Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish</li>
<li>200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they <em>could</em> roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish
200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.


Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 15th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Hongqiao (1378 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Geely Automobile (175 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 15th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Hongqiao (1378 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Geely Automobile (175 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 15th): China Hongqiao, AIA, Geely Automobile, East Buy

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.</li>
<li>DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.</li>
<li>ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.
DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.
ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 8th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Hongqiao (1378 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Tencent (700 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 8th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Hongqiao (1378 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Tencent (700 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 8th): China Hongqiao, AIA, Xiaomi, Cosco Shipping

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 1st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 1st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 1st): AIA, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi

China

NetEase Cloud Music operates as one of China's leading online music platforms, offering music streaming, membership subscriptions, digital music sales, and social entertainment services including live streaming and online karaoke. It provides an interactive content community for music enthusiasts with personalized recommendations. The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, China, and was launched in 2013.

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NetEase Cloud Music (9899 HK)

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 15th): China Hongqiao, AIA, Geely Automobile, East Buy

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were China Hongqiao...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

Following MSCI May 2026 announcement, we a look at the trading pattern of affected stocks for MSCI-China from historical perspective by overlaying...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 8th): China Hongqiao, AIA, Xiaomi, Cosco Shipping

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were China Hongqiao...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 1st): AIA, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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