and restart upside; utilities and ETFs serve as stabilisers, not primary alpha drivers.


Asia’s Nuclear Revival: Structural Upside Across the Energy Value Chain

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>We look at certain investor positioning in the commodity sector</li>
<li>A bear market rally in the USD is the biggest risk and opportunity.</li>
<li>We add some soft commodities to the inflation beneficiaries' basket</li>
</ul>


We look at certain investor positioning in the commodity sector
A bear market rally in the USD is the biggest risk and opportunity.
We add some soft commodities to the inflation beneficiaries' basket


Overview# 29- The Hard-Asset Reset: Buying the Pullback in Commodities

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>2023 was the year of Uranium. Both the underlying commodity and most uranium equity-linked stories performed strongly.</li>
<li>2024 will be the story about copper and supply side issues becoming front and center as the "energy transition" benefits copper usage.</li>
<li>Buy a basket of junior copper companies with high M&amp;A likelihood such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/los-andes-copper-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35434:1" rel="noopener">Los Andes Copper Ltd (LA CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solaris-resources-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40176:1" rel="noopener">Solaris Resources (SLS CN),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arras-minerals-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40384" rel="noopener">Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/entree-resources-ltd-3aeeb68c-80d0-4ada-822e-898883fbb28e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26727:1" rel="noopener">Entree Resources (ETG CN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


2023 was the year of Uranium. Both the underlying commodity and most uranium equity-linked stories performed strongly.
2024 will be the story about copper and supply side issues becoming front and center as the "energy transition" benefits copper usage.
Buy a basket of junior copper companies with high M&amp;A likelihood such as Los Andes Copper Ltd (LA CN), Solaris Resources (SLS CN), Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY), and Entree Resources (ETG CN). 


2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners

Kazakhstan

NAC Kazatomprom JSC produces and markets minerals. The Company specializes in natural uranium production. NAC Kazatomprom also imports and exports uranium compounds, nuclear power plant fuel, and uranium components. NAC Kazatomprom serves customers worldwide.

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NAC Kazatomprom JSC (KAP LI)

Uranium: Fuel Security Is Starting To Matter More Than Cost

Re-sharing as recent energy security and power reliability discussions continue to support the view that fuel security may increasingly matter more...

Duncan Chan

Asia’s Nuclear Revival: Structural Upside Across the Energy Value Chain

AI-driven power demand, decarbonisation, and energy security are boosting nuclear in Asia, with Kazatomprom, Mitsubishi Heavy, and Doosan...

Rahul Jain

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Overview# 29- The Hard-Asset Reset: Buying the Pullback in Commodities

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the longer term commodity move in the context of the current...

Rikki Malik

2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners

2023 was a strong year for uranium in 2024 it could be copper's time to shine due to supply issues and the "energy transition." Consider investing...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Uranium: Fuel Security Is Starting To Matter More Than Cost

Re-sharing as recent energy security and power reliability discussions continue to support the view that fuel security may increasingly matter more...

Duncan Chan

Asia’s Nuclear Revival: Structural Upside Across the Energy Value Chain

​AI-driven power demand, decarbonisation, and energy security are boosting nuclear in Asia, with Kazatomprom, Mitsubishi Heavy, and Doosan...

Rahul Jain

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Overview# 29- The Hard-Asset Reset: Buying the Pullback in Commodities

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the longer term commodity move in the context of the current...

Rikki Malik

2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners

​2023 was a strong year for uranium in 2024 it could be copper's time to shine due to supply issues and the "energy transition." Consider investing...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

AI-driven power demand, decarbonisation, and energy security are boosting nuclear in Asia, with Kazatomprom, Mitsubishi Heavy, and Doosan...

2023 was a strong year for uranium in 2024 it could be copper's time to shine due to supply issues and the "energy transition." Consider investing...