Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Following a strong listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Following a strong listing, Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.
Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AMCs—tepid flows to drag earnings: Active equity schemes witnessed a deceleration in net inflows at INR339bn (Q1FY23: INR598bn), despite an all-time high SIP flow run rate (Q2 average: INR126bn)</li><li>Increased volatility in capital markets, rising concerns on global macros, and higher interest rates appear to have resulted in muted lumpsum flows; however, a sharp recovery in capital markets resulted in a 12% QoQ rise in Active Equity AUM</li><li>Interest rate hikes are likely to keep treasury gains under check</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AMCs—tepid flows to drag earnings: Active equity schemes witnessed a deceleration in net inflows at INR339bn (Q1FY23: INR598bn), despite an all-time high SIP flow run rate (Q2 average: INR126bn)Increased volatility in capital markets, rising concerns on global macros, and higher interest rates appear to have resulted in muted lumpsum flows; however, a sharp recovery in capital markets resulted in a 12% QoQ rise in Active Equity AUMInterest rate hikes are likely to keep treasury gains under checkContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Non-Leveraged Financials - Volatile Markets and Weak Macros Drive Slowdown

<ul><li>Within the INR1.3tn retail health insurance opportunity (by FY32E), standalone health insurers (SAHIs) are slated to grow faster than multiline players, translating into market share gains on the back of a formidable distribution network (sustainable competitive advantage) and regulatory arbitrage (transient)</li><li>We believe that the recent extension of “Use and File” for retail products is likely to reflate portfolio profitability by containing the mispricing of inferior products</li><li>We construct an industry-first HSIE-Health Insurance Franchise Scorecard (HSIE-HIFS) to evaluate various health insurers on multiple vectors across four pillars—quality, profitability, distribution and longevity.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Within the INR1.3tn retail health insurance opportunity (by FY32E), standalone health insurers (SAHIs) are slated to grow faster than multiline players, translating into market share gains on the back of a formidable distribution network (sustainable competitive advantage) and regulatory arbitrage (transient)We believe that the recent extension of “Use and File” for retail products is likely to reflate portfolio profitability by containing the mispricing of inferior productsWe construct an industry-first HSIE-Health Insurance Franchise Scorecard (HSIE-HIFS) to evaluate various health insurers on multiple vectors across four pillars—quality, profitability, distribution and longevity.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

The New India Assurance Company Limited offers multiline insurance products and services. The Company provides personal, commercial, industrial, liability, and social insurance products. New India Assurance also offers accidental, mediclaim, money, cellular phone, automotive, pension, and other insurance products. New India Assurance serves customers worldwide.

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New India Assurance Co Ltd (NIACL IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

With the review period nearing completion, there are a lot of migrations between size segments. SmallCap to MidCap migrations have outperformed....

Brian Freitas

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice...

Brian Freitas

Non-Leveraged Financials - Volatile Markets and Weak Macros Drive Slowdown

Active equity schemes witnessed a deceleration in net inflows at INR339bn (Q1FY23: INR598bn), despite an all-time high SIP flow run rate (Q2...

HDFC Securities

Health Insurance 1.0: Advantage SAHIs

We believe that the recent extension of “Use and File” for retail products is likely to reflate portfolio profitability by containing the...

HDFC Securities

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