Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

There is risk that banks will have to cancel, suspend or cut dividends. During a period of low-cost or free loans from governments and regulators to banks, it is difficult to envisage that regulators would sanction these very same banks to provide most of their earnings to shareholders. There are varying degrees of risk depending on payout ratios. Several banks around the world have reported dividend payout ratios at 70% or higher. There is more to lose at these banks, than others and this could be another source of concern, other than credit and liquidity risk. Australia’s banks seem to have all of these risks, in spades.

There is risk that banks will have to cancel, suspend or cut dividends. During a period of low-cost or free loans from governments and regulators to banks, it is difficult to envisage that regulators would sanction these very same banks to provide most of their earnings to shareholders. There are varying degrees of risk depending on payout ratios. Several banks around the world have reported dividend payout ratios at 70% or higher. There is more to lose at these banks, than others and this could be another source of concern, other than credit and liquidity risk. Australia’s banks seem to have all of these risks, in spades.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 5th June, published on the12th June.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was just A$128mn into "Broader Retail"; the largest industry net decrease was A$828mn out of "Banks". Net shorts decreased A$1.8bn week-on-week.
</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pro-medicus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13516:1" rel="noopener">Pro Medicus Ltd (PME AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/droneshield-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30509:1" rel="noopener">DroneShield Ltd (DRO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4dmedical-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30789:1" rel="noopener">4DMedical (4DX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/immutep-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19671:1" rel="noopener">Immutep (IMM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 5th June, published on the12th June.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was just A$128mn into "Broader Retail"; the largest industry net decrease was A$828mn out of "Banks". Net shorts decreased A$1.8bn week-on-week.

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Pro Medicus Ltd (PME AU), DroneShield Ltd (DRO AU), 4DMedical (4DX AU), Immutep (IMM AU), and Mayne Pharma (MYX AU).


Aussie Shorts [5 June 2026]: Pro Medicus, DroneShield, 4DMedical, Immutep, Mayne Pharma

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 22 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 22 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 June 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Australia, currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across six sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Australia, currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across six sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Australia (15 June 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 5th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers, Computershare, NEWMONT.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 5th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers, Computershare, NEWMONT.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 4th): Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers, Computershare

Australia

National Australia Bank Limited is an international banking group which operates in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, Asia and the United States.  The Group offers banking services, credit and access card facilities, leasing, housing and general finance, international and investment banking, wealth and funds management, life insurance and custodian, trustee and nominee services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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National Australia Bank (NAB AU)

Global Banks – Dividend Risk

There is risk that banks will have to cancel, suspend or cut dividends. During a period of low-cost or free loans from governments and regulators...

Daniel Tabbush

Aussie Shorts [5 June 2026]: Pro Medicus, DroneShield, 4DMedical, Immutep, Mayne Pharma

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Pro Medicus, DroneShield, 4DMedical, Immutep, and Mayne Pharma. Net shorts decreased...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 June 2026)

Discover 22 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Australia (15 June 2026)

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 4th): Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers, Computershare

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Banks – Dividend Risk

There is risk that banks will have to cancel, suspend or cut dividends. During a period of low-cost or free loans from governments and regulators...

Daniel Tabbush

Aussie Shorts [5 June 2026]: Pro Medicus, DroneShield, 4DMedical, Immutep, Mayne Pharma

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Pro Medicus, DroneShield, 4DMedical, Immutep, and Mayne Pharma. Net shorts decreased...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 June 2026)

​Discover 22 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Australia (15 June 2026)

​Discover nine pair trade opportunities across six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 4th): Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers, Computershare

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Pro Medicus, Northern Star Resources, Wesfarmers,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Discover 22 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.