Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 180 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.3% as of Apr 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.8ppt week-on-week, led by financials, materials, information technology and offset by communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 180 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 68.3% as of Apr 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.8ppt week-on-week, led by financials, materials, information technology and offset by communication services, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 10th): ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 181 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.4% as of Mar 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, utilities, energy and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Cgn Power, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 181 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.4% as of Mar 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, utilities, energy and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Cgn Power, ABC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 27th): Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Cgn Power

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>We expect up to four ADDs and two DELs for the CSI All Share Semiconductors Index during this index review event based on the latest available data. Flows are small.</li>
</ul>


CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.
In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
We expect up to four ADDs and two DELs for the CSI All Share Semiconductors Index during this index review event based on the latest available data. Flows are small.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Have Crossed the Border

<ul>
<li>CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>We expect up to five ADDs and one DEL for the CSI All Share Semiconductors index during this index review event based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
We expect up to five ADDs and one DEL for the CSI All Share Semiconductors index during this index review event based on the latest available data.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Are Close to the Border

China

Nationz Technologies, Inc. designs integrated circuits and chips.  The Company's products include secure storage chips, trusted computing chips, mobile payment chips, communication interface chips, and radio frequency communication chips.

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Nationz Technologies Inc A (300077 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 10th): ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC. We analyse the changes of A...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 27th): Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Cgn Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 10th): ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ABC, Weichai Power, CICC, ICBC. We analyse the changes of A...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 27th): Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Cgn Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hans Cnc, Air China, CATL, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Have Crossed the Border

Some of our expected ADDs/DELs have changed. The reference period is almost over. Our current expected ADDs/DELs could be our final expectations...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Are Close to the Border

Currently, we estimate the CSI All Share Semiconductors December 2025 index rebalance to trigger flows of US$113mn one-way. Expected ADDs/DELs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...