Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES US : NetEase's &lt;Marvel Rivals&gt; has commenced its first round of testing, with players providing positive feedback.（+）</li>
<li>4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP: PayPay QR-code system crashed for three hours (-/+/+)</li>
<li>BABA US /BIDU US/700 HK: China's generative AI starts price war mode, led by ByteDance and High-Flyer（/////）</li>
</ul>


NTES US : NetEase's &lt;Marvel Rivals&gt; has commenced its first round of testing, with players providing positive feedback.（+）
4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP: PayPay QR-code system crashed for three hours (-/+/+)
BABA US /BIDU US/700 HK: China's generative AI starts price war mode, led by ByteDance and High-Flyer（/////）


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/BABA US /BIDU US/700 HK

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NetEase delivered a mixed set of results in the quarter, with revenues well below expectations, but managed an earnings beat.</li><li>Revenues from the Fantasy Westward Journey Saga continued to increase year over year in the quarter, again impressing the industry with this IP's enduring appeal.</li><li>In the second quarter, Cloud Music's GP margin increased significantly because of the growth of membership services and ongoing cost-cutting initiatives.</li></ul>

NetEase delivered a mixed set of results in the quarter, with revenues well below expectations, but managed an earnings beat.Revenues from the Fantasy Westward Journey Saga continued to increase year over year in the quarter, again impressing the industry with this IP's enduring appeal.In the second quarter, Cloud Music's GP margin increased significantly because of the growth of membership services and ongoing cost-cutting initiatives.

NetEase Inc.: New Gaming Studio Launch & Other Major Drivers

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

<ul>
<li>NetEase’s 2Q rev. miss cons. by (3.08%) and non-GAAP net income beat cons by 50.6%.</li>
<li>We anticipate that former legacies will continue to be under pressure. However, the 3Q23 is expected to show strong performance with new titles like "Justice Mobile" and "Racing Master."</li>
<li>We have raised our annual revenue expectations for "Justice Mobile" and maintain an optimistic view of NetEase's upcoming pipeline. We increased to TP US$ 105, implying 17x PE in 2023</li>
</ul>


NetEase’s 2Q rev. miss cons. by (3.08%) and non-GAAP net income beat cons by 50.6%.
We anticipate that former legacies will continue to be under pressure. However, the 3Q23 is expected to show strong performance with new titles like "Justice Mobile" and "Racing Master."
We have raised our annual revenue expectations for "Justice Mobile" and maintain an optimistic view of NetEase's upcoming pipeline. We increased to TP US$ 105, implying 17x PE in 2023


[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$105) TP Change]: Raise TP for and Upcoming Pipeline

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NetEase announced 2Q23 financial results on 24 Aug: total revenue grew by 3.7% YoY to RMB24.0bn, below our/consensus estimate by 3.4/3.1%, mainly due to softer-than-expected PC game performance.</li><li>But operating income was up 23% YoY to RMB6.1bn, ahead of our/consensus estimate by 7.8/6.5%, supported by the strong GPM improvement (+4.0pct YoY and beat consensus by 2.7pct).</li><li>We raise FY23-25E operating income forecast by 6-8% to reflect the more positive GPM outlook, mainly due to the favourable revenue mix shift to self-developed games and optimized channel costs. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NetEase announced 2Q23 financial results on 24 Aug: total revenue grew by 3.7% YoY to RMB24.0bn, below our/consensus estimate by 3.4/3.1%, mainly due to softer-than-expected PC game performance.But operating income was up 23% YoY to RMB6.1bn, ahead of our/consensus estimate by 7.8/6.5%, supported by the strong GPM improvement (+4.0pct YoY and beat consensus by 2.7pct).We raise FY23-25E operating income forecast by 6-8% to reflect the more positive GPM outlook, mainly due to the favourable revenue mix shift to self-developed games and optimized channel costs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NetEase (NTES US) – Upbeat on games revenue growth and margin expansion in 2H23E

<ul>
<li>Three risks in the short term: 1) Decreased gross billings from former legacies due to macro. 2) Lifecycle issues with new games. 3) Market over-optimism regarding new games and AI.</li>
<li>NetEase still has some positive catalysts in the long term, including: 1) New games and content expansions. 2) Overseas game publishing. 3) Continual improvement in margins.</li>
<li>We expect NetEase's revenue in 2Q23 to be slightly lower than the consensus estimates of 2.5%, with a 13.3% beat in profits. Cut TP to $102, but maintain BUY rating.</li>
</ul>


Three risks in the short term: 1) Decreased gross billings from former legacies due to macro. 2) Lifecycle issues with new games. 3) Market over-optimism regarding new games and AI.
NetEase still has some positive catalysts in the long term, including: 1) New games and content expansions. 2) Overseas game publishing. 3) Continual improvement in margins.
We expect NetEase's revenue in 2Q23 to be slightly lower than the consensus estimates of 2.5%, with a 13.3% beat in profits. Cut TP to $102, but maintain BUY rating.


[NetEase(NTES US, BUY, TP US$102) TP Change]: Cut TP to $102 Due to More Near-Term Downside Risks

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/BABA US /BIDU US/700 HK

NetEase's receives positive feedback during first round of testing, PayPay QR-code system crashes for three hours in Japan.China's generative AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase Inc.: New Gaming Studio Launch & Other Major Drivers

NetEase delivered a mixed set of results in the quarter, with revenues well below expectations, but managed an earnings beat. Revenues from the...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$105) TP Change]: Raise TP for and Upcoming Pipeline

We have raised our annual revenue expectations for "Justice Mobile" and maintain an optimistic view of NetEase's upcoming pipeline. We increased to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase (NTES US) – Upbeat on games revenue growth and margin expansion in 2H23E

NetEase announced 2Q23 financial results on 24 Aug: total revenue grew by 3.7% YoY to RMB24.0bn, below our/consensus estimate by 3.4/3.1%

CMB International

[NetEase(NTES US, BUY, TP US$102) TP Change]: Cut TP to $102 Due to More Near-Term Downside Risks

NetEase faces three risks in the short term: 1) Decreased gross billings from former legacies due to macro. 2) Lifecycle issues with new games; 3)...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/BABA US /BIDU US/700 HK

​NetEase's receives positive feedback during first round of testing, PayPay QR-code system crashes for three hours in Japan.China's generative AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase Inc.: New Gaming Studio Launch & Other Major Drivers

NetEase delivered a mixed set of results in the quarter, with revenues well below expectations, but managed an earnings beat. Revenues from the...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$105) TP Change]: Raise TP for and Upcoming Pipeline

We have raised our annual revenue expectations for "Justice Mobile" and maintain an optimistic view of NetEase's upcoming pipeline. We increased to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase (NTES US) – Upbeat on games revenue growth and margin expansion in 2H23E

NetEase announced 2Q23 financial results on 24 Aug: total revenue grew by 3.7% YoY to RMB24.0bn, below our/consensus estimate by 3.4/3.1%

CMB International

[NetEase(NTES US, BUY, TP US$102) TP Change]: Cut TP to $102 Due to More Near-Term Downside Risks

NetEase faces three risks in the short term: 1) Decreased gross billings from former legacies due to macro. 2) Lifecycle issues with new games; 3)...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase's receives positive feedback during first round of testing, PayPay QR-code system crashes for three hours in Japan.China's generative AI...