Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

New World Development / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> nudges an all-time low P/B and implied stub; as the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">NWS Holdings (659 HK)</a> moves gradually forward. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on NWD/NWS are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



New World Development (17 HK) nudges an all-time low P/B and implied stub; as the privatisation of NWS Holdings (659 HK) moves gradually forward. 
Preceding my comments on NWD/NWS are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: NWD (17 HK) Is Cheap. It May Get Cheaper Still

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-retail-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:470:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out, with the court meeting scheduled for 15 September. The IFA considers the HK$6.88 per share offer fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake has provided an irrevocable.</li>
<li>This is a done deal which help by the material derating of peers. At the current price of HK$6.75 and for the 17 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.9%/13.4%.</li>
</ul>



Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)'s scheme document is out, with the court meeting scheduled for 15 September. The IFA considers the HK$6.88 per share offer fair and reasonable. 
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake has provided an irrevocable.
This is a done deal which help by the material derating of peers. At the current price of HK$6.75 and for the 17 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.9%/13.4%.


Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK): Scheme Vote on 15 September

<ul>
<li>Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) has made a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0627/2023062700091.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">voluntary cash Offer</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a>'s (NWD) 60.88%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">NWS Holdings (659 HK)</a> at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed. </li>
<li>CTFE and connected parties hold 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent is effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.</li>
<li>The Offer is subject to regulatory approvals in Hong Kong and Bermuda. These will not be an issue given CTFE is NWD's ultimate shareholder. </li>
</ul>


Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) has made a voluntary cash Offer for New World Development (17 HK)'s (NWD) 60.88%-held NWS Holdings (659 HK) at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed. 
CTFE and connected parties hold 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent is effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.
The Offer is subject to regulatory approvals in Hong Kong and Bermuda. These will not be an issue given CTFE is NWD's ultimate shareholder. 


Chow Tai Fooks' Offer For NWS (659 HK). Buy NWD (17 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-retail-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:470:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK)</a> disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from the controlling family at HK$6.88 per share, a 40.4% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$4.90 on 22 May).</li>
<li>Key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake has provided an irrevocable. </li>
<li>The offer price is final. The offer is reasonable particularly as the sentiment on the department store sector remains weak. This looks like a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK) disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from the controlling family at HK$6.88 per share, a 40.4% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$4.90 on 22 May).
Key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The shareholder with a blocking stake has provided an irrevocable. 
The offer price is final. The offer is reasonable particularly as the sentiment on the department store sector remains weak. This looks like a done deal. 


Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK): Controlling Family’s Privatisation Offer at HK$6.88

Lifestyle International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a> announced a privatisation offer from Mr Lau, the controlling shareholder and Chairman, at HK$5.00 per scheme share, a 62.3% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The offer price is final. Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake.</li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive for long-term shareholders and below average sell-side price targets. Nevertheless, this deal likely goes through as the headcount test is not applicable.</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) announced a privatisation offer from Mr Lau, the controlling shareholder and Chairman, at HK$5.00 per scheme share, a 62.3% premium to the undisturbed price.
The offer price is final. Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake.
The offer price is unattractive for long-term shareholders and below average sell-side price targets. Nevertheless, this deal likely goes through as the headcount test is not applicable.


Lifestyle International’s HK$5.00 Privatisation Bid

Hong Kong

New World Department Store China Ltd owns and operates department stores in the Peoples Republic of China.

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New World Dept Store China (825 HK)

StubWorld: NWD (17 HK) Is Cheap. It May Get Cheaper Still

If the Chengs aren't buying here, it doesn't exactly compel investors to do otherwise. The arb for NWS Holdings looks like a better bet here after...

David Blennerhassett

Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK): Scheme Vote on 15 September

The scheme was overwhelmingly approved. Minority turnout was good with 68.2% of disinterested shares casting a vote. The scheme was approved by...

Arun George

Chow Tai Fooks' Offer For NWS (659 HK). Buy NWD (17 HK)

Assuming the final divi of HK$0.31/share is added on top of the offer price; and payment around 7 months out, I'd be buying up to $8.95 or so (10%...

David Blennerhassett

Golden Eagle Retail (3308 HK): Controlling Family’s Privatisation Offer at HK$6.88

The offer price is final. The offer is reasonable particularly as the sentiment on the department store sector remains weak. This looks like a done...

Arun George

Lifestyle International’s HK$5.00 Privatisation Bid

The first case of controlling shareholders taking advantage of the upcoming removal of the headcount test for Cayman schemes. We would be buyers up...

Arun George

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