Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Welcome to a new year and we are excited for the innovation and therapeutic breakthroughs that biopharma will reveal this year, while navigating through any changes in the regulatory and M&amp;A environment.</li><li>For our first Biopharma <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Review report in 2025, we cover the news that we missed during </span>the holiday break.</li><li>On the obesity front, NVO’s CagriSema fell short of expectations, while the FDA reaffirmed LLY’s GLP-1 shortage resolution, bearing bad news for HIMS and LFMD. </li></ul>

Welcome to a new year and we are excited for the innovation and therapeutic breakthroughs that biopharma will reveal this year, while navigating through any changes in the regulatory and M&amp;A environment.For our first Biopharma Review report in 2025, we cover the news that we missed during the holiday break.On the obesity front, NVO’s CagriSema fell short of expectations, while the FDA reaffirmed LLY’s GLP-1 shortage resolution, bearing bad news for HIMS and LFMD. 

Biopharma Week in Review - January 6, 2025

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, ALNY’s detailed ATTR cardiomyopathy data left room for competitors, with BBIO benefiting and an opening for IONS.</li><li>NBIX schizophrenia Phase 2 data fell short but will move forward.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, ALNY’s detailed ATTR cardiomyopathy data left room for competitors, with BBIO benefiting and an opening for IONS.NBIX schizophrenia Phase 2 data fell short but will move forward.

Biopharma Week in Review - September 3, 2024

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Semiconductors (SMH,SOXX,NVDA,AVGO) have been leadership since late-2022, but they're extended and starting to see profit taking as market participants rotate into other laggard areas of the market (especially Energy).</li>
<li>The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend.</li>
<li>If there will be any lasting rotation away from Technology/semiconductors, SPX and QQQ would need to break strong short-term supports at 5370-5380 and $468-469, respectively. Until then, Tech/semis remain leadership</li>
</ul>


Semiconductors (SMH,SOXX,NVDA,AVGO) have been leadership since late-2022, but they're extended and starting to see profit taking as market participants rotate into other laggard areas of the market (especially Energy).
The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend.
If there will be any lasting rotation away from Technology/semiconductors, SPX and QQQ would need to break strong short-term supports at 5370-5380 and $468-469, respectively. Until then, Tech/semis remain leadership


Rotation Is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Still Bullish; Supports at SPX 5370-5380, QQQ $468-469

Health Care Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As the saying goes, "sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market." That appears to be exactly what is going on as we kick off 2024.</li>
<li>Leadership areas that have significantly outperformed since the October 2023 lows are starting to pull back rather hard -- and on above average volume (XLK, SMH, IGV, ARKK, IPO, BITQ)</li>
<li>Other Sectors are picking up the slack, namely Health Care (XLV), Staples (XLP), Utilities (XLU), Energy (XLE), Financials (XLF), and Real Estate (XLRE). Shift exposure toward value and defensives</li>
</ul>


As the saying goes, "sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market." That appears to be exactly what is going on as we kick off 2024.
Leadership areas that have significantly outperformed since the October 2023 lows are starting to pull back rather hard -- and on above average volume (XLK, SMH, IGV, ARKK, IPO, BITQ)
Other Sectors are picking up the slack, namely Health Care (XLV), Staples (XLP), Utilities (XLU), Energy (XLE), Financials (XLF), and Real Estate (XLRE). Shift exposure toward value and defensives


Upgrading Staples and Health Care to Market Weight; Shift to Value; Failed Breakouts for ARKK, IPO

Market Intelligence, ORTEX

ORTEX Market Intel

Market Intelligence

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week.</li><li>FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and PPLC saw heavy short covering.</li><li>Earnings season drove most of the action, with borrow costs and availability swinging hard around report dates.</li></ul>

Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week.FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and PPLC saw heavy short covering.Earnings season drove most of the action, with borrow costs and availability swinging hard around report dates.

Short Sellers Charge Into Industrials, Exit Tech

United States

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. is focused on the discovery and development of therapeutics for neuropsychiatric, neuroinflammatory, and neurodegenerative diseases and disorders.  The Company is developing therapeutic interventions for anxiety, depression, Alzheimer's disease, insomnia, stroke, malignant brain tumors, multiple sclerosis, obesity, and diabetes.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX US)

Biopharma Week in Review - January 6, 2025

On the obesity front, NVO’s CagriSema fell short of expectations, while the FDA reaffirmed LLY’s GLP-1 shortage resolution, bearing bad news for...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - September 3, 2024

Last week, ALNY’s detailed ATTR cardiomyopathy data left room for competitors, with BBIO benefiting and an opening for IONS.

Water Tower Research

Rotation Is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Still Bullish; Supports at SPX 5370-5380, QQQ $468-469

Rotation is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Bullish Outlook Intact; Expecting Short-term Support at $SPX 5370-5380 and $QQQ $468-469 (20-day MAs...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Staples and Health Care to Market Weight; Shift to Value; Failed Breakouts for ARKK, IPO

Shifting exposure toward value and defensives. Upgrading Consumer Staples $XLP and Health Care $XLV to market weight. $ARKK and $IPO with bearish...

Vermilion Research

Short Sellers Charge Into Industrials, Exit Tech

Short interest moved sharply across both directions this week. FERG and FTV led a burst of new bearish positioning in industrials, while CRWV and...

ORTEX Market Intel

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)