Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.</li>
<li>Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.</li>
<li>Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.</li>
</ul>


We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.
Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.
Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.


Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>AMD committed up to US$5bn to Anthropic against an order for up to 2 gigawatts of MI450 accelerators, the first training-scale commitment to a rack that is not NVIDIA's.</li>
<li>NVIDIA prepaid Amkor US$1.5bn to expand Arizona packaging and planned US$5bn to US$10bn of dark fiber, paying cash upfront for what it does not manufacture.</li>
<li>Korea's supply answer to a 2027 shortage is dated 2030: Samsung plans four new fabs, and SK Hynix reapproved a 7.1 trillion won expansion.</li>
</ul>


AMD committed up to US$5bn to Anthropic against an order for up to 2 gigawatts of MI450 accelerators, the first training-scale commitment to a rack that is not NVIDIA's.
NVIDIA prepaid Amkor US$1.5bn to expand Arizona packaging and planned US$5bn to US$10bn of dark fiber, paying cash upfront for what it does not manufacture.
Korea's supply answer to a 2027 shortage is dated 2030: Samsung plans four new fabs, and SK Hynix reapproved a 7.1 trillion won expansion.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMD Wins First Training Chip Order Outside NVIDIA; NVDA Prepays Amkor's Capex

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 24th. The aggregated short interest was USD43.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink, ASE Industrial, UMC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 24th. The aggregated short interest was USD43.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink, ASE Industrial, UMC.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 24th): Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink, UMC

<ul>
<li>
AI's compute build re-accelerated broadly in June: chain revenue growth stepped up to +61% YoY across server ODMs and infrastructure, with even ASUS's rebound crediting AI servers rather than PCs.</li>
<li>
Memory's price surge settled to an ordinary pace: sequential revenue growth cooled to +7% MoM from April's +32%, though company commentary says prices keep rising and cycle has not turned.</li>
<li>
AI demand is now tightening component supply at the consumer end: a casing maker blamed shortages for weak notebook shipments, and consumer PCs still lag the AI cohort.</li>
</ul>



AI's compute build re-accelerated broadly in June: chain revenue growth stepped up to +61% YoY across server ODMs and infrastructure, with even ASUS's rebound crediting AI servers rather than PCs.

Memory's price surge settled to an ordinary pace: sequential revenue growth cooled to +7% MoM from April's +32%, though company commentary says prices keep rising and cycle has not turned.

AI demand is now tightening component supply at the consumer end: a casing maker blamed shortages for weak notebook shipments, and consumer PCs still lag the AI cohort.


AI Supply Chain Revenue Signals: The Memory Surge Settles While AI Server Demand Broadens

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated holding was USD2,069.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,447mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Delta Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated holding was USD2,069.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,447mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Delta Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMD Wins First Training Chip Order Outside NVIDIA; NVDA Prepays Amkor's Capex

AMD commits $5bn to Anthropic for it to buy AI training accelerators, NVIDIA prepaying for Arizona packaging, Samsung and SK Hynix plan expansions...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 24th): Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink, UMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

AI Supply Chain Revenue Signals: The Memory Surge Settles While AI Server Demand Broadens

AI server demand surged in June, driving revenue growth, while memory prices stabilized and AI demand tightened consumer component supply.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMD Wins First Training Chip Order Outside NVIDIA; NVDA Prepays Amkor's Capex

​AMD commits $5bn to Anthropic for it to buy AI training accelerators, NVIDIA prepaying for Arizona packaging, Samsung and SK Hynix plan expansions...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 24th): Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink, UMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Nanya Technology, BizLink,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

AI Supply Chain Revenue Signals: The Memory Surge Settles While AI Server Demand Broadens

​AI server demand surged in June, driving revenue growth, while memory prices stabilized and AI demand tightened consumer component supply.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

AMD commits $5bn to Anthropic for it to buy AI training accelerators, NVIDIA prepaying for Arizona packaging, Samsung and SK Hynix plan expansions...

AI server demand surged in June, driving revenue growth, while memory prices stabilized and AI demand tightened consumer component supply.