Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, when we discussed that 5110-5120 on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) was a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>We'll maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115; we would be buyers on pullbacks to these levels.</li>
<li>We would also be buyers at 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US, which are shorter-term supports.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, when we discussed that 5110-5120 on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) was a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
We'll maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115; we would be buyers on pullbacks to these levels.
We would also be buyers at 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US, which are shorter-term supports.


MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports. Many Buys

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES US/700 HK/002624 CH: NPPA released the May approval results for domestic and imported game code licenses（+/+/+）</li>
<li>NTES US: NetEase Games Conference Reveals Progress on 4 New Games (+)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US: EU Proposes EUR2 Fee on Cross-Border Small Parcels(-/-)</li>
</ul>


NTES US/700 HK/002624 CH: NPPA released the May approval results for domestic and imported game code licenses（+/+/+）
NTES US: NetEase Games Conference Reveals Progress on 4 New Games (+)
BABA US/PDD US: EU Proposes EUR2 Fee on Cross-Border Small Parcels(-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/002624 CH/BABA US/PDD US/1357 HK

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.</li>
<li>Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. </li>
<li>Among them, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> look well-positioned to catch up.</li>
</ul>


The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.
Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. 
Among them, ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Meituan (3690 HK) look well-positioned to catch up.


HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

<ul>
<li>JD US/BABA US/PDD US: Government Regulation Forces Cancellation of "Refund Without Return" Policy (+/+/-)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent Games SPARK Conference Reveals R&amp;D Progress for Multiple Titles Including &lt;Honor of Kings: World&gt; (+)</li>
<li>BIDU US:Baidu launches the AI agent app "Xin Xiang," which is similar to Manus(/)</li>
</ul>


JD US/BABA US/PDD US: Government Regulation Forces Cancellation of "Refund Without Return" Policy (+/+/-)
700 HK: Tencent Games SPARK Conference Reveals R&amp;D Progress for Multiple Titles Including &lt;Honor of Kings: World&gt; (+)
BIDU US:Baidu launches the AI agent app "Xin Xiang," which is similar to Manus(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/PDD US/700 HK/BIDU US/3690 HK/NTES US/BILI US/E-Commerce

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Paul Atkins, the new head of U.S. SEC could accelerate the delisting of Chinese stocks from the U.S. stock exchanges. </li>
<li>There are about 280 companies from mainland China that are listed in the U.S. with a combined market cap of about $880 billion.</li>
<li>There could be two major reasons to accelerate this delisting (require Chinese companies to abide by US GAAP accounting and fully delist Chinese companies with ties to Chinese military).</li>
</ul>


Paul Atkins, the new head of U.S. SEC could accelerate the delisting of Chinese stocks from the U.S. stock exchanges. 
There are about 280 companies from mainland China that are listed in the U.S. with a combined market cap of about $880 billion.
There could be two major reasons to accelerate this delisting (require Chinese companies to abide by US GAAP accounting and fully delist Chinese companies with ties to Chinese military).


Atkins to Accelerate the Delisting of Chinese Stocks From the US Stock Exchanges in 2025/2026?

China

NetEase is a Chinese Internet technology company that provides online services across various sectors. Its core businesses include the development and operation of desktop and mobile games, alongside services in news aggregation, music streaming (NetEase Cloud Music), online education (Youdao), advertising, email, and e-commerce (Yanxuan). The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, China, and was founded in June 1997.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

NetEase (9999 HK)

MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports. Many Buys

MSCI $ACWI Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports; Bullish Outlook Intact. Discussed Thursday pre-market that a...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/002624 CH/BABA US/PDD US/1357 HK

NPPA releases May approval results for game licenses; NetEase Games Conference shows progress on 4 new games; EU proposes EUR2 fee on cross-border...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/PDD US/700 HK/BIDU US/3690 HK/NTES US/BILI US/E-Commerce

Government regulation forces cancellation of "refund without return" policy at JD,BABA,andPDD;Tencent reveals R&D progress at SPARK...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atkins to Accelerate the Delisting of Chinese Stocks From the US Stock Exchanges in 2025/2026?

Paul Atkins, the new head of US SEC could accelerate delisting of Chinese stocks from the US stock exchanges. Chinese companies listed in the US...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports. Many Buys

MSCI $ACWI Testing All-Time Highs; Buy Pullbacks to $120-$121 or $115 Supports; Bullish Outlook Intact. Discussed Thursday pre-market that a...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/002624 CH/BABA US/PDD US/1357 HK

​NPPA releases May approval results for game licenses; NetEase Games Conference shows progress on 4 new games; EU proposes EUR2 fee on cross-border...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

​HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/PDD US/700 HK/BIDU US/3690 HK/NTES US/BILI US/E-Commerce

​Government regulation forces cancellation of "refund without return" policy at JD,BABA,andPDD;Tencent reveals R&D progress at SPARK...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atkins to Accelerate the Delisting of Chinese Stocks From the US Stock Exchanges in 2025/2026?

Paul Atkins, the new head of US SEC could accelerate delisting of Chinese stocks from the US stock exchanges. Chinese companies listed in the US...

Douglas Kim

NPPA releases May approval results for game licenses; NetEase Games Conference shows progress on 4 new games; EU proposes EUR2 fee on cross-border...

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Government regulation forces cancellation of "refund without return" policy at JD,BABA,andPDD;Tencent reveals R&D progress at SPARK...