Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, CHINA LIFE, GCL TECHNOLOGY, PDD.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, CHINA LIFE, GCL TECHNOLOGY, PDD.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Aug): KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, PDD

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Exchanges / In Depth: It’s curtains for China’s local financial asset exchanges</li><li>Biotech /Caixin Explains: How China is overhauling regulations on genetic resources</li><li>Cyberbully /: Public security official loses lawsuit for online attacks on murdered couple’s daughters</li></ul>

Exchanges / In Depth: It’s curtains for China’s local financial asset exchangesBiotech /Caixin Explains: How China is overhauling regulations on genetic resourcesCyberbully /: Public security official loses lawsuit for online attacks on murdered couple’s daughters

CX Daily: It’s Curtains for China’s Local Financial Asset Exchanges 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened regulatory scrutiny announced in last Oct.</li><li>Among seven H-share listed insurers, only China Life (2628 HK) and Sunshine Life (6963 HK) reported positive lowsingle digit growth by +2.2%/ +1.5% on a like-for-like basis, whereas the others recorded year-over-year cutbacks.</li><li>Ping An Life (2318 HK) fell by 3.9% YoY, in contrast to double-digit declines of CPIC Life (2601 HK) / New China Life (1336 HK) / PICC Life (1339 HK) at -14.7%/-15.0%/-18.5%, respectively, due to its more-advanced-than-peers agency capability. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened regulatory scrutiny announced in last Oct.Among seven H-share listed insurers, only China Life (2628 HK) and Sunshine Life (6963 HK) reported positive lowsingle digit growth by +2.2%/ +1.5% on a like-for-like basis, whereas the others recorded year-over-year cutbacks.Ping An Life (2318 HK) fell by 3.9% YoY, in contrast to double-digit declines of CPIC Life (2601 HK) / New China Life (1336 HK) / PICC Life (1339 HK) at -14.7%/-15.0%/-18.5%, respectively, due to its more-advanced-than-peers agency capability. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance – 1M24 life premiums fell short of expectations

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.</li>
<li>Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. </li>
</ul>


China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.
Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.
Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. 


Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

<ul><li>Strong savings demand propelled a double-digit growth of cum. personal life premiums, which rose by 10.2% YoY in FY23, for the first time in three years amid the prolonged low-risk appetite.</li><li>Life premiums rose by 12.8% YoY to RMB2.76tn in FY23, posting the highest growth over the past three years although curving down a bit from the 7M23 peak (+15% YoY) after the pricing rate cut.</li><li>On a monthly basis, China Life (2628 HK) and CPIC (2601 HK) were the only two listed insurers turning positive to double-digit premium growth, by +13.0%/+16.7% YoY in Dec 2023, outpacing the industry level of +1.1% YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong savings demand propelled a double-digit growth of cum. personal life premiums, which rose by 10.2% YoY in FY23, for the first time in three years amid the prolonged low-risk appetite.Life premiums rose by 12.8% YoY to RMB2.76tn in FY23, posting the highest growth over the past three years although curving down a bit from the 7M23 peak (+15% YoY) after the pricing rate cut.On a monthly basis, China Life (2628 HK) and CPIC (2601 HK) were the only two listed insurers turning positive to double-digit premium growth, by +13.0%/+16.7% YoY in Dec 2023, outpacing the industry level of +1.1% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Insurance - Life Premiums up by Double Digits for the First Time in 3 Years

China

New China Life Insurance Company Limited provides life insurance in local and foreign currencies, acts as an insurance agent, provides checks, claims and insurance consulting. The Company's main products include life insurance, accident insurance, health insurance products and services.

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New China Life Insurance (601336 CH)

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Aug): KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, PDD

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, CHINA LIFE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: It’s Curtains for China’s Local Financial Asset Exchanges

Exchanges / In Depth: It’s curtains for China’s local financial asset exchanges Biotech /Caixin Explains: How China is overhauling regulations on...

Caixin Global

China Insurance – 1M24 life premiums fell short of expectations

Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened...

CMB International

Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

Ping An Insurance demonstrates weakening profit, China insurance industry aggregates, do not suggest this will change. Rather, investment returns...

Daniel Tabbush

Insurance - Life Premiums up by Double Digits for the First Time in 3 Years

Strong savings demand propelled a double-digit growth of cum. personal life premiums, which rose by 10.2% YoY in FY23, for the first time in three...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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