Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), and we recently recommended buying the pullback on May 19.</li>
<li>Expect short-term support at 8-day EMAs on SPX and QQQ, has been the case since early-April; if 8-day EMAs break, expect ideal buy opportunities at 20-day MAs on SPX/QQQ</li>
<li>Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight. Buys highlighted in Solar Energy, 3D Printing, Lidar Sensors, and AI Manufacturing Solutions</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), and we recently recommended buying the pullback on May 19.
Expect short-term support at 8-day EMAs on SPX and QQQ, has been the case since early-April; if 8-day EMAs break, expect ideal buy opportunities at 20-day MAs on SPX/QQQ
Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight. Buys highlighted in Solar Energy, 3D Printing, Lidar Sensors, and AI Manufacturing Solutions


Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We have discussed weekly since 10/14/25 how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as SPX holds above the 3-month uptrend, coinciding with the 50-day MA; this remains true.</li>
<li>Gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) held above $358-$361 and $41.70 supports and appear ready to resume their long-term uptrends. Recently discussed we were buyers in our October 29th report</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We have discussed weekly since 10/14/25 how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as SPX holds above the 3-month uptrend, coinciding with the 50-day MA; this remains true.
Gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) held above $358-$361 and $41.70 supports and appear ready to resume their long-term uptrends. Recently discussed we were buyers in our October 29th report


Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Looking back, March 2023 presented a significant “wobble” to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening campaign as the sudden bank failures, the largest since the 2008 financial crisis, of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank in particular, caused the Fed to step in as customers rushed to withdraw their deposits while these banks did not have enough liquid funds on hand to satisfy those customers’ cash requirements.</li><li>One reason for these bank failures was that normally safe investments in U.S. Treasuries, purchased at the highs, began losing money due to their duration mismatch as interest rates were rapidly increased by the Federal Reserve.</li><li>In came the Fed’s BTFP program to the rescue which was setup to eliminate a financial institution’s need to rapidly sell securities, and is open to federally insured banks, savings associations, and credit unions, as well as the U.S. branches of foreign banks.</li></ul>

Looking back, March 2023 presented a significant “wobble” to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening campaign as the sudden bank failures, the largest since the 2008 financial crisis, of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank in particular, caused the Fed to step in as customers rushed to withdraw their deposits while these banks did not have enough liquid funds on hand to satisfy those customers’ cash requirements.One reason for these bank failures was that normally safe investments in U.S. Treasuries, purchased at the highs, began losing money due to their duration mismatch as interest rates were rapidly increased by the Federal Reserve.In came the Fed’s BTFP program to the rescue which was setup to eliminate a financial institution’s need to rapidly sell securities, and is open to federally insured banks, savings associations, and credit unions, as well as the U.S. branches of foreign banks.

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Forecasted inclusions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CRWV</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/figma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45422:1" rel="noopener">FIG</a> due to increased public voting rights, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitfarms-ltd-of-canada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35932:1" rel="noopener">KEEL</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener">SUNB</a> due to newly eligible US index nationality, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/opendoor-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32216:1" rel="noopener">OPEN</a> &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener"></a>Projected deletions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/getty-images-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37015:1" rel="noopener">Getty Images (GETY US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alight-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27940:1" rel="noopener">Alight (ALIT US)</a> because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.</li>
<li>Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener"> Bloom Energy (BE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextracker-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36731:1" rel="noopener">Nextpower (NXT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fabrinet" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8813:1" rel="noopener">Fabrinet (FN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-technology-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35436:1" rel="noopener">Credo Technology (CRDO US)</a>, resulting in passive fund supply.</li>
</ul>


Forecasted inclusions include CRWV &amp; FIG due to increased public voting rights, KEEL &amp; SUNB due to newly eligible US index nationality, and OPEN &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.

Projected deletions include Beyond Meat (BYND US), Getty Images (GETY US), and Alight (ALIT US) because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.
Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include Bloom Energy (BE US), Nextpower (NXT US), Fabrinet (FN US), and Credo Technology (CRDO US), resulting in passive fund supply.


US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nextracker, a provider of advanced solar tracking systems, reported its financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing both strengths and underlying challenges.</li>
<li>The company achieved a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 20% to $864 million, buoyed by strong global demand and robust operational execution.</li>
<li>Adjusted EBITDA similarly grew by 23% to $215 million, representing an EBITDA margin of 25%, a 100 basis point improvement from the prior year.</li>
</ul>


Nextracker, a provider of advanced solar tracking systems, reported its financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing both strengths and underlying challenges.
The company achieved a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 20% to $864 million, buoyed by strong global demand and robust operational execution.
Adjusted EBITDA similarly grew by 23% to $215 million, representing an EBITDA margin of 25%, a 100 basis point improvement from the prior year.


Nextracker Bets Big on AI & Robotics—Is This the Future of Solar Infrastructure?

United States

Nextpower Inc. designs and develops measuring machines. The Company offers integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. Nextpower serves customers worldwide.

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Nextpower (NXT US)

Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight

Downgrading Staples $XLP and Utilities $XLU to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact. Charts: FSLR, NXT, ENLT,...

Vermilion Research

Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support

More Upside Ahead for Gold $GLD and Silver $SLV Following Oct. 29 Buys; $DXY Below $100.25 a Risk-On Signal; Downgrading Services to Market Weight;...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 12/18

Looking back, March 2023 presented a significant “wobble” to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening campaign as the sudden bank...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

The last annual reconstitution for index US‑R3000 is approaching, with additions and deletions driven by public voting rights, extreme price...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Nextracker Bets Big on AI & Robotics—Is This the Future of Solar Infrastructure?

Nextracker, a provider of advanced solar tracking systems, reported its financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing...

Baptista Research

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