Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we noted the S&amp;P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce.</li>
<li>This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&amp;P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DAX, Hang Seng, MCHI, KWEB.</li>
<li>As long as 3858 holds, it is possible the S&amp;P 500 breaks above the longer-term downtrend near the 200-day MA, which would mean the start of a new bull market.</li>
</ul>


Last week we noted the S&amp;P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce.
This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&amp;P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DAX, Hang Seng, MCHI, KWEB.
As long as 3858 holds, it is possible the S&amp;P 500 breaks above the longer-term downtrend near the 200-day MA, which would mean the start of a new bull market.


Bear Market Rally With Potential for More; Buy Ideas in Shipping, Land Drilling, Refining, Chemicals

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I hope everyone had a nice weekend! Globalization Reset and the “Pendulum Swing” Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital released another excellent memo last week that talked about the “pendulum” of globalization and how the Ukraine crisis could represent a new global pivot to re-thinking energy and supply chain dependencies.

I hope everyone had a nice weekend! Globalization Reset and the “Pendulum Swing” Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital released another excellent memo last week that talked about the “pendulum” of globalization and how the Ukraine crisis could represent a new global pivot to re-thinking energy and supply chain dependencies.

<ul>
<li>Our key "lines in the sand" were tested last week, including 4257 on the S&amp;P 500, $334 on QQQ, 33,250 on the DJIA, and $102.50 on the S&amp;P 600 (IJR).</li>
<li>After a brief dip below these levels, buyers immediately stepped up and reclaimed these supports. It was a clear win for the bulls (for now).</li>
<li>Attractive and actionable Groups highlighted include fertilizer (ag chemicals), aerospace/defense, and shipping.</li>
</ul>


Our key "lines in the sand" were tested last week, including 4257 on the S&amp;P 500, $334 on QQQ, 33,250 on the DJIA, and $102.50 on the S&amp;P 600 (IJR).
After a brief dip below these levels, buyers immediately stepped up and reclaimed these supports. It was a clear win for the bulls (for now).
Attractive and actionable Groups highlighted include fertilizer (ag chemicals), aerospace/defense, and shipping.


Volatility & Consolidation Continues; Buying Ag Chemicals, Aerospace/Defense, and Shipping Stocks

Amid rising Middle East tensions, investors have moved to safe-havens including Treasuries and gold, all while having a muted effect on the US equity market. At this point in time, the rising tensions have done virtually no damage to the bullish trends and indicators that continue to dominate the market. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Manufacturing, Services, Technology, and Transportation: Aero Defense, Large-Cap, HR &amp; Employment Svcs, Large-Cap, Optical Equipment, and Shipping, Energy

Amid rising Middle East tensions, investors have moved to safe-havens including Treasuries and gold, all while having a muted effect on the US equity market. At this point in time, the rising tensions have done virtually no damage to the bullish trends and indicators that continue to dominate the market. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Manufacturing, Services, Technology, and Transportation: Aero Defense, Large-Cap, HR &amp; Employment Svcs, Large-Cap, Optical Equipment, and Shipping, Energy

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Slowdown in petchem trade to affect 4Q18 performance
</li>
<li>Capex commitment of USD 70m due in 2019 for the terminal; another USD 16m expected to have been paid in 4Q18 </li>
<li>Funds available to honor commitments until 3Q19</li>
<li>Balance maintained between spot and charter fixing- 55% of the fleet in 4Q18 was fixed on charter voyages while the balance was trading on spot or booked on contracts of affreightment (COA)</li>
<li>Rate growth to slow down for semi-refrigerated (S/R) fleet owners in 2019</li>
<li>
We retain the fair value of USD 13.30 per share and Attractive rating on the stock
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/076/587/original/Valuation%20guidance_NVGS.PNG?1548394632" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="76587"></figure><div class="content-caption">Valuation guidance</div>
Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, Drewry
</li>
</ul>



Slowdown in petchem trade to affect 4Q18 performance

Capex commitment of USD 70m due in 2019 for the terminal; another USD 16m expected to have been paid in 4Q18 
Funds available to honor commitments until 3Q19
Balance maintained between spot and charter fixing- 55% of the fleet in 4Q18 was fixed on charter voyages while the balance was trading on spot or booked on contracts of affreightment (COA)
Rate growth to slow down for semi-refrigerated (S/R) fleet owners in 2019

We retain the fair value of USD 13.30 per share and Attractive rating on the stock
Valuation guidance
Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, Drewry



Navigator Holdings (NYSE:NVGS): 2019 Outlook Optimistic - Ethylene Terminal on Schedule

United States

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of handysize liquefied gas carriers. It also provides international seaborne transportation and regional distribution services of liquefied petroleum gas, petrochemical gases and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users and commodity traders. The company currently operates twenty one handysize gas carriers, with three additional vessels and seven confirmed new buildings, making a total fleet of thirty owned handysize gas carriers and one chartered-in vessel. Navigator Holdings was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Navigator Holdings (NVGS US)

Bear Market Rally With Potential for More; Buy Ideas in Shipping, Land Drilling, Refining, Chemicals

With the $SPX reversing topside the 1-month downtrend (at 4030), the bear market rally is underway with the potential for more. Resistance levels:...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder- Week of 3/28

On Friday, the EU and US announced a major liquefied natural gas deal that will likely have a transformational impact on energy security.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Volatility & Consolidation Continues; Buying Ag Chemicals, Aerospace/Defense, and Shipping Stocks

Moving forward we continue to expect more volatility and consolidation between 4257 and 4590-4595 on the S&P 500, and between $334 and $367 on the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Amid rising Middle East tensions, investors have moved to safe-havens including Treasuries and gold, all while having a muted effect on the US...

Vermilion Research

Navigator Holdings (NYSE:NVGS): 2019 Outlook Optimistic - Ethylene Terminal on Schedule

Slowdown in petchem trade to affect 4Q18 performance Capex commitment of USD 70m due in 2019 for the terminal; another USD 16m expected to have...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)