Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The conglomerate sector continues to show momentum in Hong Kong while the materials and energy sectors lag</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3826:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (WB US)</a> was rated a BUY as valuations and potential catalysts from parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> could support a higher stock price.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-east-education-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27843:1" rel="noopener">China East Education (667 HK)</a> was upgraded to BUY with higher higher price target due to profit increase. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> was initiated with a BUY with strong upside.
</li>
</ul>


The conglomerate sector continues to show momentum in Hong Kong while the materials and energy sectors lag

Weibo (9898 HK)Weibo Corp (WB US) was rated a BUY as valuations and potential catalysts from parent Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) could support a higher stock price.


China East Education (667 HK) was upgraded to BUY with higher higher price target due to profit increase. Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) was initiated with a BUY with strong upside.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)

<ul>
<li>The epicenter of the Asian ETF selloff last week was Japan, recording an outflow of nearly $100B from equity funds taking the net flows back to breakeven for the YTD.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seazen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14882:1" rel="noopener">Seazen (Formerly Future Land) (1030 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> had positive announcements while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> announced earnings.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> shares are under pressure as the telco sector goes through a price war in cloud services and investors take profits from high dividend names.
</li>
</ul>


The epicenter of the Asian ETF selloff last week was Japan, recording an outflow of nearly $100B from equity funds taking the net flows back to breakeven for the YTD.

Seazen (Formerly Future Land) (1030 HK) and Swire Properties (1972 HK) had positive announcements while New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK) and Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) announced earnings.


China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) shares are under pressure as the telco sector goes through a price war in cloud services and investors take profits from high dividend names.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 10)

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In July, BYD’s deliveries increased by 31% YoY and Tesla’s deliveries in mainland China increased by 47% YoY.</li>
<li>Alibaba Taobao will soften its “refund only” rule, but Alibaba Hellobike raised its usage price.</li>
<li>New Oriental revenue increased by 32% YoY and TAL revenue increased by 50% YoY in the May quarter.</li>
</ul>


In July, BYD’s deliveries increased by 31% YoY and Tesla’s deliveries in mainland China increased by 47% YoY.
Alibaba Taobao will soften its “refund only” rule, but Alibaba Hellobike raised its usage price.
New Oriental revenue increased by 32% YoY and TAL revenue increased by 50% YoY in the May quarter.


China Consumption Weekly (5 Aug 2024): BYD, Tesla, Seres, Alibaba, New Oriental, TAL

<ul>
<li>The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in the first quarter.</li>
<li>The China Immigration Office announced that entry and exit of people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24.</li>
<li>China Passenger Car Association expected that new energy vehicle sales volume will grow by 37% YoY in April.</li>
</ul>


The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in the first quarter.
The China Immigration Office announced that entry and exit of people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24.
China Passenger Car Association expected that new energy vehicle sales volume will grow by 37% YoY in April.


China Consumption Weekly (29 Apr 2024): Weird Phone Mkt, Encouraging Car and Travel Mkts

Analyst

Steve

New Oriental Education & Techn / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Today, after Hong Kong market close, the Ministry of Education issued a new draft regulation on K12 tutoring. </li>
<li>I have written before on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn-cc88998e-fe0d-4a03-b544-f3e9836b06a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:531:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US)</a> and China Beststudy that there is now a equilibrium reached between all parties on tutoring in China. </li>
<li>The new draft regulation basically puts it into concrete policy, which should alleviate investor concern on the sector. </li>
</ul>


Today, after Hong Kong market close, the Ministry of Education issued a new draft regulation on K12 tutoring. 
I have written before on New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (EDU US) and China Beststudy that there is now a equilibrium reached between all parties on tutoring in China. 
The new draft regulation basically puts it into concrete policy, which should alleviate investor concern on the sector. 


EDU/TAL:  China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

China

New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. offers educational services. The Company offers foreign language training, test preparation courses for admissions and assessment tests in the United States, the PRC and Commonwealth countries, primary and secondary school education, and other services. New Oriental Education & Technology Group also operates software development.

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New Oriental Education & Techn (EDU US)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)

Conglomerate stocks in Hong Kong have outperformed this month. Weibo target price is upgraded and Dongfang Electric is intiated BUY. CEE saw a...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 10)

Japan had massive outflows in equity ETF's for the week. Property firms Seazen and Swire Properties had positive earnings news. New Oriental and...

David Mudd

China Consumption Weekly (5 Aug 2024): BYD, Tesla, Seres, Alibaba, New Oriental, TAL

In July, BYD’s deliveries increased by 31% YoY and Tesla’s deliveries in China increased by 47% YoY. Alibaba Taobao will soften its “refund only”...

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (29 Apr 2024): Weird Phone Mkt, Encouraging Car and Travel Mkts

The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in 1Q24. China entry and exit people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24. Authorities...

Ming Lu

EDU/TAL: China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

The Ministry of Education issues new draft regulation on K12 tutoring in China, bringing clarity and alleviating investor concerns.

Steve

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)

Conglomerate stocks in Hong Kong have outperformed this month. Weibo target price is upgraded and Dongfang Electric is intiated BUY. CEE saw a...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 10)

Japan had massive outflows in equity ETF's for the week. Property firms Seazen and Swire Properties had positive earnings news. New Oriental and...

David Mudd

China Consumption Weekly (5 Aug 2024): BYD, Tesla, Seres, Alibaba, New Oriental, TAL

In July, BYD’s deliveries increased by 31% YoY and Tesla’s deliveries in China increased by 47% YoY. Alibaba Taobao will soften its “refund only”...

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (29 Apr 2024): Weird Phone Mkt, Encouraging Car and Travel Mkts

The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in 1Q24. China entry and exit people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24. Authorities...

Ming Lu

EDU/TAL: China Tutoring - Here Comes The Policy Tailwind

​The Ministry of Education issues new draft regulation on K12 tutoring in China, bringing clarity and alleviating investor concerns.

Steve

The Ministry of Education issues new draft regulation on K12 tutoring in China, bringing clarity and alleviating investor concerns.