Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;Delta Force&gt; Global Version Launch Scheduled for December 5 (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent Meeting Announces Free Meeting Time Limit Reduced to 40 Minutes (+)</li>
<li>BABA US/700 HK: New user installs reach new high in September (+/+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;Delta Force&gt; Global Version Launch Scheduled for December 5 (+)
700 HK: Tencent Meeting Announces Free Meeting Time Limit Reduced to 40 Minutes (+)
BABA US/700 HK: New user installs reach new high in September (+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/NTES US/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/VIPS US/1024 HK

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance for the HSIII Index only involves capping to limit stocks to 12% of the index weight. There will not be any constituent changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.9bn (US$378m).</li>
<li>The largest outflows are expected to be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> with inflows spread across the other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance for the HSIII Index only involves capping to limit stocks to 12% of the index weight. There will not be any constituent changes.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.9bn (US$378m).
The largest outflows are expected to be from Meituan (3690 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) with inflows spread across the other index constituents.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

<ul>
<li>JD US/BABA US/1810 HK: Jiangsu Province adds seven new products to the list of appliances eligible for subsidies(+/+/+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's MOBA Game &lt;Pokémon Unite&gt; Mobile Version Set for Release on November 7(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent-owned Riot Games Announces Layoffs, Offering Severance of at Least Six Months' Salary, Aiming to Keep &lt;League of Legends&gt; Thriving for 15 More Years(/)</li>
</ul>


JD US/BABA US/1810 HK: Jiangsu Province adds seven new products to the list of appliances eligible for subsidies(+/+/+)
700 HK: Tencent's MOBA Game &lt;Pokémon Unite&gt; Mobile Version Set for Release on November 7(+)
700 HK: Tencent-owned Riot Games Announces Layoffs, Offering Severance of at Least Six Months' Salary, Aiming to Keep &lt;League of Legends&gt; Thriving for 15 More Years(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

<ul>
<li>Tencent’s &lt;Peacekeeper&gt; saw a strong player return and robust revenue performance due to introducing new gameplay modes, with projected gross billings for 2024 expected to exceed RMB 20 billion.</li>
<li>&lt;DnF Mobile&gt; continues to perform well, maintaining high popularity, leading to an upward revision of its annual revenue forecast.</li>
<li>New games &lt;Civilization Mobile&gt; and &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; experienced a sharp decline in popularity, and with a late release, their contribution to 2024 revenue is expected to be limited.</li>
</ul>


Tencent’s &lt;Peacekeeper&gt; saw a strong player return and robust revenue performance due to introducing new gameplay modes, with projected gross billings for 2024 expected to exceed RMB 20 billion.
&lt;DnF Mobile&gt; continues to perform well, maintaining high popularity, leading to an upward revision of its annual revenue forecast.
New games &lt;Civilization Mobile&gt; and &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; experienced a sharp decline in popularity, and with a late release, their contribution to 2024 revenue is expected to be limited.


China Online Game Grossing Monitor: September 23 - October 10, 2024

<ul>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US: Tmall shares recent growth figures and Double 11 initiatives (+/-/-/-)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/SHEIN/4385 JP/4689 JP: AliExpress and Cainiao expand 5-day delivery to three additional countries including Japan (+/-/-)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US: Alibaba launches upgraded AI-based store management tool (+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US: Tmall shares recent growth figures and Double 11 initiatives (+/-/-/-)
BABA US/PDD US/SHEIN/4385 JP/4689 JP: AliExpress and Cainiao expand 5-day delivery to three additional countries including Japan (+/-/-)
BABA US/JD US/PDD US: Alibaba launches upgraded AI-based store management tool (+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US/4385JP/4689JP/NTES US/MSFT US/BIDU/700HK

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/NTES US/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/VIPS US/1024 HK

Tencent's global launch of set for December 5, free meeting time limit reduced to 40 minutes, and Alibaba's new user installs hit record high in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

No constituent changes but there will be capping flows. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK

Jiangsu Province adds new products to subsidy list; Tencent to release Pokémon Unite mobile game; Riot Games announces layoffs to support League...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Online Game Grossing Monitor: September 23 - October 10, 2024

Tencent's flagship titles thrive with new gameplay modes, while NetEase's new game struggles with declining popularity and late releases impacting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US/4385JP/4689JP/NTES US/MSFT US/BIDU/700HK

Alibaba's Tmall reports growth, expands delivery services, and launches AI-based store management tool.NetEase's Mobile Game Announces Shutdown

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/NTES US/JD US/PDD US/BABA US/VIPS US/1024 HK

​Tencent's global launch of set for December 5, free meeting time limit reduced to 40 minutes, and Alibaba's new user installs hit record high in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Capping Flows in December

No constituent changes but there will be capping flows. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK

​Jiangsu Province adds new products to subsidy list; Tencent to release Pokémon Unite mobile game; Riot Games announces layoffs to support League...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Online Game Grossing Monitor: September 23 - October 10, 2024

​Tencent's flagship titles thrive with new gameplay modes, while NetEase's new game struggles with declining popularity and late releases impacting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US/4385JP/4689JP/NTES US/MSFT US/BIDU/700HK

​Alibaba's Tmall reports growth, expands delivery services, and launches AI-based store management tool.NetEase's Mobile Game Announces Shutdown

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent's global launch of set for December 5, free meeting time limit reduced to 40 minutes, and Alibaba's new user installs hit record high in...

Jiangsu Province adds new products to subsidy list; Tencent to release Pokémon Unite mobile game; Riot Games announces layoffs to support League...

Tencent's flagship titles thrive with new gameplay modes, while NetEase's new game struggles with declining popularity and late releases impacting...

Alibaba's Tmall reports growth, expands delivery services, and launches AI-based store management tool.NetEase's Mobile Game Announces Shutdown