Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.</li>
<li>Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.
Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>SEBI's March 27 proposal suggests standardising expiry dates: Thursdays for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bombay-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23694:1" rel="noopener">Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE IN)</a> and Tuesdays for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> .</li>
<li>NSE's previous strategic expiry days aimed at better liquidity, marginalising BSE's Tuesday expiry, potentially impacting it's trading volumes.</li>
<li>Post-Consultation was released, NSE faces a setback, deferring its planned monday expiry shift for Nifty contracts, indirectly protecting BSE from market share erosion.</li>
</ul>


SEBI's March 27 proposal suggests standardising expiry dates: Thursdays for Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE IN) and Tuesdays for National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) .
NSE's previous strategic expiry days aimed at better liquidity, marginalising BSE's Tuesday expiry, potentially impacting it's trading volumes.
Post-Consultation was released, NSE faces a setback, deferring its planned monday expiry shift for Nifty contracts, indirectly protecting BSE from market share erosion.


How SEBI's Expiry Date Proposal Could Halt BSE’s Market Share Erosion?

Investment Strategist, Transparently.AI

Mark Jolley

Investment Strategist

AI detection of accounting fraud and manipulation

Transparently.AI

Fraud and manipulation of their numbers see companies lose USD1 trillion+ per year for their stakeholders. Transparently.AI has developed an AI system that determines:

1. The likelihood that a company is committing fraud/serious manipulation of their books;
2. Whether it is serious enough to result in total corporate failure;
3. Estimated $ losses to stakeholders;
4. How that manipulation/fraud evolves through time; and
5. Detailed analytics on the forms of manipulation/fraud (e.g. which parts of the accounts, what tricks of the trade, questions for analysts to ask management, where/how to investigate further, etc.).

This is effectively automating the analysis of forensic accountants, activist short sellers, credit analysts, etc to do work that would typically take weeks per company, and instead run it in seconds and for thousands of companies simultaneously.

Critically, this solution frequently alerts users to the presence of serious manipulation risk up to 2-3 years in advance of the wider market and short sellers becoming aware of problems.

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Learn about India’s worst accounting fraud, including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer, Kingfisher and others in this report.</li>
<li>Misappropriation features prominently in these scandals, in addition to fraudulent reporting and corporate governance failure.</li>
<li>Siphoning of funds from bank loans, in particular, has been a common feature of Indian corporate malfeasance.</li>
</ul>


Learn about India’s worst accounting fraud, including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer, Kingfisher and others in this report.
Misappropriation features prominently in these scandals, in addition to fraudulent reporting and corporate governance failure.
Siphoning of funds from bank loans, in particular, has been a common feature of Indian corporate malfeasance.


<ul>
<li>In November 2020, HT Global IT Solutions acquired all the shares it did not own in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a> and delisted the stock from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">NSE</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bombay-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23694:1" rel="noopener">BSE</a>.</li>
<li>Now, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carlyle-group-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33402:1" rel="noopener">Carlyle Group</a> is looking to raise INR 87.5bn by selling stock at a price range of INR 674-708/share, valuing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a> at US$4.8bn.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and September, though the impact will be limited.</li>
</ul>


In November 2020, HT Global IT Solutions acquired all the shares it did not own in Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) and delisted the stock from the NSE and BSE.
Now, Carlyle Group is looking to raise INR 87.5bn by selling stock at a price range of INR 674-708/share, valuing Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) at US$4.8bn.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and September, though the impact will be limited.


Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


India

National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. provides securities exchange and market infrastructure services. The Company offers trading, clearing-related services, market data, indexes, listings, and investor education. The company serves investors, brokers, listed companies, financial institutions, and market participants in India.

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

India's Worst Accounting Scandals

Report documents India's major accounting fraud cases including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer and others. Misappropriation features prominently, with...

Mark Jolley

Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn

Hexaware delisted in 2020. Now, Carlyle is looking to sell stock worth INR 87.5bn and relist Hexaware. The mid-point of the INR 674-708/share range...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

How SEBI's Expiry Date Proposal Could Halt BSE’s Market Share Erosion?

​SEBI proposes standardising expiry dates for BSE and NSE, impacting liquidity and trading volumes, with NSE facing setback in shifting to Monday...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India's Worst Accounting Scandals

Report documents India's major accounting fraud cases including Yes Bank, Satyam Computer and others. Misappropriation features prominently, with...

Mark Jolley

Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn

Hexaware delisted in 2020. Now, Carlyle is looking to sell stock worth INR 87.5bn and relist Hexaware. The mid-point of the INR 674-708/share range...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

SEBI proposes standardising expiry dates for BSE and NSE, impacting liquidity and trading volumes, with NSE facing setback in shifting to Monday...