Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>RTHK just reporting that HK Finance Secretary Paul Chan has said in his budget speech that HK will remove all property cooling measures in place, with immediate effect. </li>
<li>That would be That is Special Stamp Duty, Buyer's Stamp Duty, New Residential Stamp Duty. "Measures no longer necessary given the current economic and market conditions."</li>
<li>This should cause people to get excited short-term about property developers.</li>
</ul>


RTHK just reporting that HK Finance Secretary Paul Chan has said in his budget speech that HK will remove all property cooling measures in place, with immediate effect. 
That would be That is Special Stamp Duty, Buyer's Stamp Duty, New Residential Stamp Duty. "Measures no longer necessary given the current economic and market conditions."
This should cause people to get excited short-term about property developers.


Hong Kong To Scrap All "Spicy Measures" (Property Cooling Measures)

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>UST yields were little changed at the close yesterday, as earlier yield declines were pared after Amazon announced a USD 15 bn sixpart notes offering.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST remained at 3.61%, while the yield on the 10Y UST declined 1 bp to 4.14%.</li>
<li>Equities slumped, ahead of Nvidia Corp’s widely anticipated earnings release tomorrow and amid market concerns over high AI valuations. </li>
</ul>


UST yields were little changed at the close yesterday, as earlier yield declines were pared after Amazon announced a USD 15 bn sixpart notes offering.
The yield on the 2Y UST remained at 3.61%, while the yield on the 10Y UST declined 1 bp to 4.14%.
Equities slumped, ahead of Nvidia Corp’s widely anticipated earnings release tomorrow and amid market concerns over high AI valuations. 


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Japfa Comfeed, New World Development, Softbank Group</li>
<li>UST yields declined yesterday, with the curve bull-flattening for the second day. The yield on the 2Y UST was stable at 3.46%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.96%.</li>
<li>Equities halted a two-day rally, while gold and silver retreated from near record-high levels. The S&amp;P 500 was unchanged at 6,735, while the Nasdaq declined 0.2% to 22,954.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Japfa Comfeed, New World Development, Softbank Group
UST yields declined yesterday, with the curve bull-flattening for the second day. The yield on the 2Y UST was stable at 3.46%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.96%.
Equities halted a two-day rally, while gold and silver retreated from near record-high levels. The S&amp;P 500 was unchanged at 6,735, while the Nasdaq declined 0.2% to 22,954.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> is one of the best-performing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> constituents YTD, but it is time to take some money off the table.</li>
<li>At 5%, its 12-month forward dividend yield is about the lowest in the last five years, implying limited share price upside. Valuations have run ahead of earnings momentum.</li>
<li>The recent recovery in Hong Kong jewellery retail sales is partly due to the low base effect. Additionally, a higher gold price will weigh on demand for gold products. </li>
</ul>



Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) is one of the best-performing Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) constituents YTD, but it is time to take some money off the table.
At 5%, its 12-month forward dividend yield is about the lowest in the last five years, implying limited share price upside. Valuations have run ahead of earnings momentum.
The recent recovery in Hong Kong jewellery retail sales is partly due to the low base effect. Additionally, a higher gold price will weigh on demand for gold products. 


Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Lot Has Been Priced In

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>According to latest, market is pricing in an 89% probability of 1 rate cut (25bps) and 11% probability of 2 rate cuts (50bps) in upcoming September FOMC meeting</li>
<li>We think the easing trade is still happening. Under this macro backdrop, Asia listed developers and REITs will benefit from linked interest rate movements</li>
<li>In particular, developers with high gearing will benefit the most.  Buy NWD, COLI, SHKP, Link REIT on the back of attractive valuation</li>
</ul>


According to latest, market is pricing in an 89% probability of 1 rate cut (25bps) and 11% probability of 2 rate cuts (50bps) in upcoming September FOMC meeting
We think the easing trade is still happening. Under this macro backdrop, Asia listed developers and REITs will benefit from linked interest rate movements
In particular, developers with high gearing will benefit the most.  Buy NWD, COLI, SHKP, Link REIT on the back of attractive valuation


Quick Note: The US Easing Trade: Buy Asia Leveraged Developers and REITs, NWD, COLI, SHKP, Link REIT

Hong Kong

New World Development Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties, provides contracting services, property management, and transportation services.  The Company also operates infrastructure business, telecommunication services, department stores, hotels and restaurants, and media and technology business.

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New World Development (17 HK)

Hong Kong To Scrap All "Spicy Measures" (Property Cooling Measures)

HK Finance Secretary has introduced the 2024-2025 Budget. All "spicy measures" (property cooling measures) are now lifted. This should push the...

Travis Lundy

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Bharti Airtel, New World...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Japfa Comfeed, New World...

Lucror Analytics

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Lot Has Been Priced In

CTF is a top-performing HSI constituent YTD, but with low dividend yield and high valuations, it may be time to sell. Recovery in HK jewellery...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quick Note: The US Easing Trade: Buy Asia Leveraged Developers and REITs, NWD, COLI, SHKP, Link REIT

Powell has opened the door for rate cuts and market is expecting at least 25bps rate cut in September. We suggest to buy Asia high gearing name...

Jacob Cheng

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