Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nestle has a significantly lower risk profile to many of its large-cap peers.</li>
<li>The company's industry-leading return on capital is also sustainable over the long run.</li>
<li>Strategic positioning in high customer loyalty product areas lays the foundation for long-term success.</li>
</ul>


Nestle has a significantly lower risk profile to many of its large-cap peers.
The company's industry-leading return on capital is also sustainable over the long run.
Strategic positioning in high customer loyalty product areas lays the foundation for long-term success.


Nestle: Not Falling Victim To Short-Sightedness

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p></div><div><p>In our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-negatives-high-debt-div-payments-floundering-ma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA</a> we spoke about the company background and its past performance. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-for-food-business" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-for-meat-alternative-business" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business</a> we compared the two business with their regional and global peers. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a> we discussed our thoughts on valuation.</p></div><div><p>In this note, we’ll talk about implied valuation at its fixed price.</p></div>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In our previous notes, Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA we spoke about the company background and its past performance. In Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business we compared the two business with their regional and global peers. In Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation we discussed our thoughts on valuation.In this note, we’ll talk about implied valuation at its fixed price.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Not Cheap but Sensible

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<p>In this note, we discuss how <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)'s</a> stock gets an unanticipated stroke of positive lift from a win-win with  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepsico-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4967:1" rel="noopener">Pepsico Inc (PEP US)</a> to produce and market plant-based protein snacks and beverages. As consumer brands globally strive to align themselves with the "Better for You and Planet too" value that resonates strongly with younger customers, plant-based foods are clearly in focus. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)</a> with its widely recognized brand presence in plant-based protein is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for plant-based foods. </p><p>We believe this deal could help Beyond accelerate growth in the retail segment, thus widen product reach and enhance product visibility. Although operational or financial details of the deal are not available yet, in the note below we look at what it could mean for either parties and surmise that it could be a win-win for both. </p>

In this note, we discuss how Beyond Meat (BYND US)'s stock gets an unanticipated stroke of positive lift from a win-win with  Pepsico Inc (PEP US) to produce and market plant-based protein snacks and beverages. As consumer brands globally strive to align themselves with the "Better for You and Planet too" value that resonates strongly with younger customers, plant-based foods are clearly in focus. Beyond Meat (BYND US) with its widely recognized brand presence in plant-based protein is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for plant-based foods. We believe this deal could help Beyond accelerate growth in the retail segment, thus widen product reach and enhance product visibility. Although operational or financial details of the deal are not available yet, in the note below we look at what it could mean for either parties and surmise that it could be a win-win for both. 

Beyond Meat: A Win-Win Deal with PepsiCo to Sell Plant-Based Snacks, Drinks

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

<ul>
<li>According to our definition, A2 Milk is a wonderful business largely thanks to its superior return on capital guarded by a multi-layered moat, a megatrend-driven growth prospect, and the capability to compound earnings for shareholders;</li>
<li>Mr. Market displayed his short-termism in terms of the stock recently, which we think provides a rare entry point for investors interested in the company into 2021.</li>
</ul>


According to our definition, A2 Milk is a wonderful business largely thanks to its superior return on capital guarded by a multi-layered moat, a megatrend-driven growth prospect, and the capability to compound earnings for shareholders;
Mr. Market displayed his short-termism in terms of the stock recently, which we think provides a rare entry point for investors interested in the company into 2021.


<ul>
<li>Fujian-based Dali Foods operates multiple brands in the categories of food and beverage;</li>
<li>Since its foundation, the company has pursued a simple "copycat" strategy combined with an emphasis on lower-tier regions;</li>
<li>Despite a persistently high return on capital, we do not see a moat that is wide enough and difficult to cross in this rapidly-evolving and fiercely-competitive consumer goods market in China.</li>
</ul>


Fujian-based Dali Foods operates multiple brands in the categories of food and beverage;
Since its foundation, the company has pursued a simple "copycat" strategy combined with an emphasis on lower-tier regions;
Despite a persistently high return on capital, we do not see a moat that is wide enough and difficult to cross in this rapidly-evolving and fiercely-competitive consumer goods market in China.


Dali Foods: Low-Price Copycat With A Persistent High-Return Character But A Too Narrow Moat

Switzerland

Nestle SA is a multinational packaged food company that manufactures and markets a wide range of food products. The Company's product line includes milk, chocolate, confectionery, bottled water, coffee, creamer, food seasoning and pet foods.

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Nestle SA (NESN VX)

Nestle: Not Falling Victim To Short-Sightedness

Nestle has a significantly lower risk profile to many of its large-cap peers. The company's industry-leading return on capital is also sustainable...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Not Cheap but Sensible

Monde Nissin aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. It has two main businesses: Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells...

Sumeet Singh

Beyond Meat: A Win-Win Deal with PepsiCo to Sell Plant-Based Snacks, Drinks

Discuss how Beyond Meat (BYND US) gets an unanticipated stroke of positive lift from a win-win deal with Pepsico to sell Plant-based snacks and...

Devi Subhakesan

2021 High Conviction: A2 Milk

Buying quality businesses at or below fair prices and holding them for the long run is the key to generate alpha. A2 Milk at the current level...

Urbem Capital

Dali Foods: Low-Price Copycat With A Persistent High-Return Character But A Too Narrow Moat

We appreciate the differentiated strategy and the persistently high return on capital, but the moat appears too narrow for this rapidly-evolving...

Urbem Capital

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