Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.</li>
<li>Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  </li>
<li>Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.</li>
</ul>


We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.
Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  
Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.


Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>On<strong> 20th March 2026,</strong> the critical patent for Semaglutide expires in India, decisively ending the innovator's legal monopoly and enabling highly affordable generic versions. </li>
<li>This triggers a <strong>massive 70% retail price drop</strong> in India, exponentially expanding affordable access to millions suffering from prevalent obesity and diabetes.</li>
<li>Vertically integrated formulators like Sun Pharma and specialized API manufacturers like Divis Laboratories capture maximum alpha through scaled volumes and zero customer acquisition costs.</li>
</ul>


On 20th March 2026, the critical patent for Semaglutide expires in India, decisively ending the innovator's legal monopoly and enabling highly affordable generic versions. 
This triggers a massive 70% retail price drop in India, exponentially expanding affordable access to millions suffering from prevalent obesity and diabetes.
Vertically integrated formulators like Sun Pharma and specialized API manufacturers like Divis Laboratories capture maximum alpha through scaled volumes and zero customer acquisition costs.


The GLP-1 Super-Cycle: Deconstructing India’s 2026 Patent Cliff and Alpha Generators

<ul>
<li>IPM grew 11% YoY in Mar 2026, closing FY2026 at ~10% YoY growth, with Semaglutide generics launching commercially and the GLP-1 market surging more than 3.8x on a MAT basis</li>
<li>The GLP-1 genericization event is a structural inflection for anti-diabetics. Meanwhile, Jan Aushadhi's rapid expansion to ~18,000 stores poses a medium-term headwind to branded IPM volume growth.</li>
<li>Preferred picks include Torrent Pharma, Sun Pharma, Emcure and Corona. Pricing and new launches remain the primary growth levers for FY2027; volume recovery is the variable to watch.</li>
</ul>


IPM grew 11% YoY in Mar 2026, closing FY2026 at ~10% YoY growth, with Semaglutide generics launching commercially and the GLP-1 market surging more than 3.8x on a MAT basis
The GLP-1 genericization event is a structural inflection for anti-diabetics. Meanwhile, Jan Aushadhi's rapid expansion to ~18,000 stores poses a medium-term headwind to branded IPM volume growth.
Preferred picks include Torrent Pharma, Sun Pharma, Emcure and Corona. Pricing and new launches remain the primary growth levers for FY2027; volume recovery is the variable to watch.


IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Natco Pharma acquires a 35.75% stake in South Africa’s Adcock Ingram, marking its largest overseas expansion to date.</li>
<li>This move instantly gives Natco a strong foothold in Africa’s pharma market and diversifies its global revenue streams from current headwind of US market.</li>
<li>Natco transitions from a primarily India/US-focused player to a serious contender in strategic emerging markets, enhancing its growth outlook.</li>
</ul>


Natco Pharma acquires a 35.75% stake in South Africa’s Adcock Ingram, marking its largest overseas expansion to date.
This move instantly gives Natco a strong foothold in Africa’s pharma market and diversifies its global revenue streams from current headwind of US market.
Natco transitions from a primarily India/US-focused player to a serious contender in strategic emerging markets, enhancing its growth outlook.


Event Driven: Natco Pharma’s Strategic Acquisition of Adcock Ingram

India focused: IPO, special situations, Stylus Holdings

Himanshu Dugar

India focused: IPO, special situations

Stylus Holdings

Stylus Holdings is a buy-side equity research firm. We offer bottom-up investment ideas as well as provide on demand equity research and portfolio tracking. 
At Stylus, our focus is to identify market dislocations that can generate 20+% IRR with a reasonable margin of safety. As part of our research process, we do a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company, evaluate their competitive positioning and assess their valuation.
Our investment team is led by Himanshu Dugar. Himanshu is a Chartered Accountant and a CFA charter holder. He has 10+ years of active experience in the stock market with stints at CRISIL Research, a S&P Global copmany and Miras Investments, a single family office based in Dubai.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Natco specializes in complex generics with a catalogue of 30 Para IV filings (14 approved), demonstrating strong R&amp;D expertise and a track record of successful high-value launches most prominently gRevlimid.</li>
<li>Its current pipeline include potential blockbuster drugs like generic versions of Evrysdi, Ozempic/Wegovy (GLP-1), Kyprolis, and Imbruvica, which could drive future growth and offset concerns about declining Revlimid revenues post-FY26.</li>
<li>We estimate Natco (ex-Revlimid) can generate ~2,500cr in revenues with profit of 320-350cr. Its 3,500cr cash-in-hand, Para IV optionalities and NCE investments (Gene therapy) make its current valuation attractive.</li>
</ul>


Natco specializes in complex generics with a catalogue of 30 Para IV filings (14 approved), demonstrating strong R&amp;D expertise and a track record of successful high-value launches most prominently gRevlimid.
Its current pipeline include potential blockbuster drugs like generic versions of Evrysdi, Ozempic/Wegovy (GLP-1), Kyprolis, and Imbruvica, which could drive future growth and offset concerns about declining Revlimid revenues post-FY26.
We estimate Natco (ex-Revlimid) can generate ~2,500cr in revenues with profit of 320-350cr. Its 3,500cr cash-in-hand, Para IV optionalities and NCE investments (Gene therapy) make its current valuation attractive.


Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN): Getting Ready for the Next Moonshot

India

Natco Pharma Limited manufactures a comprehensive range of branded and generic dosage forms, bulk actives and intermediates for both Indian as well as International markets. The Company's product range is constantly expanded through its own R&D initiative, basic research and also through joint ventures, technology transfers and collaborations.

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Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN)

Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

We have screened APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies with market cap≥$800M using Smartkarma’s Smart Score and picked up 2 investable ideas by...

Tina Banerjee

The GLP-1 Super-Cycle: Deconstructing India’s 2026 Patent Cliff and Alpha Generators

Semaglutide patent expiration in India leads to 70% price drop, increasing access to affordable generic versions for obesity and diabetes treatment.

Nimish Maheshwari

IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...

Nimish Maheshwari

Event Driven: Natco Pharma’s Strategic Acquisition of Adcock Ingram

Natco Pharma's acquisition of Adcock Ingram in South Africa marks a significant step in diversifying its global revenue streams and expanding its...

Nimish Maheshwari