Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the February batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease, Zengame got one approval each.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the February batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease, Zengame got one approval each.


Tencent/Netease: One Game Approval for Netease in Feb

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NetEase reported 4Q24 results on 20 Feb: total revenue was down by 1.4% YoY to RMB26.7bn, largely in line with consensus estimates; operating profit grew by 13.9% YoY to RMB7.8bn, 8% ahead of consensus estimates, mainly attributable to the prudent control of S&amp;M expenses (-33% YoY).</li><li>Total revenue and operating profit grew by 2% and 7% YoY in FY24 respectively.</li><li>Looking into FY25E, we expect new game titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Winds Meet to drive reacceleration of games revenue growth.  prudent opex control. We maintain our SOTPderived target price of US$125.5. Maintain BUY</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NetEase reported 4Q24 results on 20 Feb: total revenue was down by 1.4% YoY to RMB26.7bn, largely in line with consensus estimates; operating profit grew by 13.9% YoY to RMB7.8bn, 8% ahead of consensus estimates, mainly attributable to the prudent control of S&amp;M expenses (-33% YoY).Total revenue and operating profit grew by 2% and 7% YoY in FY24 respectively.Looking into FY25E, we expect new game titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Winds Meet to drive reacceleration of games revenue growth.  prudent opex control. We maintain our SOTPderived target price of US$125.5. Maintain BUYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NetEase (NTES US) - Steady 4Q24 Performance; New Game Titles to Support FY25 Revenue Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following two periods of profitability, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> at the close on 5 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> is also an add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> in December, so this inclusion increases the flow and impact.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$9.2bn (US$1.2bn). Big capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
</ul>


Following two periods of profitability, Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) at the close on 5 December.

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) is also an add to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in December, so this inclusion increases the flow and impact.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$9.2bn (US$1.2bn). Big capping outflows for Alibaba (9988 HK) at the December rebalance.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Innovent Biologics Turns a Profit, Gets Added

Ping An Healthcare and Technology / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI Overseas China Internet Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced 28 November and implemented close on 12 December.</li>
<li>There could be 6 inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> in December with most inclusions being high probability.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions varies between 1.3-5 days of ADV. There will be stocks with float increases and some capping changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI Overseas China Internet Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced 28 November and implemented close on 12 December.
There could be 6 inclusions for the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) in December with most inclusions being high probability.
Impact on the inclusions varies between 1.3-5 days of ADV. There will be stocks with float increases and some capping changes.


KWEB Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Potential Inclusions in December

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the December batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. There have been 47% more games approved in 2024 compared to 2023.</li>
<li>Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease got one approval.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the December batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. There have been 47% more games approved in 2024 compared to 2023.
Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease got one approval.


Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

Tencent/Netease: One Game Approval for Netease in Feb

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of February. Game approvals for large players are slow...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NetEase (NTES US) - Steady 4Q24 Performance; New Game Titles to Support FY25 Revenue Growth

NetEase reported 4Q24 results on 20 Feb: total revenue was down by 1.4% YoY to RMB26.7bn, largely in line with consensus estimates

CMB International

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Innovent Biologics Turns a Profit, Gets Added

Innovent Bio is an add in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% and round-trip trade is HK$9.2bn. Innovent Bio has also been added to the HSCEI,...

Brian Freitas

KWEB Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Potential Inclusions in December

There could be 6 adds for the KWEB ETF in Dec, plus float increase for Healthyway and capping changes for the large stocks. CaoCao is newly...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent/Netease: One Game Approval for Netease in Feb

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of February. Game approvals for large players are slow...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NetEase (NTES US) - Steady 4Q24 Performance; New Game Titles to Support FY25 Revenue Growth

NetEase reported 4Q24 results on 20 Feb: total revenue was down by 1.4% YoY to RMB26.7bn, largely in line with consensus estimates

CMB International

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Innovent Biologics Turns a Profit, Gets Added

Innovent Bio is an add in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% and round-trip trade is HK$9.2bn. Innovent Bio has also been added to the HSCEI,...

Brian Freitas

KWEB Index Rebalance Preview: Bunch of Potential Inclusions in December

There could be 6 adds for the KWEB ETF in Dec, plus float increase for Healthyway and capping changes for the large stocks. CaoCao is newly...

Brian Freitas

Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of December. Of names that we track, Netease received...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM